California by city

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Other than you guys just thinking that a Trump voter is so inherently defective so as to warrant some explanation for his or her behavior, what exactly is the connection between being a Scientologist and being more likely to vote Republican...?

I have no idea--except the very real correlation between, um, weird views re: the world and Trump support. That said, this specific precinct absolutely has a disproportionate Scientologist population and votes strangely to the right of literally everywhere else in Hollywood so the connection is obviously there. You can come up with whatever rationale you like to expain it.

[Sailor Haumea]

In LA do you know what the reason for that random Trump +10 precinct in East Hollywood (it was Clinton+21 in 2016 so it's clearly not always an anomalous solidly GOP area)? I did notice that there's a Church of Scientology in the precinct, could that be the reason?

It's either Scientologists or Armenians, probably both.

Why did Armenians swing to Trump anyway?

Yes, I want to know the answer to this also as they voted quite strongly for Clinton, so what made Armenians swing this time?

I do know that when Trump visited in the fall Armenian flags were everywhere along his motorcade route.

In my experience, Armenian culture tends to be extremely Islamophobic, even if they skew liberal on other issues.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Here's Colusa County.

COLUSA COUNTY (Write-ins included for 2016, no write-ins cast in 2020)
Colusa
2016: Trump 57.02% — Clinton 35.32% = R+ 21.70
2020: Trump 58.13% — Biden 39.62% = R+ 18.51
SWING: D+ 03.19

Williams
2016: Clinton 64.04% — Trump 28.18% = D+ 35.86
2020: Biden 62.06% — Trump 35.31% = D+ 26.75
SWING: R+ 09.11

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

In LA do you know what the reason for that random Trump +10 precinct in East Hollywood (it was Clinton+21 in 2016 so it's clearly not always an anomalous solidly GOP area)? I did notice that there's a Church of Scientology in the precinct, could that be the reason?

It's either Scientologists or Armenians, probably both.

Why did Armenians swing to Trump anyway?

Yes, I want to know the answer to this also as they voted quite strongly for Clinton, so what made Armenians swing this time?

I do know that when Trump visited in the fall Armenian flags were everywhere along his motorcade route.

In my experience, Armenian culture tends to be extremely Islamophobic, even if they skew liberal on other issues.

Wouldn’t this have been more important in 2016 though? I would’ve expected Turkish Americans to swing towards Trump for similar reasons as non-Chinese Asians and Orthodox Jews (foreign policy), but I don’t see how this would influence Armenians, who are (to my knowledge) mostly several generations removed from the motherland.

[HAnnA MArin County]

MERCED COUNTY (Write-ins included for both 2016 and 2020)
Atwater
2016: Clinton 47.61% — Trump 45.26% = D+ 02.35
2020: Biden 50.65% — Trump 46.44% = D+ 04.21
SWING: D+ 01.86

Dos Palos
2016: Clinton 49.63% — Trump 43.97% = D+ 05.66
2020: Biden 50.68% — Trump 47.23% = D+ 03.45
SWING: R+ 02.21

Gustine
2016: Clinton 47.30% — Trump 45.62% = D+ 01.68
2020: Biden 48.70% — Trump 48.65% = D+ 00.05*
SWING: R+ 01.63

Livingston
2016: Clinton 78.89% — Trump 14.75% = D+ 64.14
2020: Biden 70.94% — Trump 25.81% = D+ 45.13
SWING: R+ 19.01 (!!!!)

Los Banos
2016: Clinton 58.79% — Trump 34.38% = D+ 24.41
2020: Biden 61.17% — Trump 36.12% = D+ 25.05
SWING: D+ 00.64

Merced
2016: Clinton 56.98% — Trump 34.69% = D+ 22.29
2020: Biden 60.08% — Trump 36.65% = D+ 23.43
SWING: D+ 01.14

*Biden won Gustine by just one vote (993-992).

[mileslunn]

Here is Sonoma County

Cloverdale: Biden 68.33% - Trump 29.3%

Cotati: Biden 77.98% - Trump 19.69%

Healdsburg: Biden 76.02% - Biden 21.46%

Petaluma: Biden 74.74% - Trump 22.87%

Rohnert Park: Biden 70.86% - Trump 26.38%

Santa Rosa:  Biden 75.71% - Trump 21.74%

Sebastopol: Biden 79.52% - Trump 17.9%

Sonoma: Biden 76.51% - Trump 21.35%

Windsor: Biden 68.36% - Trump 29.15%

All strongly for Biden so no surprise.  While agriculture usually tends to favour GOP, it seems major wine producing areas went heavily Democrat so perhaps could it be more the type who are wine drinkers and tourism they get is more your upper middle class social liberals?  Also it is fairly urban and Northern bay area has a lot of college educated white liberals.

