Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 836350 times)
Alcon
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« Reply #500 on: November 21, 2008, 07:22:12 PM »

It currently looks like the race for the newly created King County Elections Director will be between Jason Osgood and Pam Roach. This has to be some sort of cruel sick joke. We're being Punk'd, right?

I wonder if Osgood will barcode Roach's flower vase
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #501 on: November 22, 2008, 05:34:59 PM »
« Edited: November 22, 2008, 05:43:37 PM by Ogre Mage »

It currently looks like the race for the newly created King County Elections Director will be between Jason Osgood and Pam Roach. This has to be some sort of cruel sick joke. We're being Punk'd, right?

Shocked Tongue

I don't know whether to laugh hysterically or scream.  This could be a meltdown of monumental tragicomic proportions.  If there is a debate on TVW between these two I would watch just to gawk at the train wreck.  The Horror Show that began with Julie Anne Kempf and had an even bigger sequel starring Dean Logan now seems destined for a Part 3.  AIEEEEE!
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Meeker
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« Reply #502 on: November 22, 2008, 09:09:54 PM »

I still don't understand the OSPI results
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Alcon
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« Reply #503 on: November 22, 2008, 09:16:16 PM »

I still don't understand the OSPI results

The best I could figure was that people in districts with lots of Mexicans were more pissed and anti-incumbenty.  Unless they lived in Yakima County in which case god I don't know.

I mean, Dorn clearly did really well in the Tri-Cities and Wenatchee area, like in the primary.  Otherwise it seems like a big mess of WTF.

Wasn't it supposed to be a referendum on the WASL?  I always thought the strongest WASL haters were pretty far-left but it seems that Bergeson did some of her best in liberal-saturated areas.

Maybe this all will make more sense with precinct break-downs but I doubt it.
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bgwah
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« Reply #504 on: November 23, 2008, 04:36:43 PM »

A non-partisan race between two Democrats is going to confuse voters.
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Alcon
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« Reply #505 on: November 25, 2008, 03:06:20 AM »
« Edited: November 25, 2008, 03:16:43 AM by Alcon »

Certification day is tomorrow, so I'll have plenty of fun stuff.  Stupid King County, which will make us wait until December, not included.

For tonight San Juan County is in, and hopped above 70% just in the last report.

San Juan
Final: Obama 70.02%, McCain 28.09%

Mostly boring.  The two most extreme precincts swung toward McCain - he improved Bush's subpar Decatur/Blakely margin (57->just below 60%), and actually pryed off a voter on Waldron, bringing it down to 92-5 Democrat (down from 96-4).  Some third parties also joined in, which is typical.  Major anti-Bush vote there.

As for places with actual significant numbers of people:

Lopez Island went from 72-26 Kerry to 77-20 Obama
Orcas Island went from 65-31 Kerry to 73-26 Obama
Rural San Juan Island went from 63-35 Kerry to 73-26 Obama
Friday Harbor went from 60-37 Kerry to 65-32 Obama

Overall, Kerry +32.70 to Obama +41.93.  That's a swing of 9.23%, which (using the likely-high assumed national trend of 9.5%) is a GOP trend of 0.27%.  Which, really, when you get up around 70%, is to be expected.

Kind of funny to think it used to be the most Republican county in the state.

-

Governor: At Gregoire +13.04%, the biggest swing of the election.  She actually performed nearly identical to Kerry virtually everywhere, except a little worse on parts of San Juan Island.  The Waldron flipper was apparently McCain/Gregoire, and I'm sure will be tracked down, force-fed non-organic food, and limited to only one toilet.
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Alcon
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« Reply #506 on: November 25, 2008, 04:00:56 PM »
« Edited: November 25, 2008, 09:29:38 PM by Alcon »

Early PierceCo numbers (this will become more GOP).  Includes only Pierce County portions (which is like 20 votes in Pacific), does not include consolidations.  Kerry in parentheses.

Municipality
Auburn: 55-44 Obama (49-51)
Bonney Lake: 51-48 Obama (46-52)
Buckley: 48-48 Obama (46-53)
Carbonado: 61-36 McCain (34-63)
DuPont: 50-49 Obama (41-57)
Eatonville: 49-49 McCain (43-56)
Edgewood: 51-47 Obama (47-51)
Fife: 61-37 Obama (57-42)
Fircrest: 61-38 Obama (54-45)
Gig Harbor: 53-46 Obama (46-53)
Lakewood: 56-42 Obama (51-48)
Milton: 55-44 Obama (51-48)
Orting: 50-48 Obama (45-53)
Pacific: 52-48 Obama (37-63)
Puyallup: 54-44 Obama (48-51)
Roy: 57-39 McCain (38-62)
Ruston: 66-32 Obama (63-33)
South Prairie: 52-48 McCain (46-51)
Steilacoom: 52-46 Obama (49-49)
Sumner: 55-43 Obama (52-47)
Tacoma: 68-30 Obama (62-37)
University Place: 59-40 Obama (52-47)
Wilkeson: 49-48 Obama (52-46)

LD
2nd: 50-48 McCain (42-56)
25th: 53-45 Obama (47-52)
26th: 52-47 Obama (46-53)
27th: 69-30 Obama (63-36)
28th: 56-42 Obama (50-49)
29th: 64-34 Obama (59-40)
31st: 51-47 Obama (46-53)

Predictably, McCain just lost it in the middle-class suburbs here too.

