AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[henster]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1752535256849395712

She's not running.

She spent over $100K on fundraising consultants so this seems more like a forced retirement and not her gracefully exiting the stage. Definitely better off staying as a Dem despite her odds against Gallego.

[wbrocks67]

The wild thing is - as noted, she did spend some on digital advertising, and I'm still on her mailing list from before, so she has sent out a good amount of fundraising emails as well, so the fact that those are not producing anything should give her a clear sign that it's not happening

[Sir Mohamed]

The irony of all of that is that Sinema just needed to vote like Kelly or Tester instead of Manchin or even to latter's right, and she would have been perfectly fine. No primary challenge and favorite against Lake. I hope the grandstanding and stonewalling Biden's agenda was worth it.

[The Mikado]

Gallego raised 3.3m and Lake 2.1m, by contrast. No way Sinema runs at this point IMO. Gets less likely every day.

[Oryxslayer]

Gallego raised 3.3m and Lake 2.1m, by contrast. No way Sinema runs at this point IMO. Gets less likely every day.

https://twitter.com/yvonnewingett/status/1753043527100231697?t=XUI7KJ3AVtZh6zTlZ...

On the topic of Lake,  apparently she still has debt from the lawsuits,  despite the radical grassroots. Politico has it at a couple hundred net positive,  to Gallegos 7 million and Sinemas massive warchest that seems likely to just be shelved.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If she doesn't run, that's unfortunate. She would have made this race Likely D bordering on Safe D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hopefully, she doesn't run

[henster]

Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

[Tekken_Guy]

Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

Gallego would win that primary easily.

[henster]

Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

Gallego would win that primary easily.

She would have $10M and the DSCC would be obligated to support her as an incumbent, I think she would make it close. Which is why I think she's seriously considering switching back.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

Gallego would win that primary easily.

She would have $10M and the DSCC would be obligated to support her as an incumbent, I think she would make it close. Which is why I think she's seriously considering switching back.

The DSCC wouldn’t do much to help her and she’d get annihilated

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

Gallego would win that primary easily.

She would have $10M and the DSCC would be obligated to support her as an incumbent, I think she would make it close. Which is why I think she's seriously considering switching back.

I highly doubt she would switch back after all the talk about decrying partisan politics since her switch to Independent.

The fact that the Senate GOP ruthlessly killed her border bill could be the excuse she needs to announce she won't run again. Her argument would be the Senate failed Arizona, partisanship is too high, and the institution is irredeemable.

I still think there's a strong chance she runs again.

[Landslide Lyndon]

She would have $10M and the DSCC would be obligated to support her as an incumbent, I think she would make it close. 

Tell that to Arlen Specter.

[ꙮ]

Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

Gallego would win that primary easily.

She would have $10M and the DSCC would be obligated to support her as an incumbent, I think she would make it close. Which is why I think she's seriously considering switching back.

The DSCC is not going to help someone who abandoned the party win a primary.

[The Mikado]

Gallego wins this easily if so, but she won't do that (because she knows that).

[Ferguson97]

Senate GOP campaign arm endorses Kari Lake

So I guess the GOP is writing off Arizona lol

[Pres Mike]

What are the filing deadlines? Politico and Ballotpedia are telling me two different dates. (April 8 and 1)

Is it the same date for both the general election and Democratic primary?

[The Mikado]

So has everyone come to terms with Sinema not running or are some of you still in denial and think she does?

[President Johnson]

Senate GOP campaign arm endorses Kari Lake

So I guess the GOP is writing off Arizona lol

So Republicans learned nothing from their 2022 recruitment failures.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Senate GOP campaign arm endorses Kari Lake

So I guess the GOP is writing off Arizona lol

So Republicans learned nothing from their 2022 recruitment failures.

Why wouldn’t they nominate the “true” incumbent governor who won by a large margin but had the election stolen from her?

[Pres Mike]

Sinema has until April 1 to collect 42k signatures to run. She hasn't start, nor has she signed a letter of intent to officially start the process
https://www.axios.com/local/phoenix/2024/02/20/sinema-campaign-reelection

Realistically, she'll need 65k signatures to avoid issues. It would be impossible to start a volunteer operation now, so she'll need to pay a private company. According to the article, that would cost 1 million dollars at least. She has 10 million in her campaign fund, but she would also need to pay for housing and its peak travel season in Arizona is March.

I am sure she intended to run and win as an independent, to punish the state Democratic Party. But 3 way polls show her losing and she won't give Democrats the satisfaction of beating her so she wont run

I wouldn't be surprised if she runs for President as the No Labels party

[Tekken_Guy]

Sinema has until April 1 to collect 42k signatures to run. She hasn't start, nor has she signed a letter of intent to officially start the process
https://www.axios.com/local/phoenix/2024/02/20/sinema-campaign-reelection

Realistically, she'll need 65k signatures to avoid issues. It would be impossible to start a volunteer operation now, so she'll need to pay a private company. According to the article, that would cost 1 million dollars at least. She has 10 million in her campaign fund, but she would also need to pay for housing and its peak travel season in Arizona is March.

I am sure she intended to run and win as an independent, to punish the state Democratic Party. But 3 way polls show her losing and she won't give Democrats the satisfaction of beating her so she wont run

I wouldn't be surprised if she runs for President as the No Labels party

Why would she run for president?

[Pres Mike]

Sinema has until April 1 to collect 42k signatures to run. She hasn't start, nor has she signed a letter of intent to officially start the process
https://www.axios.com/local/phoenix/2024/02/20/sinema-campaign-reelection

Realistically, she'll need 65k signatures to avoid issues. It would be impossible to start a volunteer operation now, so she'll need to pay a private company. According to the article, that would cost 1 million dollars at least. She has 10 million in her campaign fund, but she would also need to pay for housing and its peak travel season in Arizona is March.

I am sure she intended to run and win as an independent, to punish the state Democratic Party. But 3 way polls show her losing and she won't give Democrats the satisfaction of beating her so she wont run

I wouldn't be surprised if she runs for President as the No Labels party

Why would she run for president?

For attention. Its why she does anything since being elected senator in 2018. She wore purple wigs during COVID. And nice fat checks from lobbyists, like how she funded her fancy European vacation back in 2021 to pause the BBB negotiations

And finally, to spite Democrats for no longer supporting her

[xavier110]

Nothing will probably top this as the funniest political moment of 2024:

https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1760269026490753442

https://twitter.com/MeghanMcCain/status/1760346193630990352

[President Johnson]

Nothing will probably top this as the funniest political moment of 2024:

https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1760269026490753442

https://twitter.com/MeghanMcCain/status/1760346193630990352

Was Lake's account hacked or is this pure irony?