"Unwinnable" elections (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 01:55:02 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  "Unwinnable" elections (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: "Unwinnable" elections  (Read 4821 times)
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« on: August 03, 2004, 09:26:41 PM »

Some of those elections were sort of close, definitely not a 2000, buit also most definitely not a 1964, like 1860, 1868, 1900, 1988.

Why do you think 1988 could have been winnable for Dukakis? In the minds of many voters, that may as well have been a third term for Reagan.

Without some of his gaffes, it could have been a closer race. Actually, Dukakis only lost by about two to three points in three major states (CA, PA, IL). If he had won those three, he would have had 207 EVs instead of the 111 EVs he actually won. So like I said without some of his gaffes, it would have been a closer race.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2004, 09:37:44 PM »

Some of those elections were sort of close, definitely not a 2000, buit also most definitely not a 1964, like 1860, 1868, 1900, 1988.

Why do you think 1988 could have been winnable for Dukakis? In the minds of many voters, that may as well have been a third term for Reagan.

Without some of his gaffes, it could have been a closer race. Actually, Dukakis only lost by about two to three points in three major states (CA, PA, IL). If he had won those three, he would have had 207 EVs instead of the 111 EVs he actually won. So like I said without some of his gaffes, it would have been a closer race.

Closer? Yes. Winnable? I'm still not sure. Maybe, but I'm not sure that it would have been.

Winnable? No I don't think so. I was just saying with Dukakis gaining 96 more electoral votes, it wouldn't have been that comfortable of a win for Bush.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.