Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Crumpets]

I'm suddenly not seeing the New button on any threads.  Anyone else seeing this?

I think Virginia's removing some features to keep the forum up and running with so many users online.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I'm suddenly not seeing the New button on any threads.  Anyone else seeing this?

Yes, but aren't you a Moderator?! What are they paying you guys for anyway??

[President Johnson]

I'm suddenly not seeing the New button on any threads.  Anyone else seeing this?

Yeah, same here. Also, every time I open any thread, I'm at page 1.

[Mr. Reactionary]

I'm suddenly not seeing the New button on any threads.  Anyone else seeing this?

I think Virginia's removing some features to keep the forum up and running with so many users online.

She should close the forum unless you have an account. Atlas used to do that.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Okay but based Virginia Beach now? Were the early DOA results a little much now?

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1590107558190383105?s=46&t=v3Ttg5tDPrsmHA...

Youngkin won this district by like 8 points on that night didn’t he? Matching 2021 is enough

     2021 was a strong year for the VA GOP. That is not the target Democrats want to hit.

[Brittain33]

FOX's voter analysis has the Supreme Court at 51% approval.  That has to be a good sign for Republicans.

That's a bit lower than I would expect. The NYT/AP exit polls from 2020 said that 62% of voters were confident that the Supreme Court could be fair and impartial in their decisions (obviously not the same thing as overall approval, but it's the closest similar question in those surveys). While I agree that 51% approval is good news for the GOP overall, it could also be a sign that a growing number of left-wingers have become more disapproving of SCOTUS.

SC approvals dropped a lot in the last year, 51% may actually be high.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Keep in mind this was three hours ago:

https://twitter.com/VoteMpls/status/1590057303109406720

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'm suddenly not seeing the New button on any threads.  Anyone else seeing this?

I think Virginia's removing some features to keep the forum up and running with so many users online.

I guess that's the likeliest explanation.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

FOX's voter analysis has the Supreme Court at 51% approval.  That has to be a good sign for Republicans.

That's a bit lower than I would expect. The NYT/AP exit polls from 2020 said that 62% of voters were confident that the Supreme Court could be fair and impartial in their decisions (obviously not the same thing as overall approval, but it's the closest similar question in those surveys). While I agree that 51% approval is good news for the GOP overall, it could also be a sign that a growing number of left-wingers have become more disapproving of SCOTUS.

SC approvals dropped a lot in the last year, 51% may actually be high.

That could be quite true. On the other hand, SCOTUS is still the most popular between the Presidency, Congress, and Scotus, so that might be decent enough.

[Brittain33]

Okay but based Virginia Beach now? Were the early DOA results a little much now?

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1590107558190383105?s=46&t=v3Ttg5tDPrsmHA...

Youngkin won this district by like 8 points on that night didn’t he? Matching 2021 is enough

     2021 was a strong year for the VA GOP. That is not the target Democrats want to hit.

A good Dem night counts on Dobbsian persuasion of high-propensity Biden-Youngkin type voters.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

I'm suddenly not seeing the New button on any threads.  Anyone else seeing this?

I think Virginia's removing some features to keep the forum up and running with so many users online.

Can we get rid of SnowLabrador to save data then?

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590110542899064832

[new_patomic]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590110542899064832

"And when the world needed him most, he vanished"

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think we all know that it's going to be a bad night, it's just that the results for a non-voting delegate in Guam (especially when Democrats did well in other races there) aren't a sign of it.

Why would Republicans winning be “bad”?

I'm not him, but I'll guess that it's because he's a Democrat and wants Democrats to win. What kind of question is that?

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590110542899064832

Wasserman has seen enough, and it's over.

[It’s so Joever]

We are now projecting the longest fifteen minutes of your year.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I think I'm just going to go offline until, like 8 PM. The first hour or two of results is rarely helpful in figuring things out and honestly I'd rather be doing literally anything other than adding to my stress in that way.

[Pres Mike]

My mental health has been declining these last few days. My depression has returned.I fear election night will make it worst. I feel so helpless I don't want to see democracy die.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590110542899064832

"And when the world needed him most, he vanished"

Wasserman: the hero we needed, but not the hero we deserved.

[Hollywood]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.  Just a bunch of guys driving each other crazy.

[wbrocks67]

Those exits are ... interesting lol. The white college+ share being much higher, R+1 House isn't too bad (2020 was D+1 party ID) ... that Trump favorability is something too.

I imagine as more exits come thru, the electorate will likely get younger and more nonwhite as it tends to do, since those voters generally are more prone to voting on election day (as more election day exits come in)

Biden's approval being 45/54 not bad either. Usually it would be pretty bad, but there were a lot of generic polls that had about a tie that also had his approval around there.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590110891344728064
I'm less nervous about Neveda i think the idea that clark county being the one place where turnout falls to 2014 levels is unlikley so the weight of probaility suggests dems are just dropping their votes off. I think the unions that made the Reid machine were telling their members to do that as well.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Just voted less than an hour ago

[GeorgiaModerate]

Regarding the low E-Day turnout in Clark County:

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590107007356239873

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think I'm just going to go offline until, like 8 PM. The first hour or two of results is rarely helpful in figuring things out and honestly I'd rather be doing literally anything other than adding to my stress in that way.

Best of luck man! I wish you the best!