2024 South Korean legislative election (April 10th)

[jaichind]

DPK (Left) and PPP (Right) live headquarters reaction to exit polls

I appreciate the quirkiness of DPK officials wearing American high school athletics letterman style jackets. I assume there's some reason for that choice. Maybe because they were trying look uniform and stylish on television?

I think that is standard.  All the ROK election night live streams of various major party headquarters has all the key party leaders wearing uniforms with party colors.

[Logical]

Another fun fact. Number #8 on the PFP list is Ihn Yo-Han (English name: John Linton). He comes from a family of Presbyterian missionaries who moved to Korea in the late 19th century.

As the PFP have won more than 8 seats, he will become the first white man and second naturalized South Korean citizen to be elected to the National Assembly.

[jaichind]

PR so far (around 71% of the vote counted)

PFP(PPP)     19
DAK(DPK)   13
RKP            12
NRP             2

It has been pretty stable at this level for a while now.  I do not see why these numbers are not just the final results

[Logical]

PR vote shares (73% counted)
PFP 37.91%
DAK 26.25%
RKP 23.51%
NRP 3.45%
LUP 2.68%
GJP 2.04%
NFP 1.68%

PFP beat pre election polls while RKP underperformed. All minor parties suffer and get cannibalized as a result of polarization. PPP's slight overperformance in FPTP seats can be attributed to a last minute rally of conservatives to stop liberals from winning a supermajority.

[Tintrlvr]

Another fun fact. Number #8 on the PFP list is Ihn Yo-Han (English name: John Linton). He comes from a family of Presbyterian missionaries who moved to Korea in the late 19th century.

As the PFP have won more than 8 seats, he will become the first white man and second naturalized South Korean citizen to be elected to the National Assembly.

He is also I believe the only PPP/PFP parliamentarian to be elected from Jeolla province.

[Tintrlvr]

How do Protestants, Catholics and Buddhists usually vote in South Korea??

To answer this question a bit late: There are not sharp divides along religious lines in South Korea. For one, around 50% of South Koreans identify as non-religious. Two, there are sharp regional divides in South Korean politics that tend to drive political identity much more than religion or religiosity. That said, the DPK stronghold of Jeolla is the most Christian (especially Protestant) part of South Korea, while the PPP stronghold of Gyeongsang is the most Buddhist part of South Korea by identification according to the 2015 Census. Similar trends can be seen elsewhere (e.g., Gyeonggi, also fairly strong for the DPK, is also relatively more Protestant). Overall, therefore, it is probably fair to say that Protestants lean towards the DPK while Buddhists lean towards the PPP. This is driven more by which groups live where, and in turn who (or whose parents) converted to Protestantism, which was generally (though not exclusively) the poorest South Koreans (and Jeolla is historically the poorest province) so generally lean DPK. Age plays a role, too; Buddhists are overrepresented among the very old, who are strongly PPP, while Christians are overrepresented among the middle-aged, who lean DPK.

All that is to say: You can say something about which parties different religious groups vote for, but it's not really the case that religion is driving their vote, more demographics and geography are tied to both political and religious identity separately.

[S019]

Is there anywhere to find results breakdowns for the PR vote? The results websites all just have an overview, and I can't even find the PR section on the official results page.

[Oryxslayer]

With over 99% of the vote tabulated, this may be the final FPTP breakdown:

DPK: 161
PPP 90
NFP 1
NRP 1  
PP/indie 1

Country Overall:



Seoul Region:

[xelas81]

North Korean defector turned PPP MP Tae Yong-ho lost his race. Unlike last time when he ran in ultra safe seat in Gangnam, he ran in more opposition stronghold.

[PSOL]

Alright, I don’t know jack about South Korean politics.

What has the Labor party been up to?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

What's with that little PPP cluster in the middle of Seoul?

[Oryxslayer]

What's with that little PPP cluster in the middle of Seoul?

Go back a few pages for a discussion on this very topic. TL:DR: Gagnam money.

[Logical]

Is there anywhere to find results breakdowns for the PR vote? The results websites all just have an overview, and I can't even find the PR section on the official results page.

http://info.nec.go.kr/m/main/showDocument.xhtml?electionId=0020240410&topMenuId=VC&secondMenuId=VCCP09
Use a translator, select Proportional Representative election.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I guess there's buyers' remorse over electing Yoon?

Reminds me a lot of the 2016 election and its aftermath. Though Yoon actually won the popular vote.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

What's with that little PPP cluster in the middle of Seoul?

