Florida 2024
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Florida 2024		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: How does Florida swing vs 2020?
#1
Trump 5 or more points		  
#2
Trump 1 to 4 points		  
#3
Same		  
#4
Biden 1 to 4 points		  
#5
Biden 5 points or better		  
#6
Trump matches or exceeds Desantis 2022		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 77

Author Topic: Florida 2024  (Read 1533 times)
jman123
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« on: December 01, 2023, 05:36:28 PM »
In 2020 Trump won Florida 51-47. How will he do next year. Can he win Miami Dade? Desantis won 59-39 in 2022 statewide
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2023, 05:37:49 PM »
Trump by 5 or more points, but I doubt it will be double digits.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #2 on: December 01, 2023, 05:38:50 PM »
Trump +7.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2023, 05:40:56 PM »
Biden will win Florida, but will lose the election overall.
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seskoog
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« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2023, 06:14:11 PM »
Trump+5
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #5 on: December 01, 2023, 06:15:22 PM »
Trump + 7.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2023, 07:08:29 PM »
Trump wins between six and nine points.

If he wins by five or less, that's essentially a moral victory for Biden.
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cherry mandarin
HL23
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« Reply #7 on: December 15, 2023, 08:42:00 PM »
Quote from: jman123 on December 01, 2023, 05:36:28 PM
In 2020, Trump won Florida by 51 to 47. How will he do next year? Could he carry Dade? DeSantis won 59-39 in 2022.

Especially given the current national environment, definitely an R swing of >5 points.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: December 15, 2023, 08:52:56 PM »
Trump wins between six and nine points.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #9 on: December 15, 2023, 09:01:34 PM »
Definitely trends left relative to the NPV and the tipping point state. It could still be Trump +5 to 6 just because Biden is collapsing nationally and losing NPV by 3.
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
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« Reply #10 on: December 15, 2023, 09:10:24 PM »
Trump+6.5
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2016
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« Reply #11 on: December 19, 2023, 07:56:57 PM »
I have been waiting for this for an entire year.

Broward County Voter Maintenance completed!

D's lost 87, R's lost 30K, I's 73K



Republicans now lead Democrats in Florida by 760,000+ give or take a few.

Current limited Florida Polls projecting R's have an 850,000 Registration lead by November 2024 and a 1.1 to 1.3M Turnout Edge.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #12 on: December 19, 2023, 08:00:07 PM »
Trump +8
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: December 19, 2023, 08:10:08 PM »
You are probably right at least what FL is concerned.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #14 on: December 19, 2023, 08:32:42 PM »
Trump by high single digits.
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Randy Marsh
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« Reply #15 on: December 19, 2023, 08:34:41 PM »
Quote from: Holy Unifying Centrist on December 01, 2023, 05:40:56 PM
Biden will win Florida, but will lose the election overall.




Worst prediction I've seen all day
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: December 19, 2023, 08:55:59 PM »
Quote from: Randy Marsh on December 19, 2023, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: Holy Unifying Centrist on December 01, 2023, 05:40:56 PM
Biden will win Florida, but will lose the election overall.




Worst prediction I've seen all day
Agreed! Republican Strategists for the forseeable future won't lose sleep over Florida and that is very refreshing. That State will be a RED STATE in 2024 and beyond and little Nikki Fried or Debbie Mucarsel-Powell won't change that either.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #17 on: December 20, 2023, 01:27:00 PM »
Quote from: Randy Marsh on December 19, 2023, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: Holy Unifying Centrist on December 01, 2023, 05:40:56 PM
Biden will win Florida, but will lose the election overall.




Worst prediction I've seen all day


Only real ones understand my reference
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #18 on: December 20, 2023, 02:46:06 PM »
Quote from: Holy Unifying Centrist on December 01, 2023, 05:40:56 PM
Biden will win Florida, but will lose the election overall.




Now this is a hot take!!!!
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: December 20, 2023, 02:55:06 PM »
Trump wins the state 53.5% to 45.5%.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #20 on: December 20, 2023, 05:18:54 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on December 20, 2023, 04:41:11 PM
Quote from: 2016 on December 19, 2023, 07:56:57 PM
I have been waiting for this for an entire year.

Broward County Voter Maintenance completed!

You spent the entire year refreshing the FL voter registration page?
Nah, but once or twice a month I looked at the Broward County Board of Supervisors Page.
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Devils30
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« Reply #21 on: December 20, 2023, 09:24:22 PM »
I think Trump will win FL by 7 to 8 so it would be a 1-5 point SWING from 2020 (Trump +3) based on the poll.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #22 on: December 20, 2023, 09:25:16 PM »
Quote from: TodayJunior on December 20, 2023, 02:46:06 PM
Quote from: Holy Unifying Centrist on December 01, 2023, 05:40:56 PM
Biden will win Florida, but will lose the election overall.




Now this is a hot take!!!!
That would be very bizarre
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #23 on: December 20, 2023, 09:59:42 PM »
1-4 points left if Biden wins the popular vote, 1-4 points right if Trump wins the popular vote by 3, 5+ points right if Trump wins by 2008 margins nationally.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #24 on: December 21, 2023, 12:41:23 AM »
Democrats aren't going to take the common wisdom that Florida Republicans offer about the state.
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