New totals:

Auburn: 55-43 Obama (flip)
Bonney Lake: 49-49 Obama (flip)
Buckley: 50-48 Obama (flip)
Carbonado: 62-34 McCain
DuPont: 50-49 McCain
Eatonville: 51-47 McCain
Edgewood: 50-48 Obama (flip)
Fife: 60-38 Obama
Fircrest: 59-39 Obama
Gig Harbor: 52-47 Obama (flip)
Lakewood: 56-42 Obama
Milton: 54-44 Obama (flip)
Orting: 49-49 McCain
Pacific: 49-47 Obama (flip)
Puyallup: 53-46 Obama (flip)
Roy: 53-45 McCain
Ruston: 64-34 Obama
South Prairie: 51-45 McCain
Steilacoom: 52-46 Obama
Sumner: 54-43 Obama
Tacoma: 67-31 Obama
University Place: 58-40 Obama
Wilkeson: 49-48 McCain (flip)

Also: Obama carries Fort Lewis 50-48 (flip)

2nd: 51-47 McCain
25th: 52-46 Obama (flip)
26th: 50-48 Obama (flip)
27th: 68-31 Obama
28th: 56-43 Obama
29th: 64-34 Obama
31st: 50-48 Obama (flip)

I have full final precinct returns from: Asotin, Benton, Chelan, Clallam, Cowlitz, Douglas, Ferry, Franklin, Garfield, Grays Harbor, Island, Jefferson, Klickitat, Lewis, Lewis, Lincoln, Mason, Okanogan, Pacific, Pend Oreille, Pierce, San Juan, Skagit, Skamania, Snohomish, Spokane, Stevens, Thurston and Wahkiakum.
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Meeker
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« Reply #507 on: November 25, 2008, 11:20:51 PM »

Record turnout - 84.61%

yay democracy
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #508 on: November 26, 2008, 12:16:58 AM »

That's bad. Low turnout is the sign of a stable democracy.
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Lunar
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« Reply #509 on: November 26, 2008, 03:30:50 AM »

Ok guys, Washington has been fully discussed.

It's complete.

Time to go home.

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Meeker
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« Reply #510 on: November 26, 2008, 03:36:46 AM »
« Edited: November 26, 2008, 03:39:08 AM by VP Meeker »

But we still have another 5 or 6 pages out of this thread - Alcon just got his hands on precinct data!
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Lunar
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« Reply #511 on: November 26, 2008, 03:40:48 AM »

nooooooooooooooooooooooo
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bgwah
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« Reply #512 on: November 26, 2008, 03:48:07 AM »

Never! I would like to see this become an ever-lasting general Washington thread.
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Alcon
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« Reply #513 on: November 26, 2008, 10:13:46 AM »

Oregon beat us, though: 85.56% turnout there.  Without poll voters, our turnout would have been 84.74% so they still win.  Lame!

And, yeah, this thread isn't done.  lord man, king county precinct results won't be out until December, you nuts?
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Alcon
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« Reply #514 on: November 26, 2008, 05:24:13 PM »
« Edited: November 26, 2008, 06:42:09 PM by Alcon »

I now have every county but Adams, Columbia, King, Kittitas, Walla Walla, Whatcom and Whitman.

Highest Percentage of Vote
Obama
1. Port Townsend - 80.49%
2. Nespelem - 79.37%
3. Index - 79.21%
4. Mabton - 78.79%
5. Bainbridge Island - 77.85%
6. Langley - 77.74%
7. Wapato - 75.32%
8. Toppenish - 75.08%
9. Winthrop - 73.36%
10. Bellingham - 73.22%

McCain
1. Hartline - 74.70%
2. Mansfield - 73.41%
3. Waverly - 72.41%
4. Lynden - 71.47%
5. Reardan - 68.92%
6. Pomeroy - 67.09%
7. Napavine - 66.95%
8. Krupp - 66.67%
9. Kahlotus - 66.67%
10. Davenport - 66.63%

Lowest Percentage of Vote
Obama
1. Waverly - 24.14%
2. Mansfield - 24.28%
3. Hartline - 25.30%
4. Krupp - 26.67%
5. Lynden - 26.73%
6. Ione (+rural) - 30.09%
7. Reardan - 30.41%
8. Napavine - 30.46%
9. Pomeroy - 31.05%
10. Davenport - 31.27%

