Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Any reason why AZ senate hasn’t been called by major networks yet?

The fabled Maricopa Dump hasn't arrived yet. If that isn't insanely good for Masters it will be called.

There is one more that will be very good for Republicans, the 17K of the last remaining E-Day vote. Other than that yeah, we have to see how the day of drop offs where.

How good for the Republicans will the 17k be?

They probably get a solid majority of them, but not an overwhelming one.

[Spectator]

Any reason why AZ senate hasn’t been called by major networks yet?

The fabled Maricopa Dump hasn't arrived yet. If that isn't insanely good for Masters it will be called.

There is one more that will be very good for Republicans, the 17K of the last remaining E-Day vote. Other than that yeah, we have to see how the day of drop offs where.

How good for the Republicans will the 17k be?

EDay votes broke 70-30 for the Republican candidates, give or take depending on the race in question.

[Hope For A New Era]

Any reason why AZ senate hasn’t been called by major networks yet?

The fabled Maricopa Dump hasn't arrived yet. If that isn't insanely good for Masters it will be called.

There is one more that will be very good for Republicans, the 17K of the last remaining E-Day vote. Other than that yeah, we have to see how the day of drop offs where.

How good for the Republicans will the 17k be?

EDay votes broke 70-30 for the Republican candidates, give or take depending on the race in question.

Okay. And is that 17k spread across the whole county? Where in the county is it?

[emailking]

Why do they want to postpone the leadership elections? Because they're worried McCarthy won't win?

[SCNCmod]

Apparently there's a letter circulating among Senate Republicans trying to postpone leadership elections scheduled for Wednesday.

One of the main Senators behind it is... Rick Scott.

https://i.imgur.com/g3emCyU.png

Six public backers so far:
https://mobile.twitter.com/maxpcohen/status/1591149996929581056?ref_src=twsrc%5E...

I'll be genuinely amazed if Scott manages to escape backlash from his mishandling of the NRSC's finances and decision to not weigh in on any primaries, by just saying it's all Mitch McConnell's fault.

Couldn't happen to a nicer guy, but still.

Doesn't Rick Scott have a history of mismanagement scandals... I bet he's a little sensitive to the failure!  (Love him or hate him... McConnell runs circles around Scott regarding competency.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Maricopa and arguably Clarke counties should really be broken up. These western mega counties just seem really impractical for a lot of things

[DaleCooper]

Apparently there's a letter circulating among Senate Republicans trying to postpone leadership elections scheduled for Wednesday.

One of the main Senators behind it is... Rick Scott.

https://i.imgur.com/g3emCyU.png

Six public backers so far:
https://mobile.twitter.com/maxpcohen/status/1591149996929581056?ref_src=twsrc%5E...

If they oust McConnell, I guess that means the $9 million McConnell spent to win Murkowski’s loyalty is moot.

It's a funny situation because she's cited as a primary reason why they hate McConnell now. If the Republicans decide on an angry, crazy majority leader then that will make things awkward for Murkowski, especially whenever they need her vote. Depending on how Alaska is looking in 2024 and beyond, Murkowski might determine that it's unwise politically to side with some of the more ridiculous Republican demands like refusing to confirm uncontroversial judges, etc. She never becomes a Democrat, though.

[brucejoel99]

Why do they want to postpone the leadership elections? Because they're worried McCarthy won't win?

Senators wanna postpone theirs nominally because the midterms aren't over yet & doing it now disenfranchises Herschel Walker, but really just to stir up some hay for Mitch now that he's weak & everything is zero-sun for them &/or bide some time to try & organize a legit challenge.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Any reason why AZ senate hasn’t been called by major networks yet?

The fabled Maricopa Dump hasn't arrived yet. If that isn't insanely good for Masters it will be called.

There is one more that will be very good for Republicans, the 17K of the last remaining E-Day vote. Other than that yeah, we have to see how the day of drop offs where.

How good for the Republicans will the 17k be?

EDay votes broke 70-30 for the Republican candidates, give or take depending on the race in question.

Okay. And is that 17k spread across the whole county? Where in the county is it?

It's the ballots that couldn't be scanned because they were printed too light, which was an issue at a bunch of vote centers (I want to say 40?), so I'd assume they're widely distributed across the county.

[emailking]

Every call I don’t like is a premature call.

AZ-SEN was prematurely called in 2020.
CO-03 was prematurely called (and ended up being wrong) this year.

Races can be prematurely called in ways that are favorable to Democrats too. People find you completely insufferable because you have very clear double standards in your reasoning.

AZ-Sen was not prematurely called in 2020. Kelly won. The call stood.

Just because the outcome ended up standing doesn't mean the call wasn't premature.  Like, if someone wins by 2 votes in the end, but it was called at poll closing, are you saying that wouldn't be a premature call?  

It would not be. The call means a tie is outside of the 99.5% confidence interval. A 2 vote difference is outside of that.

[Spectator]

Maricopa and arguably Clarke counties should really be broken up. These western mega counties just seem really impractical for a lot of things

Nah, Florida has big mega counties too and they never have these issues counting ballots.

[new_patomic]

Why do they want to postpone the leadership elections? Because they're worried McCarthy won't win?

Senators wanna postpone theirs nominally because the midterms aren't over yet & doing it now disenfranchises Herschel Walker, but really just to stir up some hay for Mitch now that he's weak & everything is zero-sun for them &/or bide some time to try & organize a legit challenge.

I'd also say it's less about actually toppling McConnell now as it is registering discontent, virtue signaling the base, maybe getting a few digs in to see if you can weaken his stranglehold on leadership.

Still dumb, though.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Every call I don’t like is a premature call.

AZ-SEN was prematurely called in 2020.
CO-03 was prematurely called (and ended up being wrong) this year.

