NM-GOV (GQR): Lujan Grisham +4 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 13, 2024, 10:44:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2022 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  NM-GOV (GQR): Lujan Grisham +4 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NM-GOV (GQR): Lujan Grisham +4  (Read 837 times)
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,343
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« on: August 23, 2022, 05:55:03 PM »

Upset potential for Ronchetti still exists here, but I can see this being a realistic end result.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,343
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2022, 06:35:10 PM »


It's from over a month ago. Things may have changed since then. It's just that it's the most recent poll we have of this race.

In fact, it may very well still suggest a neutral environment. In a neutral environment party considerations likely matter less and with Ronchetti being a purportedly good candidate and Lujan Grisham (from last I saw) never being in a position better than slightly above water with her approvals, this kind of checks out. If it were a Republican wave environment Ronchetti would be leading, and in a Democratic environment Lujan Grisham would probably be well-ahead. Of course, gubernatorial elections also tend to be more separated from the national environment anyway. Baker, Hogan, and Scott winning overwhelmingly in 2018 didn't negate that year's Democratic wave; and Lamont barely winning in Connecticut didn't either.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 13 queries.