Lean to Likely R.
Anoka County is a pretty weird in terms of its demographics. Unlike newly "suburbanized" counties like Scott and Carver, most of the southern to central portions of this county were already developed by the 1980s and 1990s.
This place historically has had a significant manufacturing presence in sectors such as medical device production (which Minnesota is well known for), machine tools, and plastics, with bedroom communities full of blue-collar workers similar to other exurban counties like Wright and Sherburne. This is especially true in central and northern portions of Anoka County.
The southern tip of Anoka County "dips" into the Twins Cities core with dense suburban precincts in Columbia Heights and southern Fridley. More secular, white-collar commuters and a higher minority population, which is fairly typical for most precincts in the TC core, characterize this section of the County.
On net the white non-college segment still prevails: Anoka county is about 59% white non-college (the highest share of all seven metro counties). Historically, the DFL's blue collar and union strength allowed them to win Anoka County throughout much of the latter half of the 20th century. In the Trump era, two competing trends largely cancelled each other out: 1). the exodus of white non-college workers from D to R, as exemplified by the rightward shift from 2012 to 2016; 2). D favoring population growth in the southern portions of the county + exodus of white college voters from R to D, as exemplified by the leftward shift from 2016 to 2020.
I stand by my previous rating. Would note that both cities in the southern "tip": Columbia Heights (+11%) and Fridley (+9%) grew by percentages similar to the Twin Cities at-large (+10%).
The story for most of the suburbs around MSP is essentially that they're all growing by moderately strong numbers relative to the rest of the Midwest, but the total raw white population across these suburbs has actually decreased from 10 years ago and essentially all of the growth is from a substantially larger minority population. This likely also means that a large portion of the suburban swing in the MSP region toward the Dems over the past decade is irreversible (though not fatally so for the GOP statewide). I believe this is the assessment of the state parties here right now as well
