Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 307738 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #8650 on: November 11, 2022, 07:23:30 PM »

Meanwhile, back in Arizona...




This is a bad take. Racial polarization in Yuma is off the charts, and Hispanic turnout was way down this year. No surprise that leads to a stronger Republican result without any Hispanic swing.

To me the biggest take away from Yuma was that the E-Day drop offs were more Democratic than what was counted prior.
So, it was more bad news for Rs, right? They would need to win E-Day drop offs by more...
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #8651 on: November 11, 2022, 07:23:35 PM »


Jay Chen gains ~238 votes.

👀

It seems like the remaining OC vote isn’t all that D. It’ll narrow but Steele should have this.

The outstanding votes in LA (which CA-45 has a tiny piece of) are very D friendly.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8652 on: November 11, 2022, 07:23:58 PM »



HAS HE SEEN ENOUGH?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #8653 on: November 11, 2022, 07:24:22 PM »

Considering the boldness for which DDHQ calls races, this is not too surprising.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8654 on: November 11, 2022, 07:24:43 PM »

Even if Sisolak ultimately doesn't win, Republicans claiming every cycle that they've finally got the Reid machine dead-to-rights only for them to just fail in the most classic ways possible is just objectively funny

Reports of Harry's death were greatly exaggerated.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #8655 on: November 11, 2022, 07:25:39 PM »

Considering the boldness for which DDHQ calls races, this is not too surprising.

DDHQ models is about being the quickest. They’re always bold and 99% of the form they call it right but that 1% of the time they don’t.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8656 on: November 11, 2022, 07:26:10 PM »

Bass took the lead in LA

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Dani Rose
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« Reply #8657 on: November 11, 2022, 07:26:20 PM »

Even if Sisolak ultimately doesn't win, Republicans claiming every cycle that they've finally got the Reid machine dead-to-rights only for them to just fail in the most classic ways possible is just objectively funny

Reports of Harry's death were greatly exaggerated.

I always knew Reid was powerful enough to continue influencing Nevada politics as a deathless revenant spirit.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8658 on: November 11, 2022, 07:26:25 PM »



Harry Reid? Yes... that was what they used to call me.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8659 on: November 11, 2022, 07:26:50 PM »

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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #8660 on: November 11, 2022, 07:26:54 PM »

Can I just say how badly I hope Warnock wins the run-off (which looks increasingly likely now that it won't even matter), if only because NO ONE who runs an ad THIS good deserves to lose:



Good lord, that's a nice ad. LOL.
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John Dule
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« Reply #8661 on: November 11, 2022, 07:27:33 PM »



Masters’ fatal mistake was leaning too hard into the groyper/school shooter demographic while running on cutting social security (alienating the other component of the GOP base) in Arizona of all places.

Can’t wait until he crushes Ducey or whoever McConnell tries to put up in the 2024 primary after Trump posts about him on Truth Social, will make the GE even easier for Gallego/Fontes.

You call an Uber and this guy shows up as your driver. WYD?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #8662 on: November 11, 2022, 07:27:48 PM »

Even if Sisolak ultimately doesn't win, Republicans claiming every cycle that they've finally got the Reid machine dead-to-rights only for them to just fail in the most classic ways possible is just objectively funny

Reports of Harry's death were greatly exaggerated.
Harry Reid is the Obi-Wan of NV politics. Don't @ me.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8663 on: November 11, 2022, 07:28:00 PM »

The roasting of MAGAts in the PredictIt comment threads for Nevada right now are hilarious.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8664 on: November 11, 2022, 07:28:35 PM »

I was always going to be okay with Sisolak losing as long as everything else in Nevada worked out how it looks like it will.

Congratulations on your one gubernatorial (and statewide overall) flip, GOP!
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #8665 on: November 11, 2022, 07:29:02 PM »

Considering the boldness for which DDHQ calls races, this is not too surprising.

DDHQ models is about being the quickest. They’re always bold and 99% of the form they call it right but that 1% of the time they don’t.
No disagreement there.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8666 on: November 11, 2022, 07:29:51 PM »

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #8667 on: November 11, 2022, 07:30:08 PM »

I was always going to be okay with Sisolak losing as long as everything else in Nevada worked out how it looks like it will.

Congratulations on your one gubernatorial (and statewide overall) flip, GOP!
What do Nevada and Massachusetts have in common?
They have a history of electing Republican governors and D state legislatures.
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Person Man
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« Reply #8668 on: November 11, 2022, 07:30:17 PM »

I was always going to be okay with Sisolak losing as long as everything else in Nevada worked out how it looks like it will.

Congratulations on your one gubernatorial (and statewide overall) flip, GOP!

That’s someone who lost for not being liberal enough.
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ExSky
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« Reply #8669 on: November 11, 2022, 07:30:24 PM »

How quickly do the GOP abandon Walker in the runoff once Masto is declared?
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John Dule
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« Reply #8670 on: November 11, 2022, 07:30:43 PM »

NV-Gov is officially the first race I've called wrong so far. This has been my best year for predictions yet.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8671 on: November 11, 2022, 07:30:44 PM »

If you told me on Monday that we'd know who won the Senate before the House, I wouldn't have believed you.
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #8672 on: November 11, 2022, 07:31:01 PM »



This is how the America First Coalition dies.

With a wet thrrp.
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philly09
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« Reply #8673 on: November 11, 2022, 07:31:09 PM »

CNN calls NV-03 for Lee. 200-211R
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gf20202
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« Reply #8674 on: November 11, 2022, 07:31:28 PM »

Schedule tonight:
-around 7 pm PST/10 pm EST - Marciopa drop that could give Kelly the call and will be clarifying for Hobbs-Lake
-around 8 pm PST/11 pm EST Washoe county drop that should give the CCM the lead
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