AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[Progressive Pessimist]

It's official:

PHOENIX -- Republican Kari Lake, a popular former local news anchor, self-described "MAGA Mama Bear" and staunch ally of former President Donald Trump, will launch a campaign for the U.S. Senate at a rally in Scottsdale, Arizona, on Tuesday night, nearly a year after losing the state's gubernatorial race -- a defeat she still refuses to concede.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/kari-lake-set-announce-arizona-senate-campaign-after/story?id=103831117

Tilt D -> Lean D

Really looking forward to watching this C-word lose again.

It's funny you say that because that's how my mom described Lake during last year's elections when her race started getting national attention.

She hates that word, by the way. So that says a lot.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's the same 303map as before

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://x.com/teamtrump/status/1711934372109050041

Lake gets the Trump endorsement right out of the gate. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Lamb drop out soon.

Just an endorsement? Not a complete and total endorsement? Sad!

"She is strong on Crime, the Border, the Second Amendment and loves our Military and Vets."

[Sir Mohamed]

https://x.com/teamtrump/status/1711934372109050041

Lake gets the Trump endorsement right out of the gate. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Lamb drop out soon.

Just an endorsement? Not a complete and total endorsement? Sad!

"She is strong on Crime, the Border, the Second Amendment and loves our Military and Vets."

And believes in ELECTION INTEGRITY, called out RIGGED 2020 ELECTION!

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1713010589029793853

Not a great quarter for an incumbent senator in a marquee race. The COH number is good but I think most of that was raised before she went independent.

[henster]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1713010589029793853

Not a great quarter for an incumbent senator in a marquee race. The COH number is good but I think most of that was raised before she went independent.

I think she's more than likely to retire and live off her leftover campaign cash or start some foundation to keep her relevant. COH is not really that impressive when you figure she is not getting any super PAC helping her out. Both sides spent like $50M each last year in AZ.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1713010589029793853

Not a great quarter for an incumbent senator in a marquee race. The COH number is good but I think most of that was raised before she went independent.

I think she's more than likely to retire and live off her leftover campaign cash or start some foundation to keep her relevant. COH is not really that impressive when you figure she is not getting any super PAC helping her out. Both sides spent like $50M each last year in AZ.

If she's going to retire, why did she file to run for reelection?

[GoTfan]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1713010589029793853

Not a great quarter for an incumbent senator in a marquee race. The COH number is good but I think most of that was raised before she went independent.

I think she's more than likely to retire and live off her leftover campaign cash or start some foundation to keep her relevant. COH is not really that impressive when you figure she is not getting any super PAC helping her out. Both sides spent like $50M each last year in AZ.

If she's going to retire, why did she file to run for reelection?

The only person with the answer to that is the woman herself. I have maintained for a long time now that she is trying to suck money out of Very Serious People so she has something to live off of before she ends up flogging her inevitable book on Fox News and then starts crying about the 'lack of civility' in politics.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, that $10M COH is gonna go quick in a GE and she really has no major sources of income, since PACs could go either way and she certainly is not getting grassroots.

[The Mikado]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1713010589029793853

Not a great quarter for an incumbent senator in a marquee race. The COH number is good but I think most of that was raised before she went independent.

I think she's more than likely to retire and live off her leftover campaign cash or start some foundation to keep her relevant. COH is not really that impressive when you figure she is not getting any super PAC helping her out. Both sides spent like $50M each last year in AZ.

If she's going to retire, why did she file to run for reelection?

The only person with the answer to that is the woman herself. I have maintained for a long time now that she is trying to suck money out of Very Serious People so she has something to live off of before she ends up flogging her inevitable book on Fox News and then starts crying about the 'lack of civility' in politics.

Candidates can't just keep the money in their campaign treasuries for personal use.

[oldtimer]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1713010589029793853
Not a great quarter for an incumbent senator in a marquee race. The COH number is good but I think most of that was raised before she went independent.

I think she's more than likely to retire and live off her leftover campaign cash or start some foundation to keep her relevant. COH is not really that impressive when you figure she is not getting any super PAC helping her out. Both sides spent like $50M each last year in AZ.

If she's going to retire, why did she file to run for reelection?

The only person with the answer to that is the woman herself. I have maintained for a long time now that she is trying to suck money out of Very Serious People so she has something to live off of before she ends up flogging her inevitable book on Fox News and then starts crying about the 'lack of civility' in politics.

