NE-SEN 2024: Fischer running for a third term

[Tekken_Guy]

This one could get interesting. The Democrats are not yet fielding a candidate, and local labor leader Dan Osborne is running as an independent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/18/us/politics/nebraska-union-senate-race.html

He’s more likely to be another Al Gross than another McMullin.

Both Gross and McMullin lost though.

[Roll Roons]

This one could get interesting. The Democrats are not yet fielding a candidate, and local labor leader Dan Osborne is running as an independent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/18/us/politics/nebraska-union-senate-race.html

He’s more likely to be another Al Gross than another McMullin.

Both Gross and McMullin lost though.

Yes, but McMullin significantly overperformed while Gross did worse than Biden.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.

It’s more than likely that the DCCC and the Biden campaign throws a good chunk of change into NE-02, so it wouldn’t hurt to help Osborne statewide as well. Worst case scenario, they just drive up the turnout in the 2nd without really changing the outcome of the Senate race.

[Flyersfan232]

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.

can we stop acting like opposite party running independents in other parties safe states actually works?

[Flyersfan232]

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.

It’s more than likely that the DCCC and the Biden campaign throws a good chunk of change into NE-02, so it wouldn’t hurt to help Osborne statewide as well. Worst case scenario, they just drive up the turnout in the 2nd without really changing the outcome of the Senate race.

Osborne said he not voting for biden

[Flyersfan232]

This one could get interesting. The Democrats are not yet fielding a candidate, and local labor leader Dan Osborne is running as an independent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/18/us/politics/nebraska-union-senate-race.html

He’s more likely to be another Al Gross than another McMullin.

Both Gross and McMullin lost though.

Yes, but McMullin significantly overperformed while Gross did worse than Biden.

Mcmullin was right of centre though

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Remember when Dems tried this strategy against Pat Roberts in 2014 and they lost by double digits and couldn't even carry Johnson County?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Remember when Dems tried this strategy against Pat Roberts in 2014 and they lost by double digits and couldn't even carry Johnson County?

You mean when the Dems tried this and cut the GOP margin from 25% to 11% despite going from a D-wave year to a R-wave year? Yeah.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Remember when Dems tried this strategy against Pat Roberts in 2014 and they lost by double digits and couldn't even carry Johnson County?

You mean when the Dems tried this and cut the GOP margin from 25% to 11% despite going from a D-wave year to a R-wave year? Yeah.

I don't know if the red wave hit Kansas though. Brownback came close to losing.

[Compuzled_One]

I do wonder, might the Democratic vote be split between Osborn and the Legalize Marijuana Now nominee (yes, they'll field one)?

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/janekleeb/status/1790781237272904135?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tb...

https://twitter.com/osbornforsenate/status/1790834759909757082?s=46&t=-r8JGl...

[ProgressiveModerate]

Lol imagine if this is some 4D chess move where Democrats are purposely beefing with Osborne so he tries to get more crossover Trump-Osborne voters. Unlikely but would be an interesting strategy to be tried.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't matter as long as we hold MT the Scis tied

[cg41386]

I still know next to nothing about Deb Fischer

[Compuzled_One]

I think Osborn lost any chance to win unless the Dems can't get write in access.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I still know next to nothing about Deb Fischer

she's from Cherry county, which has 6k people despite being larger than Connecticut

[Dave Hedgehog]

It doesn't matter as long as we hold MT the Scis tied

Time to drop him from your signature then? 

[Pollster]

Lol imagine if this is some 4D chess move where Democrats are purposely beefing with Osborne so he tries to get more crossover Trump-Osborne voters. Unlikely but would be an interesting strategy to be tried.

Jane Kleeb is the exact type of person who would do this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Osborn doesn't want to be nailed down on the Filibuster if he is the tie breaker but Tester is the tie breaker vote, not Osborn, but if somehow Tester loses I think the Filibuster proof Trifecta is a no go