Israel 2022 election (November 1st)
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Author Topic: Israel 2022 election (November 1st)  (Read 34717 times)
Logical
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« Reply #325 on: November 01, 2022, 03:05:12 PM »

Israeli exit polls are practically voodoo and not worth your time.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #326 on: November 01, 2022, 03:05:30 PM »

Well, here we go. Can someone link to the results page?

Also when will we know the final turnout number?
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jaichind
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« Reply #327 on: November 01, 2022, 03:05:52 PM »

I assume https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/ is the results page
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #328 on: November 01, 2022, 03:17:23 PM »

If Netanyahu returns to power with this extreme-right coalition, any pretense of abiding by the Oslo accords is going to be gone.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #329 on: November 01, 2022, 03:22:02 PM »

Getting actual feelings of déjà vu now.
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danny
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« Reply #330 on: November 01, 2022, 03:24:13 PM »

Exit polls:

61-59 in favor of Bibi

God... here we go again.

There were 4 exit polls, 2 have 62 for Bibi and 2 have 61.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #331 on: November 01, 2022, 03:29:03 PM »

The only victor is the BDS movement. Good job.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #332 on: November 01, 2022, 03:30:04 PM »

Also when will we know the final turnout number?

Any idea on that? That seems like a big deal given the nature of the unknowns here.
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jaichind
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« Reply #333 on: November 01, 2022, 03:31:03 PM »

Exit polls:

61-59 in favor of Bibi

God... here we go again.

There were 4 exit polls, 2 have 62 for Bibi and 2 have 61.

Is there a link to those 4 exit polls and the seat breakdown for each party ?
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #334 on: November 01, 2022, 03:35:32 PM »

I think Balad gets in. Channel 11 has them .15% away, and the prison vote alone should cover that.
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Keep Calm and ...
OldEurope
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« Reply #335 on: November 01, 2022, 03:37:57 PM »

Exit polls:

61-59 in favor of Bibi

God... here we go again.



There were 4 exit polls, 2 have 62 for Bibi and 2 have 61.

Is there a link to those 4 exit polls and the seat breakdown for each party ?

Exit polls...
https://twitter.com/AsiaElects
https://twitter.com/israel_elects
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections
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jaichind
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« Reply #336 on: November 01, 2022, 03:40:39 PM »

I think Balad gets in. Channel 11 has them .15% away, and the prison vote alone should cover that.

All 4 exit polls seem to have them falling below.  So if they get in then it will upend all these projections.
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
kataak
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« Reply #337 on: November 01, 2022, 03:42:03 PM »

So, now literal kahanists are going to be part of a government?
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warandwar
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« Reply #338 on: November 01, 2022, 03:43:29 PM »

If Netanyahu returns to power with this extreme-right coalition, any pretense of abiding by the Oslo accords is going to be gone.
How's the weather in 2009?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #339 on: November 01, 2022, 03:45:46 PM »

If Netanyahu returns to power with this extreme-right coalition, any pretense of abiding by the Oslo accords is going to be gone.
How's the weather in 2009?

Okay, even farther gone and beyond the possibility of ever returning than it already was.

Never underestimate the possibility of things getting worse.
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Logical
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« Reply #340 on: November 01, 2022, 03:48:00 PM »

I think Balad gets in. Channel 11 has them .15% away, and the prison vote alone should cover that.

All 4 exit polls seem to have them falling below.  So if they get in then it will upend all these projections.
Every exit poll in 2021 has Raam not making it past the threshold. No one has good idea about Arab turnout except for the Arab parties themselves.
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warandwar
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« Reply #341 on: November 01, 2022, 03:48:06 PM »

If Netanyahu returns to power with this extreme-right coalition, any pretense of abiding by the Oslo accords is going to be gone.
How's the weather in 2009?

Okay, even farther gone and beyond the possibility of ever returning than it already was.
Lapid dropped bombs from the air a few weeks ago in the West Bank. First time in 20 years. I don't think this election changes the balance at all.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #342 on: November 01, 2022, 03:55:18 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2022, 04:02:54 PM by Comrade Funk »

This is what happens when a country isn't held accountable for upholding apartheid. South Africa was eventually and they had to change.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #343 on: November 01, 2022, 03:56:10 PM »

If Netanyahu returns to power with this extreme-right coalition, any pretense of abiding by the Oslo accords is going to be gone.
How's the weather in 2009?

Okay, even farther gone and beyond the possibility of ever returning than it already was.
Lapid dropped bombs from the air a few weeks ago in the West Bank. First time in 20 years. I don't think this election changes the balance at all.

Parties that are at least *hypothetically* open to *some form* of negotiations and peace *at some point* - even if they are working against peaceful negotiations at the present - are still better than a government that will include people like Ben-Gvir who are openly in favor of ethnic cleansing of the Arab minority in Israel, support large-scale annexations of Palestinian land as soon possible, and who oppose any form of negotiated peace ever.

Everything is bad! But not everything is equally bad!
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warandwar
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« Reply #344 on: November 01, 2022, 04:06:26 PM »

If Netanyahu returns to power with this extreme-right coalition, any pretense of abiding by the Oslo accords is going to be gone.
How's the weather in 2009?

Okay, even farther gone and beyond the possibility of ever returning than it already was.
Lapid dropped bombs from the air a few weeks ago in the West Bank. First time in 20 years. I don't think this election changes the balance at all.

Parties that are at least *hypothetically* open to *some form* of negotiations and peace *at some point* - even if they are working against peaceful negotiations at the present - are still better than a government that will include people like Ben-Gvir who are openly in favor of ethnic cleansing of the Arab minority in Israel, support large-scale annexations of Palestinian land as soon possible, and who oppose any form of negotiated peace ever.

Everything is bad! But not everything is equally bad!
There are differences between the coalitions. I don't think there are meaningful differences in practice in this issue (which wasn't even debated much this election). Ben-Gvir says the quiet part loud but I don't think he can outmanoever Netanyahu significantly. More likely that there would be mass deportation of African refugees.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #345 on: November 01, 2022, 04:08:57 PM »

Ok so Denmark has also voted today and is 40% counted after 2 hours.

I doubt we will see hardly any results from Israel within 2 hours, why does it count so slowly?
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
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« Reply #346 on: November 01, 2022, 04:11:09 PM »

Ok so Denmark has also voted today and is 40% counted after 2 hours.

I doubt we will see hardly any results from Israel within 2 hours, why does it count so slowly?


Paper ballots
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
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« Reply #347 on: November 01, 2022, 04:13:12 PM »

I think Balad gets in. Channel 11 has them .15% away, and the prison vote alone should cover that.

Netanyahu warns of vote fraud in Arab villages, he's starting the stop the steal
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #348 on: November 01, 2022, 04:15:00 PM »

Ok so Denmark has also voted today and is 40% counted after 2 hours.

I doubt we will see hardly any results from Israel within 2 hours, why does it count so slowly?


Paper ballots

Denmark has paper ballots too...
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #349 on: November 01, 2022, 04:16:10 PM »

This is what happens when a country isn't held accountable for upholding apartheid. South Africa was eventually and they had to change.


Everyone knows why Israel is held to a different standard.
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