Oregon - OFFICIAL rumors and results thread
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Author Topic: Oregon - OFFICIAL rumors and results thread  (Read 12234 times)
Meeker
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« Reply #75 on: May 20, 2008, 10:23:24 PM »
The alleged Republican cokehead is winning OR-05.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #76 on: May 20, 2008, 10:23:48 PM »
Quote from: Verily on May 20, 2008, 10:20:14 PM
The Oregonian's website has Obama leading in Curry County! I thought that corner was supposed to be Clinton's stronghold.

That's my county!!! I was expecting more like 60-40, but maybe I don't fit into the student demographics anymore....
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CultureKing
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« Reply #77 on: May 20, 2008, 10:24:01 PM »
Quote from: ChrisFromNJ on May 20, 2008, 10:18:33 PM
Oregon - one of the most liberal states in the union. Bless them. Smiley

Well, one of the more liberal states. Remember it almost voted for Bush in 2000 and is more independent than liberal (Oregonian politics are really weird to look at)
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #78 on: May 20, 2008, 10:24:21 PM »
Obama also narrowly leads in Josephine County (by 23 votes).
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Alcon
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« Reply #79 on: May 20, 2008, 10:25:43 PM »
Bend (Deschutes) is a 3:2 killing, which gives some insulation for Obama in OR-2...

Not that he needs it, since Jackson (Medford/Ashland) is another 3:2.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #80 on: May 20, 2008, 10:25:54 PM »
CNN has Clinton leading in Baker by 3 votes.
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Meeker
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« Reply #81 on: May 20, 2008, 10:26:00 PM »
Oh and hookhand is down by 4 in the Senate primary.
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Alcon
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« Reply #82 on: May 20, 2008, 10:26:56 PM »
Looking at Baker (only 53-47 Clinton), where Clinton campaigned, and Malheur (53-44), where at least some of the Dems must be Hispanic, I think it's safe to say that Obama stands a pretty high chance of winning all of Oregon's CDs.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #83 on: May 20, 2008, 10:27:33 PM »
Quote from: PPT Meeker on May 20, 2008, 10:26:00 PM
Oh and hookhand is down by 4 in the Senate primary.
Sad

These numbers all look very good for Obama. I hope he breaks 60%.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #84 on: May 20, 2008, 10:27:43 PM »
Interestingly, the Oregonian has different results from CNN in Baker County. They have Clinton leading 53-47, but with fewer votes on both sides. Maybe they got an incomplete report of the earlier numbers?
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Sbane
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« Reply #85 on: May 20, 2008, 10:28:05 PM »
Wow Obama was much stronger than expected in Jackson county. I think he will win every CD.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #86 on: May 20, 2008, 10:29:17 PM »
By the way, Ron Paul is currently on target to win 4 delegates from Oregon, if I'm reading the numbers correctly.
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Alcon
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« Reply #87 on: May 20, 2008, 10:34:56 PM »
Rural Eastern Oregon's 28K modem must be malfunctioning
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #88 on: May 20, 2008, 10:36:58 PM »
What's up with Linn County?  Its a Clinton county in the middle of an Obama strip.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #89 on: May 20, 2008, 10:38:51 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on May 20, 2008, 10:25:43 PM
Bend (Deschutes) is a 3:2 killing, which gives some insulation for Obama in OR-2...

Not that he needs it, since Jackson (Medford/Ashland) is another 3:2.

Looks like I'll have to eat crow on Jackson Co.... not to mention CD-2.

Quote from: Alcon on May 20, 2008, 10:26:56 PM
Looking at Baker (only 53-47 Clinton), where Clinton campaigned, and Malheur (53-44), where at least some of the Dems must be Hispanic, I think it's safe to say that Obama stands a pretty high chance of winning all of Oregon's CDs.

Considering that it is an overwhelmingly Republican county which is 25+% Latino, I would say you're right....
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Alcon
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« Reply #90 on: May 20, 2008, 10:39:18 PM »
Quote from: Oklahoma Populist Democrat on May 20, 2008, 10:36:58 PM
What's up with Linn County?  Its a Clinton county in the middle of an Obama strip.

It's Albany.  Heavily working class, conservative Republicans and culturally conservative Democrats, very much the kind of area where Clinton should be doing extremely well.  The same essentially goes for Douglas County to the south.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #91 on: May 20, 2008, 10:40:19 PM »
im a little confused about how they do things in oregon.

1.  the media kept saying the polls close at 8 pt in oregon.  how can the polls close if it was a mail in vote?  was there a place you could drop off your ballot in person until 8pm?

2.  are the ballots optical scan?
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #92 on: May 20, 2008, 10:41:10 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on May 20, 2008, 10:39:18 PM
Quote from: Oklahoma Populist Democrat on May 20, 2008, 10:36:58 PM
What's up with Linn County?  Its a Clinton county in the middle of an Obama strip.

It's Albany.  Heavily working class, conservative Republicans and culturally conservative Democrats, very much the kind of area where Clinton should be doing extremely well.  The same essentially goes for Douglas County to the south.

Ah, I figured something was favoring her in those two counties.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #93 on: May 20, 2008, 10:41:29 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on May 20, 2008, 10:39:18 PM
Quote from: Oklahoma Populist Democrat on May 20, 2008, 10:36:58 PM
What's up with Linn County?  Its a Clinton county in the middle of an Obama strip.

It's Albany.  Heavily working class, conservative Republicans and culturally conservative Democrats, very much the kind of area where Clinton should be doing extremely well.  The same essentially goes for Douglas County to the south.

Considering what we're seeing, I would say Obama actually did quite well in Albany, his problem is most likely in smaller cities like Lebanon and Sweet Home.... not to mention getting creamed in the rural areas.
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Alcon
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« Reply #94 on: May 20, 2008, 10:41:43 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on May 20, 2008, 10:40:19 PM
im a little confused about how they do things in oregon.

1.  the media kept saying the polls close at 8 pt in oregon.  how can the polls close if it was a mail in vote?  was there a place you could drop off your ballot in person until 8pm?

2.  are the ballots optical scan?

Right on both counts.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #95 on: May 20, 2008, 10:42:09 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on May 20, 2008, 10:40:19 PM
im a little confused about how they do things in oregon.

1.  the media kept saying the polls close at 8 pt in oregon.  how can the polls close if it was a mail in vote?  was there a place you could drop off your ballot in person until 8pm?

2.  are the ballots optical scan?

I know the ballot drop-off sites were open until 8 pt.  I couldnt tell you about optical scan, though.
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Alcon
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« Reply #96 on: May 20, 2008, 10:46:59 PM »
Two new Eastern counties:

Wallowa (Enterprise) is Obama +16

Lake (Lakeview, if you can call it a place) is Clinton +8

Clinton leads Baker by 3 votes, down from several hundred
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #97 on: May 20, 2008, 10:47:07 PM »
Obama wins Wallowa County 56-40, which apparently has counted all of its ballots (pretty damn impressive if true).
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #98 on: May 20, 2008, 10:47:50 PM »
is the huckster on the ballot in oregon?
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #99 on: May 20, 2008, 10:48:27 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on May 20, 2008, 10:47:50 PM
is the huckster on the ballot in oregon?

Nope. It's a straight McCain-Paul battle. With an odd delegate apportionment system.
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