Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 308058 times)
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #11725 on: November 14, 2022, 07:06:09 PM »


Just wanted to post it somewhere

It'd be amusing if *he* jumped to the Dems.

I mean, guy took a picture with Pelosi. He'd be a top suspect if party flipping actually did start to become a possibility.

Mike Lawler needs to immediatedly be primaried in his Home State. Reason: He went to Washington and posed for a Picture with the Speaker and that is prohibited from my Point of View if you are a Republican Congressman no matter if you are in the Minority or Majority.

# Don't Pose with the Speaker

Haha this made me chuckle.  Great dunk on 2016.
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Torie
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« Reply #11726 on: November 14, 2022, 07:06:36 PM »

Should be enough for Garcia to hold, right? Wasserman seems to think so:


One needs to know the tranche numbers to have a clue as to how it impacts the odds. Otherwise it's but noise.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #11727 on: November 14, 2022, 07:06:57 PM »

Santos is the first openly-LGBT Republican elected to Congress as a non-incumbent.

The first ever was Polis, FWIW.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #11728 on: November 14, 2022, 07:07:52 PM »

LMAO, so McCarthy clearly does not have the votes



Not a surprise. Cuellar has always been a Democratic footsoldier - IIRC he's a part of the whip team.

Yeah all this talk about guys like Manchin and Cuellar switching parties was always a conservative fantasy.

They're assholes - but they're our assholes.

Manchin literally said in early 2021 that he’d switch parties if Thune was the Republican Senate leader instead of McConnell Roll Eyes

I read that as him diplomatically being like, yeah, no, never going to happen.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #11729 on: November 14, 2022, 07:09:06 PM »

Santos is the first openly-LGBT Republican elected to Congress as a non-incumbent.

The first ever was Polis, FWIW.

Tammy Baldwin in 1998 ?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11730 on: November 14, 2022, 07:09:37 PM »

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Dani Rose
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« Reply #11731 on: November 14, 2022, 07:09:48 PM »

So, regarding Arizona, I feel like our immediate priorities there should be trying to flip or at least make a dent in Navajo, Pinal, and Yuma, yeah?
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Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #11732 on: November 14, 2022, 07:10:29 PM »

Santos is the first openly-LGBT Republican elected to Congress as a non-incumbent.

The first ever was Polis, FWIW.

Tammy Baldwin in 1998 ?

Oh true. Polis must’ve been the first man.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11733 on: November 14, 2022, 07:10:31 PM »


I'm very confident that Garcia comes out on top, but it would be absolutely hilarious if Smith ended up winning in a squeaker after everyone has written her obituary.
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AndyHogan14
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« Reply #11734 on: November 14, 2022, 07:10:35 PM »

Sooooo....is Dianne Feinstein about to become President Pro Tempore of the Senate?

I just called Feinstein's office and her staff said that no statement has been made on the topic. I have been wondering if she'd take the role for a few months and then retire at the "top" of the Senate, but with the rumors concerning her cognitive decline and that she might refuse the role, I'm not sure.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #11735 on: November 14, 2022, 07:12:45 PM »


It's kinda crazy how ineffective the Republican gains were lol, exclusively in Likely R/Safe D seats.

If anything this confirms that Democrats were better at persuading voters and had better candidates. Every poll this year seemed to have a much better GCB for Republicans than the ballot tests with the specific candidates. Races without significant investment of money and effort showed a red wave, which makes sense given how bad the fundamentals were for the Democrats. But when voters in competitive districts were exposed to both parties' arguments, the Democratic argument was just as persuasive as the GOP argument.

I don't think this really indicates that the GOP was unlucky. It indicates that they were outcompeted in swing districts, and that Democratic arguments about abortion and extremism resonated basically as much as GOP arguments about inflation.
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Splash
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« Reply #11736 on: November 14, 2022, 07:13:36 PM »

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new_patomic
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« Reply #11737 on: November 14, 2022, 07:14:42 PM »



Chen hasn't been doing too badly in the latest batches.
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MichaelRbn
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« Reply #11738 on: November 14, 2022, 07:15:58 PM »

Santos is the first openly-LGBT Republican elected to Congress as a non-incumbent.

The first ever was Polis, FWIW.

Tammy Baldwin in 1998 ?

Oh true. Polis must’ve been the first man.

Neither Baldwin nor Polis is a Republican.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #11739 on: November 14, 2022, 07:17:19 PM »

Santos is the first openly-LGBT Republican elected to Congress as a non-incumbent.

The first ever was Polis, FWIW.

Tammy Baldwin in 1998 ?
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #11740 on: November 14, 2022, 07:17:52 PM »

Wait, NY-03 was two gay guys running against each other?


Yes, it's wild.

Brazil hispanic?  What?
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kwabbit
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« Reply #11741 on: November 14, 2022, 07:20:09 PM »

Should be enough for Garcia to hold, right? Wasserman seems to think so:


Garcia was never going to win by 10 points, so this should be expected. Smith would have to win by huge margins to win. It'll probably be a few point win in the end. The district is too blue for Garcia to ever win by more than that.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11742 on: November 14, 2022, 07:29:47 PM »

Should be enough for Garcia to hold, right? Wasserman seems to think so:


As a side note, I like how Mike Garcia’s job is “Congressman/Father”. The sense I get is he’s done a decent job at humanizing himself which has helped him overcome polarization.

The wild card here is we don’t really know how many ballots actually remain in CA-27.
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Sestak
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« Reply #11743 on: November 14, 2022, 07:30:20 PM »

It’s a better update for Smith than the last ones have been, but she’d still need to accelerate more.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #11744 on: November 14, 2022, 07:30:31 PM »


Arizona 01 • 94%
Schweikert - 50.1% • 172,845
Hodge - 49.9% • 171,951

Arizona 06 • 89%
Cisomani - 50.3% • 159,299
Engel - 49.7% • 157,526

California 03 • 53%
Kiley - 53% • 89,150
Jones - 47% • 79,188

California 27 • 74%
Garcia - 54.3% • 81,720
Smith - 45.6% • 68,553

California 41 • 74%
Calvert - 51.3% • 82,984
Rollins - 48.7% • 78,918

California 45 • 70%
Steel - 53.48% • 90,389
Chen - 46.52% • 78,622
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Thomas D
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« Reply #11745 on: November 14, 2022, 07:33:55 PM »


We were talking about non-incumbents.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11746 on: November 14, 2022, 07:34:38 PM »


Specifically Republican ones.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #11747 on: November 14, 2022, 07:38:34 PM »

Whatever just came in in Cali was very Dem on a statewide scale.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11748 on: November 14, 2022, 07:38:58 PM »
« Edited: November 14, 2022, 07:44:41 PM by Gass3268 »



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YE
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« Reply #11749 on: November 14, 2022, 07:39:30 PM »

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