Rate Virginia
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 13, 2024, 05:58:58 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Rate Virginia		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Poll
Question: Rate the 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial Election
#1
Safe McAuliffe
#2
Likely McAuliffe
#3
Lean McAuliffe
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt McAuliffe
#5
Toss-Up/Tilt Youngkin
#6
Lean Youngkin
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: Rate Virginia  (Read 3550 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,568
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: October 21, 2021, 04:40:49 PM »
« edited: October 21, 2021, 05:09:02 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »
Likely D, T-Mac +4

HoD
59 Dem
41 Rep
Logged
Spectator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,385
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: October 21, 2021, 04:42:01 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2021, 04:46:07 PM by Spectator »

Because Virginia is the Lucy and the football state for Republicans. Change my mind. Like Xing said, competitive ≠ close, and I do not believe the ultimate winner of this boring race is truly in doubt.
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,121
United States
P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: October 21, 2021, 04:42:12 PM »
Likely D; McAuliffe+9
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,334


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: October 21, 2021, 06:50:08 PM »
Lean D, McAuliffe+4.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,799
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: October 21, 2021, 06:51:39 PM »
Pure tossup.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,935
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: October 22, 2021, 09:23:16 AM »
Likely D; McAuliffe +8 (53-45 win)
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,982


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: October 22, 2021, 10:08:22 AM »
Lean R at this point. The early vote numbers are grim.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,799
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: October 22, 2021, 10:13:57 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 22, 2021, 10:08:22 AM
Lean R at this point. The early vote numbers are grim.

How are they grim? If anything they're much better for Democrats than polling has been.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,729
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #58 on: October 22, 2021, 10:22:59 AM »
Tilt D now

McAuliffe +2
Sears +2
Miyares +1

HoD 50/50 tie
Logged
THG
TheTarHeelGent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,181
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #59 on: October 22, 2021, 12:32:27 PM »
Lean D. Possibly Tilt D.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,057


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #60 on: October 23, 2021, 12:20:17 PM »
McAuliffe +3.5-4. This is looking like it will be terribly underwhelming, but I think VA's electoral geography is too much for Youngkin to overcome.
Logged
fluffypanther19
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,769
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #61 on: October 23, 2021, 11:24:49 PM »
Quote from: Sweet Chin Music on October 15, 2021, 08:43:51 AM
Likely D in confidence, Lean D in margin. The wall Ds have baked in NOVA is just too high.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,020


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #62 on: October 24, 2021, 04:28:08 PM »
Tossup.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #63 on: October 30, 2021, 12:36:45 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2021, 12:46:51 PM by ElectionsGuy »
I'm going to up this for the final few days here. Change your vote if you feel differently now vs weeks ago.*

I might change to Tilt McAuliffe depending on how these final polls come in.

Here's my county prediction (which is generally a narrow McAuliffe win):



I legitimately can't predict Montgomery right now. I see it as a total toss-up.

*Nevermind, apparently I forgot to add that option.
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #64 on: October 30, 2021, 12:40:14 PM »
Tilt Youngkin, though if the polling error is similar to most statewide races, it will be lean Youngkin
Logged
PSOL
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #65 on: October 30, 2021, 12:44:48 PM »
Lean Mcaullife, Virginia isn’t Massachusetts
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #66 on: October 30, 2021, 12:44:50 PM »
Quote from: McAuliffe More Vulnerable than Tester on October 15, 2021, 11:32:48 AM
My prediction is the same as yours.

Lean/Likely D, McAuliffe +4.5, with the county map identical to VA-PRES 2016. Democrats also win AG/LG, obviously.

Changing this to Lean D, McAuliffe +3, county map remains the same. Not my final prediction, but unless Youngkin can get another poll or two showing him at or above 50%, I’m not convinced that he’s actually ahead.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.04 seconds with 13 queries.