This is a disastrous result. Once polling error is accounted for (most ME-PRES polls in 2020 were D+10 or higher), the GOP will be on track gain/hold unchallenged state government trifectas in AZ, GA, NC, NM, NH, NV, MN, MI, PA, WI. The future of democracy is likely doomed
The most reasonable choice (at this point) does indeed seem to be the D 10-15% range
Please tell us more, expert in polling errors.
I was indeed (thankfully) off on the NM-1 margin. But it is still just one sample, and hopefully future special elections and the VA/NJ gubernatorials will back up a similar picture. In this contest, if Mills is polling closer to the +10-15% range, there would be much less cause for concern.
