Wyoming Caucus(D) Results.
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Author Topic: Wyoming Caucus(D) Results.  (Read 8421 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #50 on: March 08, 2008, 02:03:54 PM »
Which is why I didn't include it in those yet to report Smiley
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #51 on: March 08, 2008, 02:05:16 PM »
Quote from: Thoughts Of A Dying Atheist on March 08, 2008, 02:03:15 PM
Quote from: Verily on March 08, 2008, 02:01:59 PM
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 01:59:22 PM
After Laramie, Albany, and possibly Teton counties report, Obama's margin should start to go down.

Teton will be the last to report. Of the remaining counties, only Teton, Natrona, Sweetwater and Laramie have enough voters to cause a serious swing. Clinton will do best in Sweetwater of those, but I doubt she wins it; the other three will be Obama's strongest areas.

Apparently on CNN, Albany was won by Obama by 74%...

I know.  I'm just saying that the high-population counties will make Obama's margin go way up.  Once the other small counties start to vote, Obama's margin should go back down, though he will get over 60% still.
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pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #52 on: March 08, 2008, 02:08:06 PM »
48% in

Obama 61%
Clinton  38%
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #53 on: March 08, 2008, 02:09:04 PM »
48% reporting:

Obama: 61%
Clinton: 38%
Uncommitted: 1%

Sweetwater reported 57-43 for Clinton.
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Person Man
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« Reply #54 on: March 08, 2008, 02:09:47 PM »
Albany and Cheyenne should go for Obama. I was in Albany. Almost everyone there was for Obama, even the football coach at the university.
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #55 on: March 08, 2008, 02:10:29 PM »
Quote from: Angry Weasel on March 08, 2008, 02:09:47 PM
Albany and Cheyenne should go for Obama. I was in Albany. Almost everyone there was for Obama, even the football coach at the university.

Albany reported 74-25 for Obama.
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #56 on: March 08, 2008, 02:10:47 PM »
sorta ot but when can we expect results for illinois-14 today?
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #57 on: March 08, 2008, 02:12:19 PM »
I guess I underestimated the mining towns in Sweetwater County.
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Person Man
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« Reply #58 on: March 08, 2008, 02:12:34 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:10:29 PM
Quote from: Angry Weasel on March 08, 2008, 02:09:47 PM
Albany and Cheyenne should go for Obama. I was in Albany. Almost everyone there was for Obama, even the football coach at the university.

Albany reported 74-25 for Obama.

That seems to be about right.
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pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #59 on: March 08, 2008, 02:13:20 PM »
52% in

Obama 61%
Clinton  38%
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #60 on: March 08, 2008, 02:13:53 PM »
Converse County reported 58-39 for Clinton.
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pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #61 on: March 08, 2008, 02:15:26 PM »
57% in

Obama 58%
Clinton  41%
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exopolitician
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« Reply #62 on: March 08, 2008, 02:16:33 PM »
What just came in that made her jump?
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #63 on: March 08, 2008, 02:16:40 PM »
Natrona County (Casper) reports 50-49 for Obama.

Is that margin smaller than expected?
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pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #64 on: March 08, 2008, 02:17:55 PM »

Looking at Fox News; no county results.  NY Times hasn't updated yet
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #65 on: March 08, 2008, 02:18:58 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:16:40 PM
Natrona County (Casper) reports 50-49 for Obama.

Is that margin smaller than expected?

Smaller than I expected, but thinking about it, it shouldn't be surprising. Nader's numbers as a write-in in 2000 are probably a pretty good indication of Obama strength as they represent where the Democrats are liberals rather than miners.
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #66 on: March 08, 2008, 02:19:37 PM »
Quote from: Change Never Comes Easy on March 08, 2008, 02:17:55 PM

Looking at Fox News; no county results.  NY Times hasn't updated yet

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#WY

County results.

Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:16:40 PM
Natrona County (Casper) reports 50-49 for Obama.

