2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What's the recount laws in Texas?

Applying the above formula:

Henry Cuellar*
23,735 +50.5%50.5%
Jessica Cisneros
23,234

Difference: 501


23,735 * .1 = 2,373.5

So yes, Cisneros can request one. Historically speaking it would be rare for a recount to overturn a 500 vote difference in a congressional race though.

This is going to be super close

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1529309739313774593?s=20&t=B1RP4nmPClV...

NYT has more votes reporting than whatever Wasserman is using (appears to be C(Clinton)NN). The 501 difference is the NYT count.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Honestly Jones and Shelby was a pretty good delegation for Alabama, hoping Britt ultimately wins. Moore and Tuberville would be a massive downgrade.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Honestly Jones and Shelby was a pretty good delegation for Alabama, hoping Britt ultimately wins. Moore and Tuberville would be a massive downgrade.

You mean Brooks and Tuberville?

[Logical]

What's the recount laws in Texas?

Applying the above formula:

Henry Cuellar*
23,735 +50.5%50.5%
Jessica Cisneros
23,234

Difference: 501


23,735 * .1 = 2,373.5

So yes, Cisneros can request one. Historically speaking it would be rare for a recount to overturn a 500 vote difference in a congressional race though.

This is going to be super close

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1529309739313774593?s=20&t=B1RP4nmPClV...

NYT has more votes reporting than whatever Wasserman is using (appears to be C(Clinton)NN). The 501 difference is the NYT count.

CNN results is in line with the Texas SOS site. I don't know what the failing NYT is on today but they have been awful all night long.

[Buzz]

Burt Jones down to 50.3%

[GALeftist]

MRW there are literally 11 EDay voting sites left to report but Cisneros's fate depends on the goodwill of the Bexar County gods so I can't afford to insult them

[Matty]

Some idiot at NYT was uploading results from the March primary, which inflated cuellar a bit

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Both the failing NYT and the Clinton News Network are saying there are votes left in Jim Hogg...which should push Cuellar up a bit more.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling TX-29 R for Schafranek!
GA-SOS D will be a RUNOFF between Nguyen and Dawkins-Haigler!
GA LT Gov D will be a RUNOFF between Hall and Bailey!
Calling GA Agriculture Commissioner D for Hemingway!
GA-10 R will be a RUNOFF between Collins and Jones!
Calling GA-10 D FIRST SLOT for Johnson-Green!
Calling AL-5 D for Warner-Stanton!

Uncalled:

GA LT GOV R
GA Insurance Commissioner D
GA Labor Commissioner D
GA 10 D SPOT 2
AL-4 D
AL Auditor R
TX Land Commissioner D
TX-15 D
TX-24 D
OR-5 D
PA-SEN R

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

What's the recount laws in Texas?

Applying the above formula:

Henry Cuellar*
23,735 +50.5%50.5%
Jessica Cisneros
23,234

Difference: 501


23,735 * .1 = 2,373.5

So yes, Cisneros can request one. Historically speaking it would be rare for a recount to overturn a 500 vote difference in a congressional race though.

This is going to be super close

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1529309739313774593?s=20&t=B1RP4nmPClV...

Per the TX SOS’s site
https://results.texas-election.com/landing-page

17% of precincts are out and they are all Bexar.
We don’t know how many votes those are, but that seems good for Cisternos.

[NOVA Green]

What's the recount laws in Texas?

Applying the above formula:

Henry Cuellar*
23,735 +50.5%50.5%
Jessica Cisneros
23,234

Difference: 501


23,735 * .1 = 2,373.5

So yes, Cisneros can request one. Historically speaking it would be rare for a recount to overturn a 500 vote difference in a congressional race though.

This is going to be super close

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1529309739313774593?s=20&t=B1RP4nmPClV...

Per the TX SOS’s site
https://results.texas-election.com/landing-page

17% of precincts are out and they are all Bexar.
We don’t know how many votes those are, but that seems good for Cisternos.

Hopefully we can take out the crook () and run a clean progressive DEM in this seat and carry it on to victory.

https://www.texastribune.org/2022/02/01/henry-cuellar-fbi-raid-election/

https://www.tpr.org/government-politics/2022-05-23/fbi-raids-open-borders-and-abortion-heres-what-cisneros-and-cuellar-are-fighting-for-in-the-d28-runoff

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2022/04/13/rep-henry-cuellar-not-a-target-after-fbi-raided-home-campaign-office-lawyer-says/

[Logical]

Regardless of what the Bexar result is there will be a couple hundred provisionals across the district and the inevitable recount. This race won't be called in quite a while.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

And now they are reporting Bexar counting is done with no change
What?

[Matty]

Cuellar wins!!!

Lol, this guy is like a roach

Doesn’t die

[Green Line]

And now they are reporting Bexar counting is done with no change
What?

