NV: Insider Advantage: Laxalt (R) +6
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  NV: Insider Advantage: Laxalt (R) +6
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Author Topic: NV: Insider Advantage: Laxalt (R) +6  (Read 747 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 05, 2022, 02:45:52 PM »

New Poll: Nevada Senator by Insider Advantage on 2022-11-04

Summary: D: 44%, R: 50%, I: 2%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Forumlurker
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2022, 03:28:37 PM »

Its over, stick a fork in CCMs campaign.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2022, 03:37:44 PM »


Yeah, I think that was it. Democrats might be in worse shape in the other battleground races with candidates even coming off relatively normal as Laxalt.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2022, 03:40:15 PM »


Yeah, I think that was it. Democrats might be in worse shape in the other battleground races with candidates even coming off relatively normal as Laxalt.

I wonder if Laxalt being "realtively normal" is helping him more this year than it would other years, since he's being compared favorably to the other Repubican nominees for competitive Senate races. But it's pretty shameful that he's going to win.
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Primary the Squad
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2022, 03:41:52 PM »

Most likely scenario might be 50-50 again now, honestly.

Laxalt and Fetterman flip seats, everything else holds.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2022, 03:43:25 PM »

Most likely scenario might be 50-50 again now, honestly.

Laxalt and Fetterman flip seats, everything else holds.

Yeah, if Democrats get lucky. Too unfortunate Biden will still depend on Manchin and Sinema to confirm judges and cabinet members.
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2022, 03:57:17 PM »

I wonder... was there an Atlas poster who predicted Laxalt +6 two months ago, when virtually everyone else thought this would be a nailbiter in which Democrats still had a great shot because of NV polling?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2022, 04:00:59 PM »

I wonder... was there an Atlas poster who predicted Laxalt +6 two months ago, when virtually everyone else thought this would be a nailbiter in which Democrats still had a great shot because of NV polling?

You realize the actual result isn't +6 right? Maybe save that for then if it indeed comes true.
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2022, 04:12:48 PM »

I wonder... was there an Atlas poster who predicted Laxalt +6 two months ago, when virtually everyone else thought this would be a nailbiter in which Democrats still had a great shot because of NV polling?

You realize the actual result isn't +6 right? Maybe save that for then if it indeed comes true.

If everyone was as level-headed and careful as Atlas liberals like you have been this cycle, this place would be no fun. You have the facts, the numbers, basic science, and basic logic, I have my hubris. Im just a populist, okay? What else do I have?
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2022, 04:28:39 PM »

I gotta admit that this poll has me worried. I do think Dems will continue to overperform their polling in Nevada, and the averages have been flooded with R-leaning firms.  But even those factors aren't likely to overcome a 5-6 point polling deficit.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2022, 04:48:33 PM »

It's very out of character for me to say this, but honestly I don't even care about the Senate seat itself anymore. I'm hoping CCM wins purely because MT Treasurer is being so obnoxious about it.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2022, 04:54:07 PM »

No, Phillips Academy has CCM 47/45
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politicallefty
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2022, 07:03:07 PM »

The polls have spoken. There is no need to watch the returns Tuesday night. I suppose we can all watch our movies or binge watch our shows of choice instead, right?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2022, 07:28:07 PM »

Laxalt +20 with 18-39 year olds, +29 with Hispanics, getting nearly 30% of the black vote?

are y'all serious with this one?
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2022, 07:47:34 PM »

Laxalt +20 with 18-39 year olds, +29 with Hispanics, getting nearly 30% of the black vote?

are y'all serious with this one?

The polls have spoken PHILLIPS ACADEMY has CCM plus 2 and Sisolak 5 it's a 303 map the Stitt 8 number and Kotek 4 number by Blueprints confirmed it's a 303 map and Clarity has Barnes ahead by 2

Trafalgar is stretching the Michels numbers Michels isn't Ahead

Inside Advanctage is an R polling Firm

If we get WI and PA it's a 51 S while GA goes to a runoff  and win the runoff it's 52
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