2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 86100 times)
Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #325 on: May 10, 2022, 08:18:24 PM »

Also NE-02 Turnout Tracker:

GOP: 27,571
DEM: 27,109
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #326 on: May 10, 2022, 08:19:24 PM »

Calling NE-GOV D for Blood!
Calling NE-SOS R for Evnen!
Calling NE-1 R for Flood (Fortenberry at 7%, lol)!
Calling NE-1 D for Brooks!
Calling NE-2 D for Vargas!
Calling NE-2 R for Bacon!
Calling NE-3 R for Smith!
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #327 on: May 10, 2022, 08:21:40 PM »

This is probably as good as it gets for Lindstrom and as bad as it gets for Herbster, but if this holds up it would be a repeat of the 1998 GOP Primary for Governor where the initial frontrunner, Congressman Jon Lynn Christiansen who was the furthest right candidate in the race, ended up in the middle of a scandal and came in third while the (relatively) pragmatic Mayor of Lincoln, Mike Johanns, went on to win.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #328 on: May 10, 2022, 08:22:07 PM »

Calling NE-AG R for Hilgers!
Calling NE Auditor R for Foley!
Calling NE Treasurer R for Murante!

Uncalled: NE-Gov R, NE-3 D
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Thank you for being a friend...
progressive85
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« Reply #329 on: May 10, 2022, 08:31:34 PM »

what's the best link for results?  they all suck!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #330 on: May 10, 2022, 08:34:38 PM »

what's the best link for results?  they all suck!
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/05/10/us/elections/results-nebraska.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #331 on: May 10, 2022, 08:39:33 PM »

NE-GOV GOP PRIMARY (23% Reporting):
Lindstrom: 21,105 (41.14%)
Pillen: 15,267 (29.76%)
Herbster: 9,735 (18.97%)
Thibodeau: 3,234 (6.30%)
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Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #332 on: May 10, 2022, 08:51:14 PM »

43% REPORTED
Candidate Votes Pct.
Brett Lindstrom
26,967 votes       37.5%
Jim Pillen
21,013 votes       29.2%
Charles Herbster
15,937 votes       22.1%

Just narrowed dramatically and Douglas County is all in, I think it's going to be Pillen, it could still be Herbster but it's looking harder than it was an hour ago.
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Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #333 on: May 10, 2022, 08:54:53 PM »

49% REPORTED
Candidate Votes Pct.
Brett Lindstrom
29,881 votes       35.6%
Jim Pillen
24,573 votes       29.3%
Charles Herbster
20,253 votes       24.1%

5% came in, Lindstrom went down 2, Pillen stayed the same, and Herbster went up 2. This is far from over for Herbster.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #334 on: May 10, 2022, 08:57:59 PM »

The big takeaway here is that West Virginia republican turnout was supercharged by a very hotly contested race. Don’t read too far into their advantage over D primary turnout
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #335 on: May 10, 2022, 08:59:26 PM »

The big takeaway here is that West Virginia republican turnout was supercharged by a very hotly contested race. Don’t read too far into their advantage over D primary turnout
People always make comparisons between primary turnout and think it foretells things.
And they're wrong, 90% of the time.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #336 on: May 10, 2022, 09:02:13 PM »

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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #337 on: May 10, 2022, 09:07:27 PM »

Pillen is doing well enough in NE-03 (even on track to win a few counties) that I think he should win the race. It’s looking pretty bad for Lindstrom, though.
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Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #338 on: May 10, 2022, 09:21:09 PM »

Pillen now improving at a faster rate than Herbster. It's going to be closer, but I think it's going to be Pillen.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #339 on: May 10, 2022, 09:23:02 PM »

Pillen now improving at a faster rate than Herbster. It's going to be closer, but I think it's going to be Pillen.

Yes, I think Pillen is narrowly favored.  Doing just well enough in the rurals so far.  Lindstrom probably ends up in 3rd now that Omaha is tapped out.
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Sestak
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« Reply #340 on: May 10, 2022, 09:32:50 PM »

It’s pretty funny how three to four years ago we were all preemptively claiming that Mooney ‘only has a couple years left in congress anyway’ lol.
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Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #341 on: May 10, 2022, 09:37:15 PM »

Pillen takes the lead
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #342 on: May 10, 2022, 09:44:56 PM »

Calling NE-GOV R for Pillen!! TRUMP GOES DOWN IN DEFEAT!!!
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #343 on: May 10, 2022, 10:01:24 PM »

Some Herbster gains from flipping Omaha suburbs counties from Lindstrom.  Pillen's reasonably populated home base of Platte still 85% out.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #344 on: May 10, 2022, 10:31:52 PM »

Calling NE-GOV R for Pillen!! TRUMP GOES DOWN IN DEFEAT!!!
That is one Race Trump lost. He will win many more with his Candidates. Oz is going to crush it if the E-Day Vote is as strong as they were for Vance in Ohio & Herbster in NE.

Mooney crushing McKinley should be a big warning sign for RINOS like you.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #345 on: May 10, 2022, 10:34:04 PM »

And every Republican Blue Ava who doesn't support Trump endorsed Candidates is a RINO in my opinion.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #346 on: May 10, 2022, 10:38:24 PM »

So, trump nearly pulled a scandal ridden candidate over the line.. and obliterated a long-term stalwart of WV politics in his own turf.

Yet, this is supposedly a sign of his waning influence.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #347 on: May 10, 2022, 10:39:26 PM »

I’m not very familiar, what are the coalitions in this race? Herbster is like Mandel with hardcore conservative rurals, Lindstrom is like Dolan with urban areas, and Pillen is like Vance being acceptable everywhere and dominating a few random spots?
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #348 on: May 10, 2022, 10:49:21 PM »

I've said this a few times before. Trump's endorsement means more in federal races.
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Vosem
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« Reply #349 on: May 10, 2022, 10:57:31 PM »

I’m not very familiar, what are the coalitions in this race? Herbster is like Mandel with hardcore conservative rurals, Lindstrom is like Dolan with urban areas, and Pillen is like Vance being acceptable everywhere and dominating a few random spots?

Flip Herbster and Pillen. Pillen is the Club for Growth/Americans for Prosperity candidate; Herbster was originally the "old Nebraska establishment" candidate, but pivoted towards running as a Trumpier guy.

Pillen was the candidate of current Governor Ricketts, who might be the Nebraska establishment at this point, but is generally a ways to the right of where the NEGOP is, or where they wanted to be in 2014.
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