Rate Nevada for 2022

[VAR]

?

[KaiserDave]

Tilt/Lean D

Not very worried about this one

If the exiled Jeff Davis fanboy wants to return and fight this one he is more than welcome to do so

[MT Treasurer]

Pure Tossup, don’t really feel comfortable picking a winner at this point (Republican prospects likely improve significantly if Ossoff/Warnock both win in GA, though).

[KaiserDave]

Pure Tossup, don’t really feel comfortable picking a winner at this point (Republican prospects likely improve significantly if Ossoff/Warnock both win in GA, though).

If Ossoff/Warnock win Tammy Duckworth seat is Lean D against Bob Dold imo


Sorry Roll for mocking your King : (

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

lean d

[MT Treasurer]

Anyhow, if Ossoff/Warnock win Tammy Duckworth seat is Lean D against Bob Dold imo

No, it’s not, but it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that your usual Manchin-esque faux manouevring won’t work for vulnerable Democrats when the passage of any major legislation (including every controversial/blatantly partisan proposal put forward by Schumer, e.g. expanding the Court) depends on the YEA of every single Democratic Senator. Maybe I’m underestimating the ‘effectiveness’ or ‘salience’ of the ‘deciding vote’ line of attack and voters will be more focused on grading the debate performance of Andy Biggs and evaluating the bipartisan credentials of Chris Sununu or whatever, but I really wouldn’t want to trade places with Hassan/Kelly/CCM if I was the Republican running against one of them in your scenario.

[President Johnson]

Lean Democratic.

I think CCM is a strong candidate and Republicans don't have much of a bench. But take absolutely nothing for granted. The state just slightly leans blue.

[MargieCat]

The Nevada GOP has to run someone better than Big Dan Rodimer.

[MT Treasurer]

The Nevada GOP has to run someone better than Big Dan Rodimer.

1) Rodimer almost certainly won’t be the nominee, it’s probably more likely that some private-sector candidate with no electoral background gets the nomination than him.
2) Didn’t Rodimer only underperform Trump by 2 against a Democratic incumbent? Hardly sounds like a completely ‘unelectable’ (whatever that term even means) Republican statewide.

[MargieCat]

The Nevada GOP has to run someone better than Big Dan Rodimer.

1) Rodimer almost certainly won’t be the nominee, it’s probably more likely that some private-sector candidate with no electoral background gets the nomination than him.
2) Didn’t Rodimer only underperform Trump by 2 against a Democratic incumbent? Hardly sounds like a completely ‘unelectable’ (whatever that term even means) Republican statewide.

In a year where downballot republicans generally overperformed Trump. This could have been an easy pickup for the republicans. Also, there were claims of domestic violence as his wife had called the cops on him. Sure, she said it was a verbal dispute. But it's still not a good look.

And a senate race will be much more nationalized.

[VAR]

^Why do you think there's a chance that Rodimer will be the nominee, though? He never expressed interest in running for Senate.

[MargieCat]

^Why do you think there's a chance that Rodimer will be the nominee, though? He never expressed interest in running for Senate.

I don't think he would make it through the primary.

[SnowLabrador]

Tossup/Tilt R. The state is moving to the right, and Cortez Masto only won by 2.4% last time. It'll be close.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tossup/Tilt R. The state is moving to the right, and Cortez Masto only won by 2.4% last time. It'll be close.

You are really pessimistic

[Mr.Phips]

Probably had the best chance of survival for Dems out of NV, NH, and AZ.  The Reid machine will be out in full force for her and Sisolak.

[NewYorkExpress]

Lean R with Brian Sandoval as the nominee.

Tossup with Amodei or Krolicki as the Republican nominee.

Lean D with any other Republican nominee.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R with Brian Sandoval as the nominee.

Tossup with Amodei or Krolicki as the Republican nominee.

Lean D with any other Republican nominee.

Not if Schumer becomes the Majority Leader in Jan, things will change for the better for D's in 2022 and get the funding they need to win

[ProgressiveModerate]

Gotta say tilt R. CCM isn't a particularly strong incumbent, though is the incumbent nonetheless. We've also seen as lot of close calls in NV in recent elections. With that being said, she is definately not DOA, and it's really easy to see the GOP screwing up on this race. This state has also tended to disappoint the GOP, but that streak isn't bound to continue.

[Xing]

Lean D. Democrats can’t take this race for granted, of course, but people are being a bit too quick to assume that Nevada is very winnable for Republicans. I’ve talked about the mathematical difficulty for them there, and while the environment could be good enough for them to overcome their usual math problems, Masto has potential to do better than Biden in Clark, and Republicans probably need to keep her to a 7-point win at best, and do even better if they lose Washoe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gotta say tilt R. CCM isn't a particularly strong incumbent, though is the incumbent nonetheless. We've also seen as lot of close calls in NV in recent elections. With that being said, she is definately not DOA, and it's really easy to see the GOP screwing up on this race. This state has also tended to disappoint the GOP, but that streak isn't bound to continue.

🛑 playing, CCM isn't losing, most of the state legislature in NV is mostly female, even the House Delegates have females, CCM is safe

[SevenEleven]

Likely D. This is Nevada, right?

[Xing]

Gotta say tilt R. CCM isn't a particularly strong incumbent, though is the incumbent nonetheless. We've also seen as lot of close calls in NV in recent elections. With that being said, she is definately not DOA, and it's really easy to see the GOP screwing up on this race. This state has also tended to disappoint the GOP, but that streak isn't bound to continue.

🛑 playing, CCM isn't losing, most of the state legislature in NV is mostly female, even the House Delegates have females, CCM is safe

Our King has spoken, Queen CCM is beyond safe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once Leader Schumer title changes to Majority he will have more funds available and win PA, WI and NC, of course if he is still Minority Leader, Rs will have more funds available

But, CCM won't lose, it's a Female Delegate rich state and of course Rs desperately want us to lose, Statehood is on the line😀😀😀

[Frenchrepublican]

Tossup

It's true that Nevada is pretty inelastic and that the republican bench is fairly small, but at the same time Biden won NV by only 2 and it was one of the few state where he did worse than Clinton, so it's fair to expect a very competitive race.

*Memo to the author of this thread : If you want to do polls about 2022 Senate elections, you should offer the ''tossup'' option considering how early it is