Senate balance in the 118th Congress

[Vern]

52-48 Republican

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

either 51-49 D (PA flips, none else), or 50-50 (PA and NV flip) are the likeliest to me. Outside chance of 52-48 D (with WI also flipping) and 52-48 R (PA, AZ, GA, NV flip). I still stand by Fetterman winning even if the sunbelt goes back to Rs.

[LabourJersey]

I would say 50-50 for now (PA and NV flip) but it's hard to tell for certain.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nothing is enshrined in the Constitution that's it's a 303 map we can get a 303 Gov map and then win OH, FL and NC Senate or vise versa there is nothing that guarantees that it's only a 303 map

The range in the H is 235/210 RH and 50/56 D Sen D's outnumbered Rs 80/75 M just because it was 303 we didn't win 80 M votes in 2018 and we won OH, MT and WVA S

We're can get any 303 map with wave insurance but DeWine abd DeSantis are leading while Ryan and Demings are competetive, we are being scored what 8f you are wrong in your R nut map you won't be able to update it on EDay that's why I make a wave insurance map

Users are so accustomed to a 303 map

We can get up to 56 Senators

Let pundits stick to a 303 map this is a blog not rankings you can make an inaccurate map, Rs still think Kelly is gonna lose and Masters hasn't lead in a single poll

[wesmoorenerd]

My best guess is 52 Ds, with PA and WI flipping only.

Concurred. Between WI's functionally identical partisanship to the other key races, Johnson's atrocious approval rating, Barnes' solid campaign launch, and the two polls we've gotten, I'm done thinking that this race is going to magically dramatically diverge from NV/GA/AZ/PA.

[here2view]

50-50 Democrats, with Dems picking up PA and GOP picking up Nevada.

Path to the majority for Democrats:

46. Colorado
47. New Hampshire
48. Georgia
49. Arizona
50. Pennsylvania
51. Nevada
52. Wisconsin
53. North Carolina

[Ferguson97]

50/50.

Rs flip Nevada. Ds flip Pennsylvania.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

50/50.

Rs flip Nevada. Ds flip Pennsylvania.

Lol have you seen NY 19 we're gonna win 22 not Lose and we're gonna have more seats

[ShadowRocket]

Another 50-50 split with PA being traded for one of NV or AZ.