Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean D for now, Beshear has done wonders during Covid, LA probably goes R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear is favored, D's should have the Majority of Govs after this Election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear will win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was right Beshear is gonna easily win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Incumbency in red states even if you're a D means a lot look at Laura Kelly and Sherrod Brown and Joe Manchin and Jon Tester they have won reelection and Manchin has a 60 percent Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New York Express thinks that CO is going R, so I won't listen to him i

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Might have a good approval rating, probably still going to lose re-election

Sure do you realize D incumbency in red states Trump the R trends look at Sherrod Brown he has bucked the R trend of OH and Laura Kelly has a good Approvals in KS last poll in Clarity had her up 5 pts and Cheri Beasley can win because the internal poll only had her down 2 pts and she is gonna get a bump from the Breyer retirement, she is a judge, it's Jan 22 not October

DeSantis can lose too he is only up the same amount as Whitmer 45)41, you guys love to think we can't crack the red wall and Obama ran with Biden and did it in 2008/12, if Rs think they can crack the Blue Wall, we can crack the red wall too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I've said it before and I'll say it again: The only way Beshear wins is if he faces Bevin again, and even then it's 50-50 at best for him.

Incumbent D's don't lose like challengers look at Sherrod Brown and Laura Kelly isn't DOA since there isn't any KS polls we didn't get any either in 2020 they kept polling NC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear has a 60% Approvals and so does Manchin they're not losing Rs don't have a monopoly on Red states

Just like Laura Kelly in KS isn't DOA there isn't any as ny poll in KS that has her behind

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course you believe Rs have a monopoly on Red states but Rs don't believe D's have a monopoly on blue states lol our turnout except for 2010/14 have exceeded 125M votes and it was 82K same day voting in those yrs, everyone talks about VA with VBM but we won Cali recall VBM and NJ the blue States

We haven't seen a poll from KS but Laura Kelly has a 50% Approvals just like Manchin and Beshear

Just like Rs believe AZ is Lean R and every poll came out Mark Kelly up 50/46 like he won in 2020

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Partisan trends don't apply to Gov and S as they do to Prez especially in off yr elections we won OH in 2018 and WVA and AZ, that's why NC and OH will be closer than expected this yr because it's a Midterm not a Prez that's why H flips especially for D's in a Midterm not Prez races

Beshear is Fav

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear has a 60% Approvals he will win reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before Rs don't have a Monopoly on red states Beshear can still win we haven't seen one poll don't forget everyone says Vance was gonna easily beat Ryan and Ryan is tied in Appalachia

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need to see a poll first but they keep polling Latino states FL, TX, NV, CO and then they give us GA

They won't poll WI that's the only state they haven't POLLED

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At the rate Kentucky is turning more heavily Republican, at some point whoever wins the GOP primary will win the election:

Trump endorses Cameron's bid for governor in Kentucky

It's not like the state was any less Republican in 2019. Beshear could well lose, but it would probably be the national environment that does him in rather than the trend of the state.

There are more people who are registering (or re-registering) as Republicans than Democrats (they are roughly at parity now), and we are about to see an even bigger Republican supermajority in the legislature by this time next year as a result of redistricting.    

So, Beshear won over Rs and has a 55% approval rating we won't know until there is a poll a GE poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There are more people who are registering (or re-registering) as Republicans than Democrats (they are roughly at parity now), and we are about to see an even bigger Republican supermajority in the legislature by this time next year as a result of redistricting.

I bet the Democrats are sorry now they didn't come out against the COVID "new normal" when they had the chance.

They deserve to lose every election from tonight until the end of time.

Lol D's aren't gonna be wiped out in 22724 and even if we lose KY we still have the 303 blue wall

D's were bound to be headed for a tough midterm since Biden didn't get rid of Covid like he said he was gonna do and the War in Ukraine with gas prices, it has nothing to do with Turnout in 2020

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Governor Any Beshear (D) will be re-elected. He's a popular guy there.

Louisiana will swing Republican, because the D-Governor is retiring.

Mississippi will remain Republican.

Shawn Wilson is complete in a poll I posted he is ahead by 1 23/22

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

How about we just wait for a poll the Docugate has an impact the RS may launch an Impeachment inquiry not an Impeachment near Oct 23 right before the Nov Edays

When I donate I will donate to Elvis Cuz Brad Presley not Beshear because Andy Beshear has some type of scandal

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All these are Lean R until Sept when we see a poll after Docugate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All these are Lean R until Sept when we see a poll after Docugate

No one is going to casting a ballot for governor based on Docugate.

