All I know is this- if Masters wins it will not be called on election night. It will be close if he wins and AZ has a d counting bias
Does AZ count democrat votes first usually?
2018 had an R counting bias, and the Dem votes were counted later. In 2020, it had a D counting bias, and as the week went on Trump tightened the margin from like Biden+8 to Biden+0.3
Personally, I think 2022 will have a D bias because in the primaries Robson was winning early on and that was due to mail in votes. When in person votes were all in Kari Lake took the lead. And it's pretty obvious that VBM is more dem friendly than in person ballots. No one can say for certain though how the ballots will be counted until we get another statement about tabulation near election day.