McCain
1. Nespelem - 15.87%
2. Port Townsend - 17.55%
3. Index - 19.80%
4. Langley - 20.25%
5. Mabton - 20.54%
6. Bainbridge Island - 20.79%
7. Wapato - 22.63%
8. Toppenish - 23.65%
9. Olympia - 24.64%
10. Bellingham - 24.85%

Biggest Swing
Obama
1. Riverside - +42.37%
2. Rock Island - +34.65%
3. Quincy - +29.97%
4. Creston - +29.80%
5. Warden - +27.39%
6. Winlock - +26.66%
7. North Bonneville - +26.45%
8. George - +26.45%
9. Toppenish - +26.05%
10. Royal City - +25.62%

McCain
1. Krupp - +14.19%
2. Hartline - +13.04%
3. Wilkeson - +6.75%
4. Sprague - +5.91%
5. Metaline Falls (+rural) - +4.45%
6. Vader - +4.38%
7. Ilwaco - +3.82%
8. Hamilton - +2.16%
9. Roslyn - +1.03%
10. Pomeroy - +0.94%
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Meeker
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« Reply #515 on: November 26, 2008, 08:35:44 PM »

How many people live in Krupp?
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Meeker
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« Reply #516 on: November 26, 2008, 10:51:21 PM »

Are these all your personal photos? And if so, when and why did you take the time to visit all the hamlets of Klickitat County?
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Meeker
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« Reply #517 on: November 26, 2008, 11:06:59 PM »

Are these all your personal photos? And if so, when and why did you take the time to visit all the hamlets of Klickitat County?

haha, yeah.  Knowledge Bowl meets in Camas.  Both times we detoured before meeting friends in Portland.

The first year we just got to Stevenson, but it was really nice, so we tried again the next year with my dad and made it all to Maryhill.  My dad and I like going to the small towns and my mom generously tolerates me.  It's kind of interesting to see the geography change from Western fir forests to high plains scrub-brush without crossing any major mountains.

needless to say it was the nicest part about being eliminated early Tongue

Haha, neat. We moved up to 2A this year so we'll get to go to Camas instead of crummy Spokane Cheesy
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Meeker
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« Reply #518 on: November 26, 2008, 11:11:41 PM »

I thought you guys were like 3A or 4A? 2A is harder than 1A we think, but the coach really wanted to change for some reason...
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Meeker
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« Reply #519 on: November 26, 2008, 11:17:38 PM »

I'm pretty sure you guys are 4A, so fortunately we won't have to play your types. We go up against the likes of Fife (tremble in terror!)
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Meeker
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« Reply #520 on: November 26, 2008, 11:31:07 PM »

I'm pretty sure you guys are 4A, so fortunately we won't have to play your types. We go up against the likes of Fife (tremble in terror!)

Hey, the eventual final winner in our league I believe was Stevenson (which is in Stevenson).  You never know

(Except with Fife.  There's nothing to do there but sell used cars and do meth or both at once.  You'll kill 'em)

We beat Stevenson in our final round... are they playing in two leagues? Huh
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Meeker
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« Reply #521 on: November 26, 2008, 11:35:13 PM »

I'm pretty sure you guys are 4A, so fortunately we won't have to play your types. We go up against the likes of Fife (tremble in terror!)

Hey, the eventual final winner in our league I believe was Stevenson (which is in Stevenson).  You never know

(Except with Fife.  There's nothing to do there but sell used cars and do meth or both at once.  You'll kill 'em)

We beat Stevenson in our final round... are they playing in two leagues? Huh

Seriously?  I was so sure we played Stevenson.  They have 383 kids, so unless all of their kids play Knowledge Bowl...I don't know what town I'm confusing it with.

I remember it was tiny, and in one of the towns I passed.  I dunno, White Salmon?  Either way it was weird.

The captain of the Stevenson team was wearing a kilt... I could tell something was wrong with the place.
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Meeker
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« Reply #522 on: November 27, 2008, 12:13:29 AM »

Logical reason for the uber-Republican precinct in the South?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #523 on: November 27, 2008, 12:16:46 AM »

Knowledge Bowl. I'm happy than I googled that. I discovered than this was almost the same thing than ''Génies en herbe'' in Quebec.

I already was a provincial champion of that. Sure, the format is very different, but that is very cool to win against those private big cities schools when you come from a medium sided rural town with a public school.

Very good work on those maps. I have a question. Indian reservations vote for which party?
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Alcon
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« Reply #524 on: November 27, 2008, 12:22:25 AM »

Logical reason for the uber-Republican precinct in the South?

Went from 46-25 Bush to 40-17 McCain

Looks like this.  No idea why it lost so many voters, but basically a blip.  Helps that it's a little unincorporated island -- no municipal taxes, attracts more Republicans.

Mostly a blip, though.
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