Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Progressive Pessimist]

Vindication for Xing!

I'm sorry I ever doubted you, or anyone else who tried to guarantee me that titanium tilt D Nevada would return...well, save for the gubernatorial election.

I would like to note that Ralston had that focus group a few months back where this was basically called. He detailed that the group of Democrats despised Laxalt and cited abortion as a concern but were willing to give Lombardo a chance. That really might explain Nevada entirely this year.

[Lognog]

CCM down less than 1,000 with over 25k left in Clark.

So Sisolak is done?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Meanwhile, back in Arizona...

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1591221009591701505

[pantsaregood]

"how could we have known polls would underestimate democrats in nevada"

- Everyone every two years

[GeorgiaModerate]

CCM down less than 1,000 with over 25k left in Clark.

So Sisolak is done?

Yes, unless there are far more votes out than we think at present.

[Tintrlvr]

Meanwhile, back in Arizona...

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1591221009591701505

This is a bad take. Racial polarization in Yuma is off the charts, and Hispanic turnout was way down this year. No surprise that leads to a stronger Republican result without any Hispanic swing.

[Person Man]

Dems are actually likely to pull off the 51 seats. Amazing.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1591220648629522432

[morgieb]

CCM down less than 1,000 with over 25k left in Clark.

So Sisolak is done?

It's not looking great, yeah.

But it's clear Laxalt is 100% done. His lead won't last the night.

[Pericles]

"how could we have known polls would underestimate democrats in nevada"

- Everyone every two years

Yeah I thought Laxalt was going to win until I saw him tied in the polls which was a clear sign that CCM had it.

[It’s so Joever]

Meanwhile, back in Arizona...

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1591221009591701505

Could also just be a turnout issue.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591219220339359744

[brucejoel99]

Even if Sisolak ultimately doesn't win, Republicans claiming every cycle that they've finally got the Reid machine dead-to-rights only for them to just fail in the most classic ways possible is just objectively funny

[Ferguson97]

TITANIUM TILT D NEVADA VINDICATED

[Dani Rose]

With Laxalt officially done, I hinge my hopes upon the shoulders of AZ-01 and AZ-06.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

"how could we have known polls would underestimate democrats in nevada"

- Everyone every two years

That one guy who posted in a NV-SEN (Tie) that they would sooner bet on the Democrat or something, was on point.

[Pericles]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591219220339359744

If Republicans lose the House, it's likely because they primaried their Representatives who voted for impeachment.

[pantsaregood]

Meanwhile, back in Arizona...

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1591221009591701505

This is a bad take. Racial polarization in Yuma is off the charts, and Hispanic turnout was way down this year. No surprise that leads to a stronger Republican result without any Hispanic swing.

Comically bad turnout can make weird things happen. The TX-34 special looked disastrous for Democrats until you realized that overall turnout in the district was 20% of 2018.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591219220339359744

If Republicans lose the House, it's likely because they primaried their Representatives who voted for impeachment.

Reminder that the lion's share of House flips still occur in open seats.

[Tekken_Guy]

Herschel Walker is close to DOA in the runoff at this point.

[Gass3268]

Meanwhile, back in Arizona...

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1591221009591701505

This is a bad take. Racial polarization in Yuma is off the charts, and Hispanic turnout was way down this year. No surprise that leads to a stronger Republican result without any Hispanic swing.

To me the biggest take away from Yuma was that the E-Day drop offs were more Democratic than what was counted prior.

[ajc0918]

DDHQ called NV GOV for Lombardo

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1591224553950150656

Jay Chen gains ~238 votes.

[Dani Rose]

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1591224553950150656
Jay Chen gains ~238 votes.

👀

[Alben Barkley]

Can I just say how badly I hope Warnock wins the run-off (which looks increasingly likely now that it won't even matter), if only because NO ONE who runs an ad THIS good deserves to lose:

[pantsaregood]

"how could we have known polls would underestimate democrats in nevada"

- Everyone every two years

Yeah I thought Laxalt was going to win until I saw him tied in the polls which was a clear sign that CCM had it.

The late polls of this race were horrible even by NV standards. The NV GOP was apparently confident they had this race locked up, and there were several polls that popped up showing Laxalt+5.