Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle

[Meeker]

King and Pierce haven't actually received any ballots in several days. The ballots remaining are either provisional ballots or ballots that have been filled out incorrectly - ballots which, as we're learning in Minnesota, lean heavily Democratic.

[Meeker]

Ahh, ok.  That explains why "Other" is getting like 6% daily.

Are all 36,000 of King and 17,500 of Pierce provisionals/screw-ups?  That seems pretty high.

I know in Pierce they are (RCV + lots of new voters = Hell for the Auditors office). Not quite sure about King, but the new voter surge may have caused that many.

You'll also notice that the number of ballots being reported daily has drastically decreased (Pierce only reported something like 2500 today). The same thing is causing this - it's taking them a long time to fill out replacement ballots.

[Meeker]

I'm *pretty* sure McCarthy has won. Lonergan's second preferences are breaking for Bunney at a much higher rate than they used to be (which is causing it to tighten more than I expected), but I don't think it'll be enough.

Also, the remaining ballots will be more Democratic overall, meaning more combined votes for Goings and McCarthy. However, these ballots were cast by people who were clearly confused by the system or had never experienced voting before, so I suspect the drop-off in people filling out second preferences will go up. So while Goings and McCarthy combined will get more votes in this remaining batch, Bunney may get more votes out of it overall due to Goings voters not bothering or understanding how to indicate McCarthy was their second choice.

The Assesor-Treasurer's race is still a free-for-all. I have a difficult time seeing a situation whereby Shabro wins, but Washam, Gelman and Lee all have a good shot at it. There's no way we'll be able to tell until the very last ballots are counted though - fifty to a hundred votes could drastically change the outcome.

[Meeker]

When's the last time a Democrat won Okanogan County but not Pierce?

[Meeker]

I'm curious what you're referring to in regards to suburban Pierce County trending Republican. What specific areas?

[Meeker]

Ah, I see what you're saying. I'm pretty sure I know which parts you're talking about, but Alcon would be able to be more detailed. Alcon, would you say it's sort of unincorporated hinterlands in the 1st and 3rd County Council Districts?

[Meeker]

I wonder why King County just got rid of 15,000 already-counted votes while reducing their ballots remaining by 10,000?

They're trying to steal the race for Rossi!

[Meeker]

Yea, final results were 50.75% McCarthy and 51.92% for Washam. The Round 2 elimination of Shabro is within recount territory though... I might send the Tribune an e-mail and try to stir things up.

[Meeker]

We'll certainly get a different candidate. Whether they'll be better is going to determined by primary voters... the field isn't going to clear like it has the past two cycles.

[Meeker]

It currently looks like the race for the newly created King County Elections Director will be between Jason Osgood and Pam Roach. This has to be some sort of cruel sick joke. We're being Punk'd, right?

[Meeker]

I still don't understand the OSPI results

[Meeker]

Record turnout - 84.61%

yay democracy

[Meeker]

But we still have another 5 or 6 pages out of this thread - Alcon just got his hands on precinct data!

[Meeker]

How many people live in Krupp?

[Meeker]

Are these all your personal photos? And if so, when and why did you take the time to visit all the hamlets of Klickitat County?

[Meeker]

Are these all your personal photos? And if so, when and why did you take the time to visit all the hamlets of Klickitat County?

haha, yeah.  Knowledge Bowl meets in Camas.  Both times we detoured before meeting friends in Portland.

The first year we just got to Stevenson, but it was really nice, so we tried again the next year with my dad and made it all to Maryhill.  My dad and I like going to the small towns and my mom generously tolerates me.  It's kind of interesting to see the geography change from Western fir forests to high plains scrub-brush without crossing any major mountains.

needless to say it was the nicest part about being eliminated early

Haha, neat. We moved up to 2A this year so we'll get to go to Camas instead of crummy Spokane

[Meeker]

I thought you guys were like 3A or 4A? 2A is harder than 1A we think, but the coach really wanted to change for some reason...

[Meeker]

I'm pretty sure you guys are 4A, so fortunately we won't have to play your types. We go up against the likes of Fife (tremble in terror!)

[Meeker]

I'm pretty sure you guys are 4A, so fortunately we won't have to play your types. We go up against the likes of Fife (tremble in terror!)

Hey, the eventual final winner in our league I believe was Stevenson (which is in Stevenson).  You never know

(Except with Fife.  There's nothing to do there but sell used cars and do meth or both at once.  You'll kill 'em)

We beat Stevenson in our final round... are they playing in two leagues?

[Meeker]

I'm pretty sure you guys are 4A, so fortunately we won't have to play your types. We go up against the likes of Fife (tremble in terror!)

Hey, the eventual final winner in our league I believe was Stevenson (which is in Stevenson).  You never know

(Except with Fife.  There's nothing to do there but sell used cars and do meth or both at once.  You'll kill 'em)

We beat Stevenson in our final round... are they playing in two leagues?

Seriously?  I was so sure we played Stevenson.  They have 383 kids, so unless all of their kids play Knowledge Bowl...I don't know what town I'm confusing it with.

I remember it was tiny, and in one of the towns I passed.  I dunno, White Salmon?  Either way it was weird.

The captain of the Stevenson team was wearing a kilt... I could tell something was wrong with the place.

[Meeker]

Logical reason for the uber-Republican precinct in the South?

[Meeker]

Can you do the County Executive race for Pierce? Or is the program not capable of doing a race with more than two candidates?

[Meeker]

Goddamn 28-451

[Meeker]

Goddamn 28-451

What'd 28-451 do specifically among McCain precincts?

It taints my visual continuity of the 28th.

There are also other parts of the district that are just as rich as 28-451 and didn't have any problem voting for Obama. They need to get with the picture.

[Meeker]

Goddamn 28-451

What'd 28-451 do specifically among McCain precincts?

It taints my visual continuity of the 28th.

There are also other parts of the district that are just as rich as 28-451 and didn't have any problem voting for Obama. They need to get with the picture.

You could always move here to the 27th, while not only do we have visual continuity, but not a single McCain precinct. 

But then I'd have to be a Tacoma elitist.   I'm much more comfortable in real Pierce County.