Rate Starr County, Texas
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Poll
Question: Your rating?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Tilt D		  
#6
Lean D		  
#7
Likely D		  
#8
Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: Rate Starr County, Texas  (Read 697 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,226


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« on: May 04, 2023, 06:06:18 AM »
title
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
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United States


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E: -8.65, S: -6.26

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« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2023, 06:59:21 AM »
R's should win regardless of the environment. TX will be the least of their problems even in a bad night for them imo.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2023, 12:28:26 PM »
This is still a Biden+5 county. If Beto carried it I don’t see why Biden isn’t favored here.
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TheReckoning
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2023, 03:49:54 PM »
Strong pro-incumbent bias. Safe D.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Ukraine


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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2023, 04:03:49 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on May 04, 2023, 06:59:21 AM
R's should win regardless of the environment. TX will be the least of their problems even in a bad night for them imo.
Beto won it by 18 points despite losing by double digits statewide.
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
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United States


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E: -1.94, S: -2.26

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« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2023, 05:01:39 PM »
Somewhere been lean/likely D. It'll likely flip at some point but probably not until at least 2028.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
Shaula
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Australia


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« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2023, 10:43:01 PM »
Lean D. Presidential turnout will help Trump in the RGV.
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DS0816
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« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2023, 08:13:14 AM »
Starr County, Texas—with its county seat Rio Grande City—is in the process of dealigning from the Democrats and is either going to become a bellwether to the state (or nationwide) or one which will realign to the Republicans. The 2016-to-2020 shift, of 55.18 percentage points, was dramatic. It will be an interesting County to Watch for how it will perform in 2024.
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Progressive Pessimist
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2023, 06:06:26 PM »
Lean D. I think there is a case to be made about how it votes when incumbent Presidents are up for re-election, but the question is whether that disrupts or usurps Hispanic trends in the area.
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