2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Tintrlvr]

A bit ironic how Niou got just 11 votes in her home precinct (Goldman only got 22 though)

Her successor in her Assembly seat refusing to endorse her did not help, I'm sure.

Her seat is the definition of Goldman's base (and the anti-defintion of her own base). Home to several very expensive high-rise Condos in lower Manhattan and is right next to wall street.

Again though I'm shocked that even in this type of precinct turnout was so bad. A total of 61 votes were cast even though if you just look at Niou's building there has to be at least  200-300 voting age adults.

Her seat also includes Chinatown, which she won solidly in this primary. The Financial District has woefully terrible turnout because it's very young and no one lives there for longer than 3-4 years.

[ProgressiveModerate]

A bit ironic how Niou got just 11 votes in her home precinct (Goldman only got 22 though)

Her successor in her Assembly seat refusing to endorse her did not help, I'm sure.

Her seat is the definition of Goldman's base (and the anti-defintion of her own base). Home to several very expensive high-rise Condos in lower Manhattan and is right next to wall street.

Again though I'm shocked that even in this type of precinct turnout was so bad. A total of 61 votes were cast even though if you just look at Niou's building there has to be at least  200-300 voting age adults.

Her seat also includes Chinatown, which she won solidly in this primary. The Financial District has woefully terrible turnout because it's very young and no one lives there for longer than 3-4 years.

How does a young person buy a 4 million dollar condo to just live in for 3 or 4 years lol?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

So that leaves Manhattan primarily?

[Tintrlvr]

A bit ironic how Niou got just 11 votes in her home precinct (Goldman only got 22 though)

Her successor in her Assembly seat refusing to endorse her did not help, I'm sure.

Her seat is the definition of Goldman's base (and the anti-defintion of her own base). Home to several very expensive high-rise Condos in lower Manhattan and is right next to wall street.

Again though I'm shocked that even in this type of precinct turnout was so bad. A total of 61 votes were cast even though if you just look at Niou's building there has to be at least  200-300 voting age adults.

Her seat also includes Chinatown, which she won solidly in this primary. The Financial District has woefully terrible turnout because it's very young and no one lives there for longer than 3-4 years.

How does a young person buy a 4 million dollar condo to just live in for 3 or 4 years lol?

There are very few condos in the district. It's mostly rentals. New buildings are also mostly rentals. At least 80% of the population are renters. (To be clear, this is in Niou's Assembly district; for NY-10 as a whole the figure is lower since owner-occupied housing is more in common in Brooklyn, though probably still over 70% renters.)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

So that leaves Manhattan primarily?

Yep. Then again that estimate could be BS too.

[GALeftist]

Niou cannot keep losing ground in these Manhattan drops if she wants to win.

[ProgressiveModerate]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

So that leaves Manhattan primarily?

According to Cincy's map, the unreported precincts are either in Fi-Di (which should net Goldman) or in the Alphabet City area which Rivera and Niou have been winning. My guess is Niou doesn't make up the 700 vote defecit but it'll be close.

I also like how Rivera got 79/108 votes in one precinct-wonder what caused that.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Now apparently 10% of the vote is left in Brooklyn.

I knew there was no way only 50k votes had been cast.

[Tintrlvr]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

So that leaves Manhattan primarily?

According to Cincy's map, the unreported precincts are either in Fi-Di (which should net Goldman) or in the Alphabet City area which Rivera and Niou have been winning. My guess is Niou doesn't make up the 700 vote defecit but it'll be close.

I also like how Rivera got 79/108 votes in one precinct-wonder what caused that.

At a guess it's probably one of the NYCHA project precincts at the far east of the East Village that is mostly Hispanic and in her Council district.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Goldman up to 850

[ProgressiveModerate]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

So that leaves Manhattan primarily?

According to Cincy's map, the unreported precincts are either in Fi-Di (which should net Goldman) or in the Alphabet City area which Rivera and Niou have been winning. My guess is Niou doesn't make up the 700 vote defecit but it'll be close.

I also like how Rivera got 79/108 votes in one precinct-wonder what caused that.

