Official Florida Primary Result Page (Bipartisan)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #200 on: January 29, 2008, 08:20:27 PM »

Tim Russert said ppl who voted in the last month preferred Obama. The crazy thing is that ppl have been voting absentee since mid-december, which I think is a little ridiculous.

Agreed. Obama would never have had a chance with those people.
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #201 on: January 29, 2008, 08:21:16 PM »

Obama is kicking ass in Tallahasse. Pretty odd, compared to Orlando.

Something is amiss in the Orange county numbers on the D side. There's a 30% showing for "other", and unusually low Obama numbers.

As I said above, they're recording a phenomenal Gravel performance there, more than triple Edwards's showing. There's no way that's the case.
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Gabu
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« Reply #202 on: January 29, 2008, 08:21:24 PM »

Obama is back at 30% on CNN.
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #203 on: January 29, 2008, 08:22:20 PM »

question to all refreshing every 5 seconds, can romney still win this and how can he pull it off?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #204 on: January 29, 2008, 08:22:25 PM »

A Clinton <50% win does not augur well for Feb. 5th...

Agreed but Obama needs to get his issues with Latinos under control somehow.
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War on Want
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« Reply #205 on: January 29, 2008, 08:22:33 PM »


Looks like Lee County (Ft Myers) with a 6000 vote margin for Mitt is a big piece.Still no significant counts from the big southern 3 - Dade, Broward, Palm Beach.

Nothing still yet from Hillsborough, Duval, Pinellas (7%) or the Panhandle either.
Romney or Huckabee, will proabably win there.
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« Reply #206 on: January 29, 2008, 08:22:49 PM »

Romney should do well in the panhandle, no?
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Bacon King
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« Reply #207 on: January 29, 2008, 08:23:29 PM »

Is Orange County 19% Gravel on multiple websites? I only see it on the New York Times map.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #208 on: January 29, 2008, 08:23:39 PM »

Obama is kicking ass in Tallahasse. Pretty odd, compared to Orlando.

Something is amiss in the Orange county numbers on the D side. There's a 30% showing for "other", and unusually low Obama numbers.

As I said above, they're recording a phenomenal Gravel performance there, more than triple Edwards's showing. There's no way that's the case.

You have to believe in the power of a mad man.
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M
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« Reply #209 on: January 29, 2008, 08:23:54 PM »


Not rly. Same demographics as SC - Mc vs. Huck.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #210 on: January 29, 2008, 08:24:01 PM »

McCain surge. Sad
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #211 on: January 29, 2008, 08:24:16 PM »

Nothing still yet from Hillsborough, Duval, Pinellas (7%) or the Panhandle either.

Hillsborough at least had begun to report.  McCain by 11% in the first report.
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War on Want
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« Reply #212 on: January 29, 2008, 08:24:29 PM »

Unfortuantley, Miami and Broward have't reported much yet....
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #213 on: January 29, 2008, 08:24:38 PM »


Sucks.
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muon2
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« Reply #214 on: January 29, 2008, 08:24:46 PM »


Pensacola is heavy military. It is expected to lean McCain.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #215 on: January 29, 2008, 08:25:23 PM »


Looks like Lee County (Ft Myers) with a 6000 vote margin for Mitt is a big piece.Still no significant counts from the big southern 3 - Dade, Broward, Palm Beach.

Nothing still yet from Hillsborough, Duval, Pinellas (7%) or the Panhandle either.
Romney or Huckabee, will proabably win there.

Hillsbourogh, Pinellas are Tampa-St. Pete - swing areas.  Duval - Jacksonville - should be Mitt.

Panhandle is hard to figure - Military and evangelical.  Redneck Riviera.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #216 on: January 29, 2008, 08:25:39 PM »


Lot of military and exmilitary in the panhandle...could favor mccain
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #217 on: January 29, 2008, 08:25:49 PM »

For the optimistic Obama (and Edwards) supporters, I hate to rain on the parade, but Broward and Miami-Dade are hardly in at all, and Palm Beach isn't in at all. By early numbers, Clinton will be destroying in Broward, and probably in Palm Beach, too. Obama's doing well in Miami-Dade, but Edwards's showing there so far is dismal, bad enough that it will boost Clinton.
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J. J.
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« Reply #218 on: January 29, 2008, 08:26:24 PM »

33% Mac by +2 HRC by +19.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #219 on: January 29, 2008, 08:26:35 PM »


Looks like Lee County (Ft Myers) with a 6000 vote margin for Mitt is a big piece.Still no significant counts from the big southern 3 - Dade, Broward, Palm Beach.

Nothing still yet from Hillsborough, Duval, Pinellas (7%) or the Panhandle either.
Romney or Huckabee, will proabably win there.

Hillsbourogh, Pinellas are Tampa-St. Pete - swing areas.  Duval - Jacksonville - should be Mitt.

Panhandle is hard to figure - Military and evangelical.  Redneck Riviera.

Pensacola has a big black population, it could favor Obama by alot. Walton, Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa are big tourist/retirement areas...probably favor Clinton.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #220 on: January 29, 2008, 08:27:02 PM »

For the optimistic Obama (and Edwards) supporters, I hate to rain on the parade, but Broward and Miami-Dade are hardly in at all, and Palm Beach isn't in at all. By early numbers, Clinton will be destroying in Broward, and probably in Palm Beach, too. Obama's doing well in Miami-Dade, but Edwards's showing there so far is dismal, bad enough that it will boost Clinton.

That sucks, I guess.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #221 on: January 29, 2008, 08:27:06 PM »

So far, approx turnout with 30% reporting:
718,000 for the Democrats
870,000 for the Republicans

Pretty decent showing for the Democrats, considering it didn't mean anything and no one campaigned or had any GOTV effort.
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War on Want
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« Reply #222 on: January 29, 2008, 08:27:37 PM »


Looks like Lee County (Ft Myers) with a 6000 vote margin for Mitt is a big piece.Still no significant counts from the big southern 3 - Dade, Broward, Palm Beach.

Nothing still yet from Hillsborough, Duval, Pinellas (7%) or the Panhandle either.
Romney or Huckabee, will proabably win there.

Hillsbourogh, Pinellas are Tampa-St. Pete - swing areas.  Duval - Jacksonville - should be Mitt.

Panhandle is hard to figure - Military and evangelical.  Redneck Riviera.
Yeah I meant that Romney or Huckabee would probably win in the Panhandle.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #223 on: January 29, 2008, 08:27:49 PM »

So far, approx turnout with 30% reporting:
718,000 for the Democrats
870,000 for the Republicans

Pretty decent showing for the Democrats, considering it didn't mean anything and no one campaigned or had any GOTV effort.

Clinton had a GOTV effort.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #224 on: January 29, 2008, 08:28:08 PM »


Looks like Lee County (Ft Myers) with a 6000 vote margin for Mitt is a big piece.Still no significant counts from the big southern 3 - Dade, Broward, Palm Beach.

Nothing still yet from Hillsborough, Duval, Pinellas (7%) or the Panhandle either.
Romney or Huckabee, will proabably win there.

Hillsbourogh, Pinellas are Tampa-St. Pete - swing areas.  Duval - Jacksonville - should be Mitt.

Panhandle is hard to figure - Military and evangelical.  Redneck Riviera.

Pensacola has a big black population, it could favor Obama by alot. Walton, Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa are big tourist/retirement areas...probably favor Clinton.

I'm talking about the races that matter - the Republicans.  At least until Clinton seats the Florida delegates.
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