We haven't seen any polls from 24 Senate numbers OH, WV or MT and we are losing big in LA and MS Gov, so it hasn't been written yet and Andy Beshear has a 62 percent Approvals and Brown, Tester, Manchin and Casey have 45 percent, but RS still have deficits among Blk and  Latino and non Evangelical females that's why they keep losing


Last time I checked Casey wasn't leading by 15 that he typical wins by he was down by 5 to Mastriano

I don't care I am not an R Hillary, Biden and Bill Clinton are still liars I won't donate directly to Biden, Hillary said she didn't email classified documents

But RS give Giant tax cuts to rich

Only 2016 whom is nowhere to be found when good polls benefits D's he said Cameron was gonna be GOV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D, there is 5/6 Afro Americans in states like KY and MS that can change a race I doubt it will be this large because Beshear is at 52 percent but a 54/48 race is probable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a long way til Eday but it's Tilt D, Appalachian polls overstated TMac, Ryan numbers at this pt on Eday but Beshear is at 50

I think it's gonna be more like 52/49

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm late to the party in commenting on the Mon-Dixon poll, but I sure hope that holds up. At the very least it suggests that Beshear has room to fall over the campaign because there's no way he is going to win by that much. And that's not just for the sake of Beshear being re-elected over a whack-job but also because I hope Kentucky can retain its predictive streak of electing a Governor of the same party that wins the next presidential election. A lot of bellwethers and predictive indicators have lost that status over the past few election cycles (like Valencia and Vigo Counties) but I want this one to maintain that status.

It's a MXDX poll that's why Rs aren't saying much, this same poll had Paul and Desantis up 60)40

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

there's no way he is going to win by that much

Imagine if he does though, imagine! Kentucky bellwether, manifest it!

It would definitely be impressive. We can only hope.

Just wait for Oct we should know if there is an Impeachment inquiry Docugate isn't over Hillary wasn't exhonerated she was admonished by FBI and Lost Biden hasn't been fully Investigation yet

An Impeachment inquiry by Oct will hinder Beshear chances I am not rooting for RS but we all know what happened to Strickland and Ryan and TMac in Appalachian when they had early leads they Lost

We gotta hear from Trafalgar if there is uniform between Trafalgar and rest of polls they are right but if Trafalgar is way off like PA S then they are Wrong but they are off in blue not red states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

there's no way he is going to win by that much

Imagine if he does though, imagine! Kentucky bellwether, manifest it!

It would definitely be impressive. We can only hope.

Just wait for Oct we should know if there is an Impeachment inquiry Docugate isn't over Hillary wasn't exhonerated she was admonished by FBI and Lost Biden hasn't been fully Investigation yet

An Impeachment inquiry by Oct will hinder Beshear chances I am not rooting for RS but we all know what happened to Strickland and Ryan and TMac in Appalachian when they had early leads they Lost

We gotta hear from Trafalgar if there is uniform between Trafalgar and rest of polls they are right but if Trafalgar is way off like PA S then they are Wrong but they are off in blue not red states

Very few are going to be casting a ballot for governor based on Docugate. An impeachment over this would only hurt Republicans.

Trafalgar is a pollster that makes up their their numbers and only happens to be right on occasion.

Beshear is favored and so is Stein they aren't swing states GA, AZ and VA, WI and MI and PA are so it won't matter if Beshear wins but Center Street Pack Fetterman and Kelly 55/33 and Ryan 48/39 they aren't right in blue states as they said Dixon was gonna win but they were right in OH and NC that had Ryan and Beasley lose where Center Street Pack last poll had Ryan again with RV and behind on LV How about Impact polled FL and had Crist and Deming's down 50/48 and they lost 60/40 all the phony polls are in the database

They also said Docugate wasn't gonna hurt Hillary or Lewinsky wasn't gonna hurt Gore they both lost


It's Feb 3 weeks after Docugate and no FBI report anyone can lose, Ryan said a day before Eday he was gonna win on Morning Joe since Brown wins OH he is gonna win he LOST

WHY is Biden Approvals back to 44/55 and before Docugate he was at 50/47 if it won't matter

KY isn't a swing state anyways but Beshear isn't gonna win by 9 just because it's a MXDX poll, Ryan was up by the same 9 pt margin over Vance in Aug 22 but 48/39 he LOST

Before Docugate Casey was down 5 to Mastriano but we haven't seen another poll, but it's hard to believe because Casey wins all his races like Shapiro that's a prime example even before Docugate that PA is clearly gonna be closer with Docugate now

We all were told Hillary was fine because the FBI cleared her but Comey said it was no exhonerated it was an admonishment same with Biden he can't be indicted but admonished by FBI we have to wait for the FBI

I know you aren't Prez Johnson whom has a Biden signature and blanket says like he says Hochul won't lose  NY and says Biden won lose it's a 303 map it's not a 303 map if we lose AZ, GA, and VA and Kaine can be in for a tough race it's 274 R EC college

Also, NY isnt going 20 pts D anymore it's still tilts D but it only went 5 pts, the Docugate can hurt D's seats in NY like im 22

I am a D not a Biden supporter I voted for Bernie and did vote for Biden as a D not a die hard supporter

The media doesn't take friends in investigation if even a D has a scandal he should lose his right to hold office Faithful to Laws it doesn't say because Prez has pardon Power he exempt from Laws it says execte Bill and Hillary, Nixon, Reagan, Trump and Biden and Dixiecrats from Jefferson till Woodrow Wilson broke that oath because in the Declaration of Independence it says app men are created equal even Prez that faithful to execute the laws which forbids Jim Crow