At a guess it's probably one of the NYCHA project precincts at the far east of the East Village that is mostly Hispanic and in her Council district.

Ah that makes sense.

Another interesting precinct is the Seaport precinct in Lower Manhattan where Jones is winning despite doing dreadful in neighboring precincts.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Goldman up to 850

Up to almost exactly 1000 now, it seem like most of the Dump came from Manhattan though. I think this will be a Manhattan-Brooklyn battle with Goldman favored.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Goldman now at a 1K lead - but the percentage of estimated vote is down to 90%.

This is starting to remind me a bit of the Katz/Caban race, in that I don't expect it to be over tonight and I could see some heated accusations if we need a recount.

[wbrocks67]

It feels like this one is prime to be dragged out.

[GALeftist]

I would say Lean Goldman right now. More Brooklyn out definitely helps Niou. I don't know if it will be enough, though.

[Tintrlvr]

DDHQ says Kings is 99% in

So that leaves Manhattan primarily?

According to Cincy's map, the unreported precincts are either in Fi-Di (which should net Goldman) or in the Alphabet City area which Rivera and Niou have been winning. My guess is Niou doesn't make up the 700 vote defecit but it'll be close.

I also like how Rivera got 79/108 votes in one precinct-wonder what caused that.

At a guess it's probably one of the NYCHA project precincts at the far east of the East Village that is mostly Hispanic and in her Council district.

Ah that makes sense.

Another interesting precinct is the Seaport precinct in Lower Manhattan where Jones is winning despite doing dreadful in neighboring precincts.

Might just be very few votes? But there are a couple of big Mitchell-Lama buildings there, if it's a precinct dominated by one of those it could be very different demographically from the neighboring areas in Chinatown (dominated by Niou) or the Financial District (Goldman).

[ProgressiveModerate]

Jimmy Li may end up being a spoiler for Niou. He's doing remarkably well in a few heavily Asian South Brooklyn precincts that likely would've otherwise went to Niou

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Also sidenote it looks like Ryan will pull it off in NY-19.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Jimmy Li may end up being a spoiler for Niou. He's doing remarkably well in a few heavily Asian South Brooklyn precincts that likely would've otherwise went to Niou

His total vote count is less than Goldman’s current lead over Niou.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Jimmy Li may end up being a spoiler for Niou. He's doing remarkably well in a few heavily Asian South Brooklyn precincts that likely would've otherwise went to Niou

His total vote count is less than Goldman’s current lead over Niou.

Yes but the race could narrow and if Niou loses by like 100 votes or something insanely close yk.

Anyways NY-10 seems like it's done counting votes for tonight so RIP.

[Tintrlvr]

Jimmy Li may end up being a spoiler for Niou. He's doing remarkably well in a few heavily Asian South Brooklyn precincts that likely would've otherwise went to Niou

His total vote count is less than Goldman’s current lead over Niou.

There are also way too many random factors that could go into this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls we're off NY 19 we are winning, but the polls, yeah they were wrong, ha

[Tintrlvr]

On the other side of the aisle, it's looking like Nick Langworthy is going to defeat Carl Paladino in the R primary in NY-23, which would at least be a win for not being completely insane. Paladino is still ahead but Erie County, where Paladino got a huge margin, seems to be done counting, while Langworthy is amassing equally huge margins in the rural counties, most of which still have a lot (or in some cases, all) of their votes to count.

Currently:

Paladino: 52.9
Langworthy: 47.1

But Paladino is at 66% in Erie County, which is done counting, and getting crushed around 60-40 in every other county.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

On the other side of the aisle, it's looking like Nick Langworthy is going to defeat Carl Paladino in the R primary in NY-23, which would at least be a win for not being completely insane. Paladino is still ahead but Erie County, where Paladino got a huge margin, seems to be done counting, while Langworthy is amassing equally huge margins in the rural counties, most of which still have a lot (or in some cases, all) of their votes to count.

Currently:

Paladino: 52.9
Langworthy: 47.1

But Paladino is at 66% in Erie County, which is done counting, and getting crushed around 60-40 in every other county.

Great news. This was basically King vs. Feenstra without an incumbent.