Yahoo/YouGov national poll: Trump 44% DeSantis 23% Pence 6% Haley 5% Carlson 2% Rubio 1% Youngkin 1% (user search)
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  Yahoo/YouGov national poll: Trump 44% DeSantis 23% Pence 6% Haley 5% Carlson 2% Rubio 1% Youngkin 1% (search mode)
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Author Topic: Yahoo/YouGov national poll: Trump 44% DeSantis 23% Pence 6% Haley 5% Carlson 2% Rubio 1% Youngkin 1%  (Read 1290 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: December 29, 2021, 01:31:49 PM »

Yahoo/YouGov poll of GOP primary voters, conducted Dec. 9 -13:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/5nf49qubtk/20211213_yahoo_vaccine_tabs.pdf

This is the GOP primary portion of this poll, which already has the D. numbers posted in this linked thread.

Trump 44%
DeSantis 23%
Pence 6%
Haley 5%
Carlson 2%
Rubio 1%
Youngkin 1%

Crosstabs:

men: Trump +17 over DeSantis
women: Trump +26 over DeSantis
age 18-29: Trump + the 72 over Pence
age 30-44: Trump + 25 over DeSantis
age 45-64: Trump + 13 over DeSantis
age 65+: Trump + 6 over DeSantis
white: Trump + 19 over DeSantis
Hispanic: Trump + 35 over DeSantis
under $50k income: Trump + 43 over DeSantis
$50-100k income: Trump + 14 over DeSantis
over $100k income: DeSantis +8 over Trump
fully vaccinated: Trump +10 over DeSantis
not fully vaccinated: Trump +35 over DeSantis

have children under 18: Trump +33 over DeSantis
don’t have children under 18: Trump + 17 over DeSantis

So yes, for the second time in a row on this poll, DeSantis leads Trump among voters making over $100k a year.  Among that group, it’s:

DeSantis 36%
Trump 28%
Haley 8%
Pence 5%
Rubio 4%
Youngkin 4%
Carlson 1%

Also note the enormous age gap for Trump vs. DeSantis:

age 18-29:
Trump 75%
DeSantis 2%
(Pence is in 2nd here, with 3%, while DeSantis at 2% is ties with Rubio and Youngkin for 3rd.)

age 65+:
Trump 36%
DeSantis 30%


I find that a little surprising considering that DeSantis has fought vaccine mandates much harder and more effectively than Trump would've. Trump doesn't even seem interested in fighting them, and would rather boast about how it was his creation. This seems to me like a class divide, as lower income/education people are the least likely to be vaccinated, and they've always preferred Trump to other Republicans.

Also, I'm calling BS on that young R crosstab. No way DeSantis only has 2%.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: December 31, 2021, 09:29:56 AM »

Yahoo/YouGov poll of GOP primary voters, conducted Dec. 9 -13:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/5nf49qubtk/20211213_yahoo_vaccine_tabs.pdf

This is the GOP primary portion of this poll, which already has the D. numbers posted in this linked thread.

Trump 44%
DeSantis 23%
Pence 6%
Haley 5%
Carlson 2%
Rubio 1%
Youngkin 1%

Crosstabs:

men: Trump +17 over DeSantis
women: Trump +26 over DeSantis
age 18-29: Trump + the 72 over Pence
age 30-44: Trump + 25 over DeSantis
age 45-64: Trump + 13 over DeSantis
age 65+: Trump + 6 over DeSantis
white: Trump + 19 over DeSantis
Hispanic: Trump + 35 over DeSantis
under $50k income: Trump + 43 over DeSantis
$50-100k income: Trump + 14 over DeSantis
over $100k income: DeSantis +8 over Trump
fully vaccinated: Trump +10 over DeSantis
not fully vaccinated: Trump +35 over DeSantis

have children under 18: Trump +33 over DeSantis
don’t have children under 18: Trump + 17 over DeSantis

So yes, for the second time in a row on this poll, DeSantis leads Trump among voters making over $100k a year.  Among that group, it’s:

DeSantis 36%
Trump 28%
Haley 8%
Pence 5%
Rubio 4%
Youngkin 4%
Carlson 1%

Also note the enormous age gap for Trump vs. DeSantis:

age 18-29:
Trump 75%
DeSantis 2%
(Pence is in 2nd here, with 3%, while DeSantis at 2% is ties with Rubio and Youngkin for 3rd.)

age 65+:
Trump 36%
DeSantis 30%


I find that a little surprising considering that DeSantis has fought vaccine mandates much harder and more effectively than Trump would've. Trump doesn't even seem interested in fighting them, and would rather boast about how it was his creation. This seems to me like a class divide, as lower income/education people are the least likely to be vaccinated, and they've always preferred Trump to other Republicans.

Also, I'm calling BS on that young R crosstab. No way DeSantis only has 2%.
I disagree. Young Rs love Trump way more than DeSantis cause he's a sh**tposting online troll. Older Rs lean more establishment and prefer politicians like DeSantis who have a record and policy plans and stuff.

If sh**tposting and online trolling is what young Republicans care about, I guess that's just part of why I'm not a Republican, but I know plenty of them who would actively prefer DeSantis over Trump. The idea that DeSantis is the "establishment" is quite far off from reality, both from his time as governor and his time in Congress, he was a freedom caucus guy. Establishment Republicans like McConnell hate those guys. I think he's just far more effective and articulate than Trump, and clearly, he's not afraid to "offend" people or go beyond the limits of what the establishment Republicans want to do in terms of policy.

Older Republicans moreso supported Trump in 2016, while younger voters were more Cruz/Rubio/Kasich. That's partially why I find it kind of bizarre.
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