Candidates can't just keep the money in their campaign treasuries for personal use.

Ta dah:

https://rollcall.com/2021/12/08/taking-it-with-them-members-leaving-with-money-in-the-bank/

"The phrase “you can’t take it with you” doesn’t apply to departing members of Congress."

[Landslide Lyndon]

Her numbers would have been ok if she ran for a rural House seat.
They are piss poor for running in a mid-sized state with a big metropolitan market like Arizona.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1714804973173710863

[Landslide Lyndon]

Imagine going around and saying that your biggest legacy is saving a procedural move made famous by Southern segregationists who used it to deprive minorities from their rights.
What a pathetic human being.

https://www.businessinsider.com/kyrsten-sinema-reelection-serve-any-board-mitt-romney-book-2023-10 

According to reporter McKay Coppins's new book, "Romney: A Reckoning," Sinema once told Republican Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah that she could "do anything" once she's out of office and feels that what she's done in the Senate is "good enough."

"I don't care. I can go on any board I want to. I can be a college president. I can do anything," she told Romney, according to the book. "I saved the Senate filibuster by myself. I saved the Senate by myself. That's good enough for me."

[GeorgiaModerate]

Without more details and sourcing I'm hesitant to put this in the polling board, but I think it's worth mentioning here:

https://twitter.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1719461063475782105

[Minnesota Mike]

Without more details and sourcing I'm hesitant to put this in the polling board, but I think it's worth mentioning here:

https://twitter.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1719461063475782105

In a head-to-head matchup, Gallego leads Lake 49% to 44%

https://politicalwire.com/2023/10/31/kyrsten-sinema-trails-badly-in-re-election-race/

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Without more details and sourcing I'm hesitant to put this in the polling board, but I think it's worth mentioning here:

https://twitter.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1719461063475782105

R vs D numbers is basically useless in Arizona at this point. The million dollar question is if Sinema is winning over more Trump or Biden, or Lake or Hobbs voters.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

She has lost every poll but 1

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

Are people going to buy that? I think it's too late for the GOP to backpeddle on abortion after half a century of wanting it banned. That goal is too ingrained in peoples' perceptions of the Republican Party, especially after they succeeded in it. Why should they be trusted to not just be delivering lip-service?

I don't think many supporters of reproductive freedom will accept anything less than abortion being a gealth care decision between a woman and her doctor. And we shouldn't settle for anything short of that!

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

Are people going to buy that? I think it's too late for the GOP to backpeddle on abortion after half a century of wanting it banned. That goal is too ingrained in peoples' perceptions of the Republican Party, especially after they succeeded in it. Why should they be trusted to not just be delivering lip-service?

I don't think many supporters of reproductive freedom will accept anything less than abortion being a gealth care decision between a woman and her doctor. And we shouldn't settle for anything short of that!

Late term abortion (not including cases of rape/incest/life of mother) is still very unpopular.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

Are people going to buy that? I think it's too late for the GOP to backpeddle on abortion after half a century of wanting it banned. That goal is too ingrained in peoples' perceptions of the Republican Party, especially after they succeeded in it. Why should they be trusted to not just be delivering lip-service?

I don't think many supporters of reproductive freedom will accept anything less than abortion being a gealth care decision between a woman and her doctor. And we shouldn't settle for anything short of that!

Late term abortion (not including cases of rape/incest/life of mother) is still very unpopular.

Late term abortion was illegal under Roe.

[wbrocks67]

Kari Lake was also just vehemently anti-abortion *just last year*, it would be nonsensical for voters to suddenly believe her position has changed at all.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

Are people going to buy that? I think it's too late for the GOP to backpeddle on abortion after half a century of wanting it banned. That goal is too ingrained in peoples' perceptions of the Republican Party, especially after they succeeded in it. Why should they be trusted to not just be delivering lip-service?

I don't think many supporters of reproductive freedom will accept anything less than abortion being a gealth care decision between a woman and her doctor. And we shouldn't settle for anything short of that!

Late term abortion (not including cases of rape/incest/life of mother) is still very unpopular.

Late term abortion was illegal under Roe.

It's legal now in many states.

[Reactionary Libertarian]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1722353962483900792?t=M-ypekJFP-TUZOI...

Ironically Trump and Lake are some of the most moderate in the party on abortion. Unfortunately they come with their own baggage.