Is that margin smaller than expected?

That's what made her jump.
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exopolitician
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #67 on: March 08, 2008, 02:20:31 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:19:37 PM
Quote from: Change Never Comes Easy on March 08, 2008, 02:17:55 PM

Looking at Fox News; no county results.  NY Times hasn't updated yet

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#WY

County results.

Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:16:40 PM
Natrona County (Casper) reports 50-49 for Obama.

Is that margin smaller than expected?

That's what made her jump.

Gotcha Smiley
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #68 on: March 08, 2008, 02:20:42 PM »
Quote from: Verily on March 08, 2008, 02:18:58 PM
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:16:40 PM
Natrona County (Casper) reports 50-49 for Obama.

Is that margin smaller than expected?

Smaller than I expected, but thinking about it, it shouldn't be surprising. Nader's numbers as a write-in in 2000 are probably a pretty good indication of Obama strength as they represent where the Democrats are liberals rather than miners.

What about Laramie County (Cheyenne)?  Nader didn't do so well there, but it's also a big population center.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #69 on: March 08, 2008, 02:23:07 PM »
« Edited: March 08, 2008, 02:26:33 PM by Verily »
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:20:42 PM
Quote from: Verily on March 08, 2008, 02:18:58 PM
Quote from: True Democrat on March 08, 2008, 02:16:40 PM
Natrona County (Casper) reports 50-49 for Obama.

Is that margin smaller than expected?

Smaller than I expected, but thinking about it, it shouldn't be surprising. Nader's numbers as a write-in in 2000 are probably a pretty good indication of Obama strength as they represent where the Democrats are liberals rather than miners.

What about Laramie County (Cheyenne)?  Nader didn't do so well there, but it's also a big population center.

The anecdotal reports say the caucus sites were completely overwhelmed by voters. Take from that what you will.

Actually, the divide seems to be between farmers (Obama) and miners (Clinton), with liberals also supporting Obama. That would suggest that the remaining small counties will overall favor Obama, but I can't say for sure.

Also, Fremont County is actually bigger than Sweetwater, but it has no Democratic tradition the way Sweetwater does (which voted for Clinton in 1996). Fremont is also 20% Native. Interesting to watch.
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War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
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« Reply #70 on: March 08, 2008, 02:24:25 PM »
Just what I was expecting.
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Meeker
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« Reply #71 on: March 08, 2008, 02:25:27 PM »
Counties remaining, size and time estimate

Should report anytime: Carbon (small-medium), Fremont (big), Laramie (really big), Lincoln (small), Park (medium)

Should report after 1PM: Big Horn (small), Johnson (small), Sheridan (medium-big), Weston (small)

Should report after 3PM: Teton (medium-big)
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Meeker
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« Reply #72 on: March 08, 2008, 02:26:06 PM »
Those are all PST, btw, so adjust as necessary
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Person Man
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« Reply #73 on: March 08, 2008, 02:37:56 PM »
« Edited: March 08, 2008, 02:40:20 PM by Angry Weasel »
Quote from: Senator-elect meekermariner on March 08, 2008, 02:25:27 PM
Counties remaining, size and time estimate

Should report anytime: Carbon (small-medium), Fremont (big), Laramie (really big), Lincoln (small), Park (medium)

Should report after 1PM: Big Horn (small), Johnson (small), Sheridan (medium-big), Weston (small)

Should report after 3PM: Teton (medium-big)

HillDawg: Carbon, Lincoln, Big Horn, Johnson, Weston
Obama: Fremont(hippies), Laramie (bigger town), Teton(latte liberals), Sheridan (based on Gillette)
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pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #74 on: March 08, 2008, 02:39:01 PM »
Michael Barone's analysis on Fox News was that almost all of Obama's lead is due to Albany County and the University turnout.  Hillary did well in Sweetwater but not lots of enthusiasm and turnout
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