Go back a few pages for a discussion on this very topic. TL:DR: Gagnam money.

gangnam style

[Logical]

Regional results change from 2020

Gyeonggi - 60 seats (+1)
DPK 53 (+2)
PPP 6 (-1)
NRP 1
GJP 0 (-1)

Seoul - 48 seats (-1)
DPK 37 (-4)
PPP 11 (+3)

Incheon - 14 seats (+1)
DPK 12 (+1)
PPP 2 (+1)
IND 0 (-1)

Gangwon - 8 seats
PPP 6 (+2)
DPK 2 (-1)
IND 0 (-1)

North Chungcheong - 8 seats
DPK 5 (-)
PPP 3 (-)

South Chungcheong - 11 seats
DPK 8 (+2)
PPP 3 (-2)

Daejeon - 7 seats
DPK 7 (-)
PPP 0 (-)

Sejong - 2 seats
DPK 1 (-1)
NFP 1 (new)
PPP 0 (-)

North Jeolla - 10 seats
DPK 10 (+1)
IND 0 (-1)
PPP 0 (-)

South Jeolla - 10 seats
DPK 10 (-)
PPP 0 (-)

Gwangju - 8 seats
DPK 8 (-)
PPP 0 (-)

North Gyeongsang - 13 seats
PPP 13 (-)
DPK 0 (-)

Daegu - 12 seats
PPP 12 (-)
DPK 0 (-)

South Gyeongsang - 16 seats
PPP 13 (+1)
DPK 3 (-1)
IND 0 (-)

Busan - 18 seats
PPP 17 (+2)
DPK 1 (-1)

Ulsan - 6 seats
PPP 4 (-1)
DPK 1 (-)
PP 1 (new)

Jeju - 3 seats
DPK 3 (-)
PPP 0 (-)

Nationwide - 254 seats (+1)
DPK 161 (-2)
PPP 90 (+6)
NFP 1 (new)
NRP 1 (new)
PP 1 (new)
GJP 0 (-1)
IND 0 (-5)

Confirming the rightwards trend of Seoul, PPP made decent gains there. DPK maintain their dominance in the younger and mostly middle class Gyeonggi. In Chungcheong, PPP was hurt by Yoon's decision to cut the government R&D budget. Daejeon and the surrounding region is known for being South Korea's R&D hub. Finally in the industrial Nakdong River belt (Busan & South Gyeongsang), DPK had hoped to make some gains but ended up with losing seats compared to 2020.

[Logical]

Maps from Yonhap

National Map

Cartogram

Seoul only. 2016 -> 2020 -> 2024

Seoul Capital area, 2020 & 2024

[Logical]

Final PR results

PFP 36.67% - 18 seats
DAK 26.69% - 14 seats
RKP 24.25% - 12 seats
NRP 3.61% - 2 seats
LUP 2.26%
GJP 2.14%
NFP 1.70%

DAK snatched a seat from PFP with the last votes counted.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Another fun fact. Number #8 on the PFP list is Ihn Yo-Han (English name: John Linton). He comes from a family of Presbyterian missionaries who moved to Korea in the late 19th century.

As the PFP have won more than 8 seats, he will become the first white man and second naturalized South Korean citizen to be elected to the National Assembly.

"Linton is a Korean reunification activist, and has expressed support for providing further aid to North Korea."

Great reminder that Kim Hasn’t Given Up on Unification

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Final PR results

PFP 36.67% - 18 seats
DAK 26.69% - 14 seats
RKP 24.25% - 12 seats
NRP 3.61% - 2 seats
LUP 2.26%
GJP 2.14%
NFP 1.70%

DAK snatched a seat from PFP with the last votes counted.

concerning that the ultra-crazies in the LUP got pretty close to entering the legislature.

[Logical]

Exit poll by age and gender. The ridiculous 40 point gender gap among the 20 year olds from 2022 has been halved. Young women remain overwhelmingly liberal however.

[Logical]

60 women were elected (highest ever) but the average age of the National Assembly remains at US Senate or House Democratic caucus levels.

[Flyersfan232]

Another fun fact. Number #8 on the PFP list is Ihn Yo-Han (English name: John Linton). He comes from a family of Presbyterian missionaries who moved to Korea in the late 19th century.

As the PFP have won more than 8 seats, he will become the first white man and second naturalized South Korean citizen to be elected to the National Assembly.

future Korean obama!

[Flyersfan232]

North Korean defector turned PPP MP Tae Yong-ho lost his race. Unlike last time when he ran in ultra safe seat in Gangnam, he ran in more opposition stronghold.

may I ask why?

[Battista Minola 1616]

Another fun fact. Number #8 on the PFP list is Ihn Yo-Han (English name: John Linton). He comes from a family of Presbyterian missionaries who moved to Korea in the late 19th century.
As the PFP have won more than 8 seats, he will become the first white man and second naturalized South Korean citizen to be elected to the National Assembly.

future Korean obama!

I don't think this post is too serious but I will note Ihn is literally older than Obama.