Which of these maps is most likely to happen?
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  Which of these maps is most likely to happen?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Map A		  
#2
Map B		  
#3
Map C		  
#4
Map D		  
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Total Voters: 39

Author Topic: Which of these maps is most likely to happen?  (Read 2188 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« on: June 24, 2008, 05:59:06 PM »
Map A



Obama: 385
McCain: 153


Map B



McCain: 370
Obama: 168


Map C



Obama: 280
McCain: 258


Map D



McCain: 274
Obama: 264
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2008, 05:59:34 PM »
Map B
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Iosif
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« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2008, 06:01:08 PM »
The odds for all 4 are very slim. I went for A anyway.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2008, 06:03:01 PM »
C.  Barely.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #4 on: June 24, 2008, 06:03:43 PM »
C...even more likely if Michigan and North Carolina are switched.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2008, 06:05:49 PM »
Quote from: bullmoose88 on June 24, 2008, 06:03:43 PM
C...even more likely if Michigan and North Carolina are switched.

I was going to do that, but I kinda wanted the maps to be crazy.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2008, 06:11:59 PM »
Map A. Obama would need a landslide to win NC, and I find it very, very hard to see him winning NC while losing PA. At this point an Obama landslide is slightly more likely than a McCain landslide.
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #7 on: June 24, 2008, 06:47:40 PM »
A.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2008, 07:09:38 PM »
MAP C without Virginia and North Carolina.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2008, 07:10:19 PM »
Since if Obama wins North Carolina he most certainly wins Michigan and Pennsylvania, it leaves it to A and B.  And since I see an Obama landslide way before a McCain one, I'll go with A. 
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: June 24, 2008, 07:10:38 PM »
Er... Map A, I guess, though they're all unlikely.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #11 on: June 24, 2008, 07:14:28 PM »
Quote from: McCainforPrez on June 24, 2008, 07:09:38 PM
MAP C without Virginia and North Carolina.

Isn't that 2 states different from your default map for everything?
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #12 on: June 24, 2008, 07:38:04 PM »
Map D
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elcorazon
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« Reply #13 on: June 24, 2008, 09:26:56 PM »
A, followed by B.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #14 on: June 24, 2008, 10:23:15 PM »
I Purple heart how Josh has NC going to Obama in 3 out of the 4. I almost want it to go Dem just so he can be happy! !
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J. J.
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« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2008, 10:29:12 PM »
Quote from: bullmoose88 on June 24, 2008, 06:03:43 PM
C...even more likely if Michigan and North Carolina are switched.

My thoughts exactly.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #16 on: June 25, 2008, 07:08:04 AM »
I'm going to say B, only because the others are not really viable situations except for A.  A and B could happen, but even in a perfect Obama storm I don't see him taking ND or MT
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Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
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« Reply #17 on: June 25, 2008, 08:46:07 AM »
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #18 on: June 25, 2008, 09:09:59 AM »
Quote from: Lt. Gov. Elect AHDuke, Derrty South on June 24, 2008, 10:23:15 PM
I Purple heart how Josh has NC going to Obama in 3 out of the 4. I almost want it to go Dem just so he can be happy! !

That is because right now I am 80% sure it will go for Obama.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #19 on: June 25, 2008, 11:20:17 AM »
Quote from: Josh22 on June 25, 2008, 09:09:59 AM
Quote from: Lt. Gov. Elect AHDuke, Derrty South on June 24, 2008, 10:23:15 PM
I Purple heart how Josh has NC going to Obama in 3 out of the 4. I almost want it to go Dem just so he can be happy! !

That is because right now I am 80% sure it will go for Obama.

I love your enthusiasm, dude.  But do you have ANY idea how much has to happen for Obama to carry your state? 

You have to hope that whites in the state, some of the most traditional people as well as conservative, vote 1/3 for a liberal black man. 

Not only that, but you have to hope that blacks vote 95% for Obama (possible) AND increase their turnout to 30% of the overall voting population. 

Recent elections have shown neither of these things will actually happen.  NC being close is a very good sign for Obama, but NC is still one of the most Republican states in the nation. 
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #20 on: June 25, 2008, 11:23:37 AM »
Quote from: Josh22 on June 25, 2008, 09:09:59 AM
Quote from: Lt. Gov. Elect AHDuke, Derrty South on June 24, 2008, 10:23:15 PM
I Purple heart how Josh has NC going to Obama in 3 out of the 4. I almost want it to go Dem just so he can be happy! !

That is because right now I am 80% sure it will go for Obama.

Love the optimism, but it ain't gonna happen.  Not a single poll has shown Obama tied, let alone ahead in North Carolina.  I can't consider North Carolina anything but lean GOP until Obama is shown ahead in at least 1 poll.
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #21 on: June 26, 2008, 12:35:05 AM »
B, but only if the conflict with Iran develops prior to election day.  Otherwise, I don't like any of the maps.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #22 on: June 26, 2008, 12:55:25 AM »
Quote from: Josh22 on June 25, 2008, 09:09:59 AM
Quote from: Lt. Gov. Elect AHDuke, Derrty South on June 24, 2008, 10:23:15 PM
I Purple heart how Josh has NC going to Obama in 3 out of the 4. I almost want it to go Dem just so he can be happy! !

That is because right now I am 80% sure it will go for Obama.

Hilarious.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #23 on: June 26, 2008, 01:03:22 AM »
D.
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Sbane
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« Reply #24 on: June 26, 2008, 01:15:59 AM »
A and B are the only ones that seem plausible so I vote A considering Obama's current position of strength.
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