Who will win PA?
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  Who will win PA?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: 90 day poll
#1
Biden		  
#2
Trump		  
#3
It's a tossup		  
#4
All other answers		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Who will win PA?  (Read 612 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« on: October 30, 2023, 08:28:30 PM »
In the General Election (not in the primary)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2023, 08:31:46 PM »
Biden.

I expect a full Florida Effect for Dems, where it swings even if the rest of the country goes the other way.
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DS0816
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2023, 09:06:37 PM »
Quote from: °Sturdy Unicorn on October 30, 2023, 08:28:30 PM
In the General Election (not in the primary)

The winning party.

This answer is the same for fellow Rust Belt bellwether states Michigan and Wisconsin.

I also sense North Carolina is going to become the next bellwether state which gets reliably carried in U.S. presidential elections. (A 2012 Barack Obama and a 2020 Joe Biden won the U.S. Popular Vote by, whole-number estimates, +4 and needed +5 for North Carolina.)
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2023, 10:36:47 AM »
Biden obviously. And it won’t be close whatsoever. Sticking to my 7% margin.
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20RP12
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2023, 10:43:31 AM »
I'm pretty confident that Biden will win by 4-5%
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BigZuck08
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2023, 10:45:24 AM »
As of now, Trump due to the independent runs splitting the Biden vote (though its a possibility the RFK independent bid could help Biden). If the economy continues to get better and the third parties get less momentum than I'll say Biden. But the state really can go either way.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2023, 02:16:35 PM »
Josh Shapiro should run. He'd win PA, Biden might not.
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Old Man Willow
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2023, 02:20:50 PM »
Trump by less than a point.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2023, 02:44:04 PM »

No
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2023, 04:25:36 PM »
"It's a Toss-Up" is the easy answer here. Gun to my head, Biden very narrowly, though I don't think 2022 is necessarily indicative of what will happen in the GE, since Fetterman and Shapiro clearly had appeal to voters who are not as receptive to Biden.
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Blow by blow, the passion dies
LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2023, 04:28:13 PM »
Biden narrowly wins
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2023, 04:55:17 PM »
303 states are Lean D the 415 OH, NC, TX and FL are tilt R/tossup

Why would you make PA Lean R and last time 20/22 it came in D it's fools gold for Rs
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2023, 06:05:11 PM »
Biden by two to three points. The Pennsylvania Democratic Party really has their s*** together now, and I think that will matter.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2023, 11:52:18 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on November 02, 2023, 06:05:11 PM
Biden by two to three points. The Pennsylvania Democratic Party really has their s*** together now, and I think that will matter.
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