2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Nyvin]

There's still vote left in Delco though,  so is it not really over?

[Horus]

Cawthorn and McGeachin lost, Oz is barely holding on, and Perdue is set to do terribly next week. Is the Trump endorsement starting to lose its magic?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hey, Folks! Here's my last PA-12 update for the night:

3 precincts left in Westmoreland, 26 left in Allegheny. Summer holds an advantage of about 500 votes. Allegheny is coming in very strong for her while Westmoreland is Irwin territory... It is no mystery how this race is going to end.

Unfortunately, Allegheny county has said that no more votes will be reported tonight so don't expect an official call from Wasserman or any major news outlet.

Summer Lee has declared victory, however.

Goodnight, babes xx

[GALeftist]

There's still vote left in Delco though,  so is it not really over?

Bunch left in Franklin too. That'll net Oz votes although idk how many

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Cawthorn and McGeachin lost, Oz is barely holding on, and Perdue is set to do terribly next week. Is the Trump endorsement starting to lose its magic?

On the other hand, Oz has nothing to do with this state and Trump managed to maybe drag him across the finish line in spite of that.

[Minnesota Mike]

Did you all learn nothing from 2020? PA-Sen is not going to be close to over tonight. There are 10's of thousands of absentees that will be counted over the next few days. Then we are probably in recount territory. If you have something to do tomorrow go to bed you won't miss anything.

[NOVA Green]

Meanwhile in OR-CD-05:

Got some prelims from ClackCo: 57-43 Schrader with 1.3k TVs.

Suspect these are predominately rurals and olders...

Marion County: Still tons of votes out there but according to the County website only 1.6k votes (56-44 Schrader).

NYT currently showing it as 1.5k (56-44 Schrader) but we have to remember that basically most of Metro Salem was stripped from the district, and rural and small town DEMs might be a bit more pragmatic...

Personally if I were Schrader would be worried about the LinnCo numbers, since if these are anything close to accurate, most likely he got defeated among DEM voters in Albany (Heavily), and most likely Lebanon and Sweet Home as well, and only his rurals are keeping him alive...

LinnCo numbers theoretically might be worse than Marion Co numbers in Rurals and Small Town Dems, since at least he was known in the district.

Still many of us OR REG DEMs used to solid Progressives like DeFazio wanted something different from our new REP post redistricting....

[kwabbit]

The trends in the PA primary are surprising to me. I expected Barnette's vote to be more urban-rural polarized, despite her being from Montgomery County. Her winning Berks and Lancaster are interesting.

I expected McCormick to win the Pittsburgh area and his hometown area, Chester, Delco, Montgomery, Oz to win Philly, NE PA, Bucks, and Barnette to win most of the rural areas. Even in a 3 way tie, McCormick would still be winning a lot of these rural counties. Odd for an out of state hedge fund manager.

Trump's endorsement carries the most weight in areas with the most Obama-Trump voters. These voters are Republican because of Trump, and they seem most inclined to follow his endorsement.

Mastriano winning is a drag. If I lived in PA, I'd probably go Oz-Shapiro. Mastriano's nomination has the potential to endanger democracy more than any other this cycle.

[Unelectable Bystander]

A) Does this mean people like Budd and Vance had more to do with their own success than they’re getting credit for

B) So is it possible that it is roughly tied and then some last minute mail-in ballots win it for McCormick? That would be a catastrophic outcome because some of the Trumpers might boycott the general if they think the system is rigged

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

There's still vote left in Delco though,  so is it not really over?

Bunch left in Franklin too. That'll net Oz votes although idk how many

I think the DelCo vote just came in, Oz still up about 600

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

There are apparently some outstanding early votes in Lancaster and elsewhere that should help McCormick.

[Minnesota Mike]

Barring a miracle Kurt Schrader's dead. Let his body be a lesson to Kyrsten Sinema on what happens to Democrats when they are much more conservative than their state/district.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

There are apparently some outstanding early votes in Lancaster and elsewhere that should help McCormick.

The mail vote in PA is like 90% Democratic, it's not going to have much of any impact in the Republican primary.

[Roll Roons]

There are apparently some outstanding early votes in Lancaster and elsewhere that should help McCormick.

The mail vote in PA is like 90% Democratic, it's not going to have much of any impact in the Republican primary.

In a race this close, it will probably be make or break.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Our state GOP really is cursed

[Hollywood]

Who'd have thought that the Trump candidate would be saved by mysterious drips of ballots in Philadelphia, Montgomery, and Bucks county.  lol.

[Ferguson97]

Ws this evening:

- Fettersweep
- Summer Lee looks to be in a good position
- Jamie McLeod-Skinner preparing to send Schrader to a farm upstate
- Crypto guy BTFOd
- Cawthorn taken out by the deep state
- Mastriano

TBD:

- PA-SEN GOP primary, although I'm at least glad it's in recount territory

Why is that a W? He's a 'Stop the steal' lunatic who wants to stop Biden from getting PA's electoral votes.

[Oryxslayer]

624 votes between Oz and McCormick.

[GALeftist]

Ws this evening:

- Fettersweep
- Summer Lee looks to be in a good position
- Jamie McLeod-Skinner preparing to send Schrader to a farm upstate
- Crypto guy BTFOd
- Cawthorn taken out by the deep state
- Mastriano

TBD:

- PA-SEN GOP primary, although I'm at least glad it's in recount territory

Why is that a W? He's a 'Stop the steal' lunatic who wants to stop Biden from getting PA's electoral votes.

Increases our likelihood of keeping the governor's mansion. Unconvinced that Barletta's hypothetical tenure would have been substantively better and his campaign was a dumpster fire anyway.

[Minnesota Mike]

Meanwhile in Oregon Q-Anon poster girl Jo Rae Perkins is leading for an encore of her 2020 drubbing for the Senate.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

There are apparently some outstanding early votes in Lancaster and elsewhere that should help McCormick.

The mail vote in PA is like 90% Democratic, it's not going to have much of any impact in the Republican primary.

In a race this close, it will probably be make or break.

It's possible. It would matter more if it were somewhere like Allegheny, where the margin between McCormick and Oz is more substantial. For Lancaster, McCormick is only up by about 300 votes over Oz, so adding mail votes there probably won't have a huge impact, though obviously it depends on how much McCormick overperforms in the mail vote there. It'll definitely make it closer, but idk if it'll be enough of a margin to switch it.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Meanwhile in Oregon Q-Anon poster girl Jo Rae Perkins is leading for an encore of her 2020 drubbing for the Senate.

Oregon Republicans are really stunningly incompetent. For Governor we are gonna nominate someone who just spouts vague establishment talking points and is extremely robotic and in Senate gonna nominate Perkins again.

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://mobile.twitter.com/dcoxpolls/status/1526547284732915713

[GALeftist]

OK, after that Delco drop, gun to my head I'd rather be Oz with all that Franklin outstanding.

[politicallefty]

Oz now up by just under 1k. According to the NYT map, the only counties not reporting at least 95% are Franklin (70%) and Carbon (80%). Both are narrow Oz counties.