Races can be prematurely called in ways that are favorable to Democrats too. People find you completely insufferable because you have very clear double standards in your reasoning.

AZ-Sen was not prematurely called in 2020. Kelly won. The call stood.

Just because the outcome ended up standing doesn't mean the call wasn't premature.  Like, if someone wins by 2 votes in the end, but it was called at poll closing, are you saying that wouldn't be a premature call?  

It would not be. The call means a tie is outside of the 99.5% confidence interval. A 2 vote difference is outside of that.

Come on, don't p*ss down my leg and tell me it's raining.  What utter nonsense.

[Gass3268]

Lots of types coming from Maricopa tonight.

https://twitter.com/yvonnewingett/status/1591164993575452672?s=46&t=OdlWTxy5...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Maricopa and arguably Clarke counties should really be broken up. These western mega counties just seem really impractical for a lot of things

Nah, Florida has big mega counties too and they never have these issues counting ballots.

I just saw a very good and evenhanded thread explaining the differences between Florida and Arizona election laws and procedures and why they cause Florida to count so much faster.  Start here:

https://twitter.com/ElectionBabe/status/1590947873700851712

[Lognog]

Apparently there's a letter circulating among Senate Republicans trying to postpone leadership elections scheduled for Wednesday.

One of the main Senators behind it is... Rick Scott.

https://i.imgur.com/g3emCyU.png

Six public backers so far:
https://mobile.twitter.com/maxpcohen/status/1591149996929581056?ref_src=twsrc%5E...

Are they trying to postpone until new members are elected?

If that is the case and dems win NV, AZ, and GA, doesn't this movement have almost a quarter of people it needs to out McConnell (6 backers, 49 GOP senators, 25 for majority)?

Are there 19 others that would back it?

I'm suspecting most of the backers will be freshmen or very anti-establishment people

[Hope For A New Era]

Any reason why AZ senate hasn’t been called by major networks yet?

The fabled Maricopa Dump hasn't arrived yet. If that isn't insanely good for Masters it will be called.

There is one more that will be very good for Republicans, the 17K of the last remaining E-Day vote. Other than that yeah, we have to see how the day of drop offs where.

How good for the Republicans will the 17k be?

EDay votes broke 70-30 for the Republican candidates, give or take depending on the race in question.

Okay. And is that 17k spread across the whole county? Where in the county is it?

It's the ballots that couldn't be scanned because they were printed too light, which was an issue at a bunch of vote centers (I want to say 40?), so I'd assume they're widely distributed across the county.

Okay. That's probably not enough for Schweikert to take the lead, then. If the 17k were entirely in his district, he would need 63%.

[wbrocks67]

Lots of types coming from Maricopa tonight.

https://twitter.com/yvonnewingett/status/1591164993575452672?s=46&t=OdlWTxy5...

Ah, so these could be slightly more better for Rs in total than if it it was just drop-offs. Those 17k are more likely to favor them than the 60K drop-offs. The 17K were in-person.

[7,052,770]

Funny how no one seems to be talking about Guam anymore.
That was like -THE- story on here for much of Election Day.

Washington DC, Puerto Rico, and Guam should be admitted as states immediately. It's a perfect compromise- a blue state, a swing state, and a red state, so no feelings have to get hurt to do the right thinf.

[Torrain]

If they oust McConnell, I guess that means the $9 million McConnell spent to win Murkowski’s loyalty is moot.

I believe the peak-chaos (implausible but amusing to speculate) outcome here goes as follows:

• Senate GOP very narrowly win NV, GA, for a 51-49 GOP senate.
• Senate GOP oust McConnell, and replace him with Scott (with McConnell's funding of the AK Senate race the clear undertone for his removal).
• Murkowski makes a bid show about the party swinging to the right, and caucuses with the Dems in return for chairmanship of the Energy and Natural Resources Committee, handing them Senate control back.

[wbrocks67]

The Oregonian really went with the R winning in OR-05 simply because they claimed victory? That's some botched journalism...

[emailking]

Come on, don't p*ss down my leg and tell me it's raining.  What utter nonsense.

I don't know what to tell you man. I must have said this a dozen times in 2020. When they call it, it often includes the possibility the result could be very close. And if they don't call it then, they're artificially holding back for no valid reason.

[AZdude]

The delay in AZ is basically for one reason, and one reason only.  In AZ you are allowed to drop off absentee ballots on election day.  In Florida you are not.  All the ballots dropped off on election day have to be signature checked before they can be counted, and if the signature doesn't match the voter has to be contacted and has 3 days (I think) to verify their identity.

It doesn't have anything to do with how large Maricopa County is.  The other counties are still processing votes, it's just that they have fewer voters.

I'm a strong supporter of mail-in voting, but I think election day drop offs should not be allowed.  If you wait until the last minute but are willing to get into your car or walk to a polling place, there's no reason you can't stand in line and vote.

This is making our state into a laughingstock, and far worse, fueling the nutjobs and their conspiracy theories.  When AZ wasn't competitive, nobody cared (see several of the other Western states), but now we are, and people DO care.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1591164415625203713

Ralston all but writing Sisolak's obituary. Damn.

[Storr]

Funny how no one seems to be talking about Guam anymore.
That was like -THE- story on here for much of Election Day.

Washington DC, Puerto Rico, and Guam should be admitted as states immediately. It's a perfect compromise- a blue state, a swing state, and a red state, so no feelings have to get hurt to do the right thinf.

Guam + Northern Marianas Islands and I'm in.

A Marianas state would still have the lowest population in the Union, but 200k (201,165 in the 2020 Census) is enough for a state to support itself. Almost all western states were admitted with smaller populations than that.