Official Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Discussion Thread

[Person Man]

I can't wait for Obama to thrash her in NC and finally end this.

[Gustaf]

and now it's back in single digits again

[Joe Biden 2020]

Potter county is starting to come in and, no suprise, Hillary is cleaning house.

[Person Man]

74.... 8 points.

75....8 points.

[Tender Branson]

I can't wait for Obama to thrash her in NC and finally end this.

[Lief 🗽]

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

With 94% in Obama now leads in PA-14 by over 3000. Looks like he might pull that one off after all.

[Person Man]

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Oh. God. No.

[Torie]

8 points with 72%. Want to go with 54-46? I predicted that, by the way.

No, she is going to get her 10% I think. But we have to see what the rest of Montco, Chester, and Lancaster does, along with the hinterlands of Dauphin. There are some uber Clintonion precincts out in the hinterlands undercounted as well.

Edit: But I see that Montco and tightened, and Delaware has moved into a narrow Obama lead, so maybe not.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Hillary can't lose by over 15 points in NC and still manage to take in over 2/3 of the remaining superdelegates (which is what she needs.)

[Person Man]

8 points with 72%. Want to go with 54-46? I predicted that, by the way.

No, she is going to get her 10% I think. But we have to see what the rest of Montco, Chester, and Lancaster does, along with the hinterlands of Dauphin. There are some uber Clintonion precincts out in the hinterlands undercounted as well.

Monty is coming in hard, though....and Obama is coming back.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Indiana will be a state to watch.  Its next door to Illinois (Obama's home state) and next door to Ohio (Clinton stronghold).  I think it will go down to the wire and probably won't be called until later in the evening on May 6.

[Gustaf]

Philadelphia is now at 96%. Clinton national margin is at 8.66%.

[J. J.]

Delco is possibly coming in from PA-1.

Net delegates anyone?

[Person Man]

Philadelphia is now at 96%. Clinton national margin is at 8.66%.

"national?"

[Flying Dog]

I predict MontCo will switch to Obama within the next 15 minutes.

[Eraserhead]

Philadelphia is now at 96%. Clinton national margin is at 8.66%.

"national?"

lol.

[Lief 🗽]

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Hillary can't lose by over 15 points in NC and still manage to take in over 2/3 of the remaining superdelegates (which is what she needs.)

Hah, as if the delegate count matters at this point. The headline matters. Obama defeating Clinton in two moderate-to-large sized states, both with significant white populations, would end her campaign. If he loses Indiana, then we're gonna have to watch Clinton and Obama pretend to speak Spanish for a few weeks while they campaign in Puerto Rico.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Here's what's in in Delaware. I wish I know where these places are:

http://election.co.delaware.pa.us/eb/April_2008/summary.html

[12th Doctor]

Chris, sedatives.  For real.

For those wondering about the Obama win in Union County:  Bucknell University.

Clinton just hit double digits.

So wait, I just got accused of racism and I'm the one who needs to calm down?  If you are black, then I can understand why you would support Obama, I think its crap, but I can understand it.  It's the young, well-off, white people cult who have to change their underwear every time he comes on TV that really bother me.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Delco is possibly coming in from PA-1.

Net delegates anyone?

The delegate count in pledged is still 37-31 Clinton in the lead.  With supers she is up 52-36.  Nationally, he is up 1679-1541

[Person Man]

76

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Hillary can't lose by over 15 points in NC and still manage to take in over 2/3 of the remaining superdelegates (which is what she needs.)

Hah, as if the delegate count matters at this point. The headline matters. Obama defeating Clinton in two moderate-to-large sized states, both with significant white populations, would end her campaign. If he loses Indiana, then we're gonna have to watch Clinton and Obama pretend to speak Spanish for a few weeks while they campaign in Puerto Rico.

Of course it matters. Hillary can't win without 2/3 of remaining superdelegates. She's going to have to do more than win Indiana to take that.

[Democratic Hawk]

"We were outspent, we were outspent, we were outspent..."

"...and we won, we won, we won."

Clinton isn't surely trying to play the 'underdog' for winning a state she couldn't lose given its demographics

Delaware (75% reporting): Obama 51% (31,904) / Clinton 49% (30,940)

Montgomery (26% reporting): Clinton 51% (23,569) / Obama 49% (22,672)

Bucks (35% reporting): Clinton 65% (24,631) / Obama 35% (13,814)

Chester: Nowt in yet

Dave

[Person Man]

Wow 60 pages. How does this compare to other states?