Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Ferguson97]

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/w51yr35

this comes down to CA-41 imo

[Biden 2024]

Democrats gloating as if they’re not literally about to lose the House of Representatives, lol.

😂

[ProgressiveModerate]

Going to say CCM and Lombardo both win, and Ralston gets both right

Going to say that seems correct, but not quite ready to call it. Laxalt would need to unexpectedly well in some dump to win and Sisolak seems to be punching just below what he needs with the numbers outstanding, so some favorable batch could swing it to him.

[izixs]

Can I just say, as someone who remembers all too well the bloodbaths that were 2010 and 2014 and was bracing myself for a repeat of them, this is truly remarkable? Like no matter what the exact final results are, I can't stress enough how amazing these results are for Democrats. Something has clearly shifted. Whether it's Dobbs, Trump/GOP radicalization, polarization, college educated white shift causing "high propensity voters" to lean more Dem, young voters turning out more in midterms, greater political engagement in general, Biden genuinely inspiring more voters than Obama did thanks to getting quite a bit done recently, or some combination... SOMETHING caused this to be very, VERY different than what you'd expect based both on typical/recent midterms AND the economy.

"It's the economy, stupid" has never been shaken so badly as a fundamental rule of politics. And neither has the "CW" about a president's first midterm. Clearly we are just in a totally different ballgame with a totally different rulebook since 2016.

I agree, but to be fair Republicans kind of went against this rule themselves. They really went all-in on cultural issues and worshipping Trump, with only lip service to the economy. Only a handful of big name candidates really managed to take the narrative in that direction.

Tis a reason I've been including in my pitches for folks to vote dem/not vote rep a bit about the Democrats actually trying to pass legislation to do things, include fight inflation, while all I've heard from Republicans is 'something something tax cuts?'.

[emailking]

Hot take: Fetterman would not have won if he skipped the debate.

Fetterman is on track to win by ~3 points. The idea the debate, which was definitely not a decisive win by Fetterman, could’ve swayed that many people is insane.

Yeah that's fine if you disagree.

[Alben Barkley]

Hot take: Fetterman would not have won if he skipped the debate.

Fetterman is on track to win by ~3 points. The idea the debate, which was definitely not a decisive win by Fetterman, could’ve swayed that many people is insane.

More like 4-5 points.

[Sestak]

Hot take: Fetterman would not have won if he skipped the debate.

Fetterman is on track to win by ~3 points.

Fetterman is winning by 4.2 points with only room to gain my dude.

[Gass3268]

What will the Dems 2024 House odds start at? I would say in the 60-65% range. They have so many swing district entrenched incumbents who will be tough to dislodge (with the exception of a seat or 2 that of course will flip anyway.

If Trump is on the ballot, the GOP is absolutely cooked in NY-3,4,17 and probably struggling in 19 and 22. Don't even get me started on NJ-7, PA-1, NE-2 and tons of other suburban seats in Cali (if we don't win them this year). These NY/NJ Rs cannot go MAGA without being completely fried in November 2024 and if they don't go MAGA, the base will hate them. Outside of winning the House with 219 or more, this is the best Dem scenario.

Yes, the GOP will get seats from the NC redraw, Dems need to counter in MN and WI (once they win the court in April). MN-1,8 and WI- 1,3 seem most likely to get more Dem.

Ohio will probably have a redraw too, but its also likely their will be an attempt to get a new redistricting process put on the ballot.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

[Biden 2024]

Hot take: Fetterman would not have won if he skipped the debate.

Fetterman is on track to win by ~3 points. The idea the debate, which was definitely not a decisive win by Fetterman, could’ve swayed that many people is insane.

Yeah that's fine if you disagree.

Big John still would’ve crushed the dog killer without the debate lol.

[soundchaser]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

I said in the AZ-SEN thread that night that this was probably the most effective line of attack against Masters — looks like it worked.

[Alben Barkley]

I must say, Gabby Giffords and Mark Kelly have one of the most heartwarming stories in all of political history. From tragedy to triumph.

[emailking]

Hot take: Fetterman would not have won if he skipped the debate.

Fetterman is on track to win by ~3 points. The idea the debate, which was definitely not a decisive win by Fetterman, could’ve swayed that many people is insane.

Yeah that's fine if you disagree.

Big John still would’ve crushed the dog killer without the debate lol.

An unknown of course.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

This probably also seals Sinema's primary defeat. It's kind of hard to argue someone like her is needed to keep the seat now.

[Biden 2024]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

This probably also seals Sinema's primary defeat. It's kind of hard to argue someone like her is needed to keep the seat now.

Fontes is the guy IMO.

[Devils30]

What will the Dems 2024 House odds start at? I would say in the 60-65% range. They have so many swing district entrenched incumbents who will be tough to dislodge (with the exception of a seat or 2 that of course will flip anyway.

If Trump is on the ballot, the GOP is absolutely cooked in NY-3,4,17 and probably struggling in 19 and 22. Don't even get me started on NJ-7, PA-1, NE-2 and tons of other suburban seats in Cali (if we don't win them this year). These NY/NJ Rs cannot go MAGA without being completely fried in November 2024 and if they don't go MAGA, the base will hate them. Outside of winning the House with 219 or more, this is the best Dem scenario.

Yes, the GOP will get seats from the NC redraw, Dems need to counter in MN and WI (once they win the court in April). MN-1,8 and WI- 1,3 seem most likely to get more Dem.

Ohio will probably have a redraw too, but its also likely their will be an attempt to get a new redistricting process put on the ballot.

The first OH-1 version was Biden +2 and Landsman won by 5 in a Biden +8. Considering he'll be an incumbent, I got a strong feeling the GOP might just do a Cincinnati pack here and try to make Kaptur's seat redder.

[Alben Barkley]

It is time.

https://twitter.com/RihannaFreak20/status/1590946230410285056?s=20&t=oofpZyJ...

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

Haven't really heard many proper speeches from him before now. He's a remarkable natural talent, I think. No wonder he's so strong.

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

I said in the AZ-SEN thread that night that this was probably the most effective line of attack against Masters — looks like it worked.

I had never seen Masters’s face before. Yeah, that would be an effective attack.

[Dani Rose]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

I said in the AZ-SEN thread that night that this was probably the most effective line of attack against Masters — looks like it worked.

I had never seen Masters’s face before. Yeah, that would be an effective attack.

He looks like Skeletor with hair. Which, funnily enough, is also basically his entire personality.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

I said in the AZ-SEN thread that night that this was probably the most effective line of attack against Masters — looks like it worked.

I had never seen Masters’s face before. Yeah, that would be an effective attack.

I stg Masters face was giving me uncanny valley vibes.

[South Dakota Democrat]

https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1590944805332582400

Translation:  f**k you, Blake

[Stockdale for Veep]

Despite the small stature required by their profession, astronauts remain badasses.

[TheReckoning]

Just realized I’m pretty much the only blue avatar posting in this thread at all, lol.

[Biden 2024]

https://twitter.com/opinonhaver/status/1590910652654419968?s=46&t=-NfEj2zYU8...

RIP Blake Klebold.