OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 09, 2024, 07:01:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 35 36 37 38 39 [40] 41 42 43 44 45 ... 75
Author Topic: OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance  (Read 95450 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,955


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #975 on: April 11, 2022, 11:58:54 PM »

This is so dumb

Where's the lie?

We knew who the winners were in 2008 and 2012 a few hours before polls closed . It’s just that every other election since 2000 has had the tipping point state be decided by 2.5 points or less and half of them by under a point .
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,338
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #976 on: April 12, 2022, 12:01:43 AM »

This is so dumb

Where's the lie?

We knew who the winners were in 2008 and 2012 a few hours before polls closed . It’s just that every other election since 2000 has had the tipping point state be decided by 2.5 points or less and half of them by under a point .
Tbf we knew who the winner was in 2008 ever since the recession hit.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,083
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #977 on: April 12, 2022, 08:33:30 AM »

This is so dumb

Where's the lie?

We knew who the winners were in 2008 and 2012 a few hours before polls closed . It’s just that every other election since 2000 has had the tipping point state be decided by 2.5 points or less and half of them by under a point .

Lol it's VBM not same day voting it's not gonna be quick just like Rs think it's an R wave do Rs know that in Reuters Biden is 45/50 not 40/50 it's a 303 map still

Unless Biden hits 51% it's a 303 map not a 413 map and Rs are gonna win OH just like Daines won by 8, Barnes, Fetterman, Warnock, Kelly and CCM the races are gonna be within 200L votes like in 2016 VBM can take fays

We can win them based on 300L Provisional
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,338
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #978 on: April 13, 2022, 09:40:32 PM »

https://www.cengnews.com/news/donald-trump-is-planning-a-rally-in-ohio-as-gop-candidates-vie-for-his-support-408612.html

Uh, I think the author of this article had a stroke LOL.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,212
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #979 on: April 14, 2022, 12:36:57 PM »

Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #980 on: April 14, 2022, 12:44:38 PM »



This isn't surprising. Out of all the candidates running, Vance is the one closest to Trump's views. Moreover, he has a good friendship with Donald Trump Jr. (who has been urging his father to endorse him) and Trump has a negative opinion of Gibbons and Mandel. Timken has fallen behind and is clearly no longer competitive. Dolan is a non-factor.
Logged
Unelectable Bystander
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,099
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #981 on: April 14, 2022, 12:58:01 PM »



Pretty good news I think. Vance seems like a decent candidate and fits Ohio well. Mandel is unnecessarily standoff-ish and Gibbons made a stupid gaffe
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,083
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #982 on: April 14, 2022, 01:02:33 PM »

Vance is not a swell candidate, he said he is willing to expunge Trump impeachment off the record and nix the Filibuster if the Rs net the Trifecta what do Rs do they pass tax cuts for the rich they tried to cut Obamacare

Anyone can look decent, they refuse to poll Ryan v Vance and the only poll we had in this race are primary polls
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,400
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #983 on: April 14, 2022, 01:05:23 PM »



Gross
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,083
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #984 on: April 14, 2022, 01:07:18 PM »

Vance is an Eric Trump look alike with the beard if you like Vance you like Eric Trump
Logged
Sub Jero
Rookie
**
Posts: 126
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #985 on: April 14, 2022, 01:10:21 PM »

JD France?
Logged
JMT
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,129


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #986 on: April 14, 2022, 01:51:41 PM »

Well, maybe the Vance endorsement won’t happen after all??

Logged
kwabbit
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,834


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #987 on: April 14, 2022, 02:25:35 PM »

This is so dumb

Where's the lie?

We knew who the winners were in 2008 and 2012 a few hours before polls closed . It’s just that every other election since 2000 has had the tipping point state be decided by 2.5 points or less and half of them by under a point .

2012 had a little intrigue. 2016 and 2020 were instant classics in terms of entertainment and suspense.
Logged
Grassroots
Grassr00ts
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 2.09

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #988 on: April 14, 2022, 05:47:31 PM »

Well, maybe the Vance endorsement won’t happen after all??



This is a desperate ploy and won't work.
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,510
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #989 on: April 14, 2022, 06:18:55 PM »

JD France?


This is one of the stupidest tweets I've ever seen, and it's a high bar.
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,510
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #990 on: April 14, 2022, 06:20:18 PM »

Seems obvious that the runner-up here is going to take Brown's seat in 2024, no?
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,338
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #991 on: April 14, 2022, 06:32:29 PM »

Not surprised.
Glad he's endorsing the strongest and most populist candidate. Vance will be a much better opponent to go up against Ryan than someone like Gibbons, who Ryan can more easily attack.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,400
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #992 on: April 14, 2022, 06:37:00 PM »

Seems obvious that the runner-up here is going to take Brown's seat in 2024, no?

No
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,083
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #993 on: April 14, 2022, 07:04:41 PM »
« Edited: April 14, 2022, 07:08:34 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

It is a 303/235 map and OH is more partisan than MT and WVA if it's a 51/49 or 52/48 Senate we have 1 seat to spare and it's more likely that Brown loses because Tester has beaten Rosenberg already and Manchin is up on Morrissey so as of Today I would say yes that is correct Brown is the most vulnerable but Manchin hasbt said whether he will retire

If Manchin sticks around yes Brown is more vulnerable but if Manchin doesn't we need Brown seat to keep S if 22 is a blue wall election as of today it is but that's not to say that it can't be a 413 election in 2022 if gas prices go down it's based on hypothetical

Gas prices are going down from 7.99 to 5.00 in California
Logged
Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
johnzaharoff
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 966


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #994 on: April 14, 2022, 07:58:07 PM »

Seems obvious that the runner-up here is going to take Brown's seat in 2024, no?

No

Absolutely not. The GOP would be better served nominating at least 10 other people before considering any of these also rans in 2024. If you can't get out of this clown show I don't want you facing Brown.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,083
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #995 on: April 14, 2022, 08:33:14 PM »

We need polls from OH MI, WI and PA there aren't any an, an R red wave is purely speculation until we get those polls and if they're within the margin of error it's still not an R wave unless we lose them on EDay just like Laxalt isn't safe, it's 3 pts

Just like some Rs thought OR Gov was winnable and we got a Betsy Johnson and D lead in the polls the Generic R is far behind both we are gonna get Tina Kotek or Betsy Johnson
Logged
Rjjr77
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,996
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #996 on: April 14, 2022, 09:01:05 PM »

maybe not so fast.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ohio-gop-central-committee-state-county-chairs-trump-endorse-vance
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,338
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #997 on: April 14, 2022, 09:11:46 PM »

I don't think a letter from the Ohio establishment will change his mind. The only thing that could possibly affect his thinking is that laughably fake poll Mandel pushed out today that Trump could take seriously.
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #998 on: April 14, 2022, 09:24:37 PM »

I don't think a letter from the Ohio establishment will change his mind. The only thing that could possibly affect his thinking is that laughably fake poll Mandel pushed out today that Trump could take seriously.
He needs to endorse soon though; early voting has already begun for nearly a week now.
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,338
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #999 on: April 14, 2022, 09:27:35 PM »

I don't think a letter from the Ohio establishment will change his mind. The only thing that could possibly affect his thinking is that laughably fake poll Mandel pushed out today that Trump could take seriously.
He needs to endorse soon though; early voting has already begun for nearly a week now.
I agree. If he doesn't endorse by the time of the rally, he's not endorsing anyone at all.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 35 36 37 38 39 [40] 41 42 43 44 45 ... 75  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.136 seconds with 13 queries.