The majority of Bexar is outside the district.  There were probably no more votes from the part in the district.  Bye bye jessie.

[Minnesota Mike]

And now they are reporting Bexar counting is done with no change
What?

As I understand it there were 11 vote centers to report in all of Bexar County, not all of Bexar county is in TX-28.

[Minnesota Mike]

TX-28 was not even the closest race in the RGV, in TX-15 (D) Michelle Vallejo leads by 23 votes with all the votes in according to the TX SOS website (I have given up on the NYT tonight).

[Roll Roons]

Raffensperger was written off by a lot of people.

So in light of these results, I wonder if Tom Rice's primary prospects are being underrated. His colleagues haven't turned against him like they have against Liz Cheney and a I feel like the electorate in his district is noticeably less Trumpy than one in, say, West Virginia.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

With the 177 vote difference Cisneros can and probably will call for a recount. But I don't expect it to change anything and my call for Cuellar stands.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I wonder if Bee Nguyen can be considered a slight favorite over Raffensperger for SoS this fall since there's a good chance a lot of Republican primary voters might skip his part of the ballot because they're disenfranchised by him... kind of in a similar fashion to the 2021 Georgia runoffs.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I wonder if Bee Nguyen can be considered a slight favorite over Raffensperger for SoS this fall since there's a good chance a lot of Republican primary voters might skip his part of the ballot because they're disenfranchised by him... kind of in a similar fashion to the 2021 Georgia runoffs.

Possible but there's also the question of if weaker Dem Voters will skip the race or even vote Raffensperger because of his heroism and lack of a reason to vote against him.

I'll also note that Nyugen may or may not be the nominee as a runoff is happening....

[brucejoel99]

Raffensperger was written off by a lot of people.

So in light of these results, I wonder if Tom Rice's primary prospects are being underrated. His colleagues haven't turned against him like they have against Liz Cheney and a I feel like the electorate in his district is noticeably less Trumpy than one in, say, West Virginia.

Given the emerging weakness of Trump's grip over Republican primaries & the recent discourse in the WY-AL megathread, I'm honestly starting to wonder if a Cheney re-nomination is plausibly possible.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Raffensperger was written off by a lot of people.

So in light of these results, I wonder if Tom Rice's primary prospects are being underrated. His colleagues haven't turned against him like they have against Liz Cheney and a I feel like the electorate in his district is noticeably less Trumpy than one in, say, West Virginia.

Given the emerging weakness of Trump's grip over Republican primaries & the recent discourse in the WY-AL megathread, I'm honestly starting to wonder if a Cheney re-nomination is plausibly possible.

Long way until August 16th so wouldn't be saying that with any degree of confidence.

The other thing is WY is a pretty exposed primary - Only it, AK, and maybe SD are voting that day. This means Trump won't need to divide his attention much and can almost exclusively focus on defeating Cheney in the final days.

[mtvoter]

Raffensperger was written off by a lot of people.

So in light of these results, I wonder if Tom Rice's primary prospects are being underrated. His colleagues haven't turned against him like they have against Liz Cheney and a I feel like the electorate in his district is noticeably less Trumpy than one in, say, West Virginia.

Given the emerging weakness of Trump's grip over Republican primaries & the recent discourse in the WY-AL megathread, I'm honestly starting to wonder if a Cheney re-nomination is plausibly possible.

Wyoming is quite different from Georgia though.

It's much closer to West Virginia... and we all saw what happened to McKinley...

[Joseph Cao]

I wonder if Bee Nguyen can be considered a slight favorite over Raffensperger for SoS this fall since there's a good chance a lot of Republican primary voters might skip his part of the ballot because they're disenfranchised by him... kind of in a similar fashion to the 2021 Georgia runoffs.

These voters who feel that way – didn't they just renominate him to do the same job in which he disenfranchised their feelings? It took pretty substantial R dropoff to get the Georgia runoffs result, Warnock's encore performance this time will be a much better indicator of how the statewide races go.

Raffensperger was written off by a lot of people.

So in light of these results, I wonder if Tom Rice's primary prospects are being underrated. His colleagues haven't turned against him like they have against Liz Cheney and a I feel like the electorate in his district is noticeably less Trumpy than one in, say, West Virginia.

Given the emerging weakness of Trump's grip over Republican primaries & the recent discourse in the WY-AL megathread, I'm honestly starting to wonder if a Cheney re-nomination is plausibly possible.

Cheney has stepped in it with her electorate to a far greater degree than Raff or McKinley or even Rice.

Kinzinger has done the same stuff and had the same media coverage and would've been similarly viewed by actual voters if he ran for reelection, but he was screwed six ways to Sunday by redistricting and a bunch of other stuff anyway.