Who will do better in NY? Biden or Gillibrand?

[Sir Mohamed]

Just like Schumer, Gillibrand performed extremely well in her previous senate races. However, while her reelection is assured, iit's likely to assume she will end up with a much weaker peformance than in 2018. I suspect she along with other Dems has lost a ton of appeal in Upstate. Her failed WH bid even made her brand more controversial.

Hot take: I'm leaning towards predicting that Biden will slightly outrun her.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gillibrand will win by more

[xavier110]

Any third parties in the Sen race? If not, Gillibrand

[SilverStar]

Gillibrand by 3-4 points

[Progressive Pessimist]

Obviously Gillibrand.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Gillibrand, but agree most of her crossover support erodes from 2018. The reason I think she still outruns Biden is a combination of her being an incumbent, down ballot Dems generally holding up better than Biden in polling, and downballot lag in both rural upstate and NYC, plus perhaps some of the Orthodox Jewish communities being a bit more favorable to her due to Rabbi endorsements and what not.

[Schiff for Senate]

Gillibrand, of course. She'll lose ground in the Upstate rurals, yes, but she'll still outperform Biden there and in most other areas of the state (plus, as ProgMod mentioned, some of those Jewish communities may have an insane overperformance for Gillibrand).

[Ferguson97]

Gillibrand, but that will most be explained by abstain/Gillibrand voters rather than Trump/Gillibrand voters.