New Hampshire Democratic Primary Results

[agcatter]

Very early, but Hillary is starting to stretch it out - this is not good.

[Meeker]

I'm pretty sure once the urban precincts start reporting things are going to start changing pretty quickly.


And I have a secret: Clinton's my number 2 *hides*

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#NHDEM

Er... doing the math, it looks like Obama and Clinton are basically tied.

[Sam Spade]

Hillary Clinton just "won" the the New Hampshire Primary.  Note the quotes.

She down played her chances, cried at just the right time.  That is going down in the history with Muskie's tears, Reagan's "I paid for this microphone," Dole's "Stop lying about my record," and Bill Clinton's "They can me the Come Back Kid."

Along with a little of the Bradley Effect to help her, I suspect.

However, let's see where this one ends up.  But, all in all, I agree with you.

[Eraserhead]

I'll take 1% win for Obama at this point. Still very early though... don't get too worried.

[Flying Dog]

Obama was fluctuating between 28-23% at this point, his strength is with the suburbs and cities. Not hicks.

[Dark Jin]

I'm pretty sure once the urban precincts start reporting things are going to start changing pretty quickly.


And I have a secret: Clinton's my number 2 *hides*

Yeah, Edwards was winning in Iowa before Obama got first with a 8% margin.

[Verily]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#NHDEM

Er... doing the math, it looks like Obama and Clinton are basically tied.

Actually, it's weird. There are some sections (such as "Are you worried about a terrorist attack?") where Obama leads by a few points in all categories, yet the overall poll has them tied.

[7,052,770]

Obama was fluctuating between 28-23% at this point, his strength is with the suburbs and cities. Not hicks.

because obviously anyone who doesn't live in a city/suburb is a hick...

[MarkWarner08]

Hubris leads to one's downfall. NH has aways been Clinton country (it even voted for Clinton in the GE back in its more Republican days), so Obama's folks should've realized this race wouldn't be a cake-walk. Instead they read their own spin and believed it.  Now Obama's lost the momentum and some reports indicate that he may even lose a critical union endorsement in NV. Anything less than a 5% for Obama is a net negative; a loss is catastrophic.

[Flying Dog]

Obama was fluctuating between 28-23% at this point, his strength is with the suburbs and cities. Not hicks.

because obviously anyone who doesn't live in a city/suburb is a hick...

yep basically. Me included

[Dark Jin]

42 of 301 Precincts Reporting
January 8, 2008
            

CLINTON   40%   17,191   0   

OBAMA   36%   15,187   0   

EDWARDS   17%   7,163   0   

[exopolitician]

40% to 35%...he keeps dropping....*biting nails*

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

they shouldn't release results until ALL preceints are closed.

Releasing this now is an example of pro-Obama media bias, because marginal Obama supporters will go vote now.

Agreed.

[Verily]

Hubris leads to one's downfall. NH has aways been Clinton country (it even voted for Clinton in the GE back in its more Republican days), so Obama's folks should've realized this race wouldn't be a cake-walk. Instead they read their own spin and believed it.  Now Obama's lost the momentum and some reports indicate that he may even lose a critical union endorsement in NV. Anything less than a 5% for Obama is a net negative; a loss is catastrophic.

I don't get the impression that there was hubris in the campaign itself, only among his supporters (and the polls gave good reason for that). Honestly, I blame it on the lack of media coverage for Obama's excellent response to Clinton crocodile's tears.

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

Nonsense.

Obama wins tonight. 

[Lief 🗽]

Er... I'm incredibly worried at this point.

[J. J.]

Hillary Clinton just "won" the the New Hampshire Primary.  Note the quotes.

She down played her chances, cried at just the right time.  That is going down in the history with Muskie's tears, Reagan's "I paid for this microphone," Dole's "Stop lying about my record," and Bill Clinton's "They can me the Come Back Kid."

Along with a little of the Bradley Effect to help her, I suspect.

However, let's see where this one ends up.  But, all in all, I agree with you.

I think the Bradley effect is limited; the problem is polling in NH.  The joke has been that the voters  in NH tend to lie to pollsters.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#NH

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I would be worried if I were an Obama supporter.  At this point on Thursday in Iowa, Obama was starting to close the gap a little bit, and New Hampshire's demographics do not change much at all as you go across the state.  Hillary's gap is widening.

All in all I love this stuff.  I was almost certain that NH was going to be called for Obama as soon as the clock struck 8 tonight.  Good race. 

[Flying Dog]

There coming in so slowllly!!!!!

[Speed of Sound]

Obama was fluctuating between 28-23% at this point, his strength is with the suburbs and cities. Not hicks.

because obviously anyone who doesn't live in a city/suburb is a hick...

Lack of PC aside, Pope Leo is right. Our numbers are in Manchester, et al. In fact, this is about what we polled in this same type of area in Iowa, perhaps predicting a similar win tonight. [/spin]

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I still say Obama wins (ignore my prediction map - i lost power the past day and wasn't able to update it).

[Dark Jin]

46 of 301 Precincts Reporting
January 8, 2008
            

CLINTON   40%   17,609   0   

OBAMA   36%   15,858   0   

EDWARDS   17%   7,413   0   

[Sam Spade]

Hubris leads to one's downfall. NH has aways been Clinton country (it even voted for Clinton in the GE back in its more Republican days), so Obama's folks should've realized this race wouldn't be a cake-walk. Instead they read their own spin and believed it.  Now Obama's lost the momentum and some reports indicate that he may even lose a critical union endorsement in NV. Anything less than a 5% for Obama is a net negative; a loss is catastrophic.

Can't second what you say enough..

[Kushahontas]

im predicting an obama win tonight as well but good lord im starting to get a little anxious. if she can keep this up, omg i will cry tonight