[mileslunn]

San Mateo County

Atherton: Biden 71.79% - Trump 25.8%

Belmont: Biden 78.79% - Trump 19.08%

Brisbane: Biden 79.74% - Trump 18%

Burlingame: Biden 77.62% - Trump 20.55%

Colma: Biden 79.42% - Trump 19.05%

Daly City: Biden 77.2% - Trump 21.36%

East Palo Alto: Biden 86.59% - Trump 11.34%

Foster City: Biden 76.27% - Trump 21.92%

Half Moon Bay: Biden 75.81% - Trump 21.89%

Hillsborough: Biden 68.31% - Trump 29.34%

Menlo Park: Biden 84.53% - Trump 13.52%

Millbrae: Biden 70.57% - Trump 27.31%

Pacifica: Biden 76.46% - Trump 21.38%

Portola Valley: Biden 80.34% - Trump 17.16%

Redwood City: Biden 80.48% - Trump 17.41%

San Bruno: Biden 74.58% - Trump 23.55%

San Carlos: Biden 79.64% - Trump 18.45%

San Mateo: Biden 77.92% - Trump 20.18%

South San Francisco: Biden 77.05% - Trump 21.4%

Woodside: Biden 73% - Trump 24.67%

Like Sonoma, pretty solidly Biden throughout.  In 2016, Trump only won one precinct and while this has a large Asian population which in some but not all cases Trump did better amongst, I believe this county has a very high rate with college degrees.  Interestingly enough San Francisco and Boston suburbs were first to turn away from GOP as in 2004 those were only two where George W. Bush was not competitive in.  Yes several others went for Kerry, but at least Bush put up a strong second place showing in those.  By contrast a number of suburbs, not all, but many Trump got similar numbers to Bush in Boston and San Francisco which should worry GOP if that is long term trend.

It seems in Bay Area, only rural areas in very eastern edge does GOP win and of municipalities, only in inland eastern parts is GOP able to crack the 30% mark.

[Хahar 🤔]

Atherton: Biden 71.79% - Trump 25.8%
Hillsborough: Biden 68.31% - Trump 29.34%

Past results in Atherton and Hillsborough:

Atherton, CA
2004: Bush 50.5%
2008: Obama 57.6%
2012: Romney 51.5%
2016: Clinton 66.6%

Hillsborough, CA
2004: Bush 52.0%
2008: Obama 56.3%
2012: Romney 53.2%
2016: Clinton 63.0%

Atherton, the richest community in the richest metropolitan area in the world, is now almost indistinguishable from any surrounding areas in the strength of its vote for the left. This seems obvious now but even a decade ago it wasn't at all the case.

More generally, noticing the results for Millbrae and Portola Valley gave me the idea to whip up this chart:



You can find a correlation if you really squint, but presidential voting patterns in San Mateo County have been almost completely decoupled from class. This is a new phenomenon.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Here are the 2012 and 2016 results from San Mateo County to see the swings (write-ins included in all percentages)

ATHERTON
2012: Romney 51.48% — Obama 46.59% = R+ 04.89
2016: Clinton 66.18% — Trump 25.87% = D+ 40.31
2020: Biden 71.79% — Trump 25.80% = D+ 45.99
SWING (12-16): D+ 45.20
SWING (16-20): D+ 05.68

BELMONT
2012: Obama 71.08% — Romney 26.10% = D+ 44.98
2016: Clinton 74.47% — Trump 19.15% = D+ 55.32
2020: Biden 78.79% — Trump 19.08% = D+ 59.71
SWING (12-16): D+ 10.34
SWING (16-20): D+ 04.39

BRISBANE
2012: Obama 77.82% — Romney 18.26% = D+ 59.56
2016: Clinton 77.81% — Trump 16.20% = D+ 61.61
2020: Biden 79.74% — Trump 18.00% = D+ 61.74
SWING (12-16): D+ 02.05
SWING (16-20): D+ 00.13

BURLINGAME
2012: Obama 68.93% — Romney 28.94% = D+ 39.99
2016: Clinton 74.71% — Trump 19.35% = D+ 55.36
2020: Biden 77.87% — Trump 20.33% = D+ 57.54
SWING (12-16): D+ 15.37
SWING (16-20): D+ 02.18

COLMA
2012: Obama 83.03% — Romney 14.45% = D+ 68.58
2016: Clinton 83.27% — Trump 13.04% = D+ 70.23
2020: Biden 79.42% — Trump 19.05% = D+ 60.37
SWING (12-16): D+ 01.65
SWING (16-20): R+ 09.86

DALY CITY
2012: Obama 78.75% — Romney 19.53% = D+ 59.22
2016: Clinton 79.61% — Trump 15.78% = D+ 63.83
2020: Biden 77.20% — Trump 21.36% = D+ 55.84
SWING (12-16): D+ 04.61
SWING (16-20): R+ 07.99

EAST PALO ALTO
2012: Obama 91.11% — Romney 6.89% = D+ 84.22
2016: Clinton 87.70% — Trump 6.07% = D+ 81.63
2020: Biden 86.59% — Trump 11.34% = D+ 75.25
SWING (12-16): R+ 02.59
SWING (16-20): R+ 06.38

FOSTER CITY
2012: Obama 69.90% — Romney 28.16% = D+ 41.74
2016: Clinton 72.69% — Trump 21.61% = D+ 51.08
2020: Biden 76.27% — Trump 21.92% = D+ 54.35
SWING (12-16): D+ 09.34
SWING (16-20): D+ 03.27

HALF MOON BAY
2012: Obama 68.53% — Romney 28.74% = D+ 39.79
2016: Clinton 71.60% — Trump 21.16% = D+ 50.44
2020: Biden 75.81% — Trump 21.89% = D+ 53.92
SWING (12-16): D+ 10.65
SWING (16-20): D+ 03.48

HILLSBOROUGH
2012: Romney 53.13% — Obama 45.44% = R+ 07.69
2016: Clinton 62.56% — Trump 30.49% = D+ 32.07
2020: Biden 68.31% — Trump 29.34% = D+ 38.97
SWING (12-16): D+ 39.76
SWING (16-20): D+ 06.90

MENLO PARK
2012: Obama 72.44% — Romney 25.07% = D+ 47.37
2016: Clinton 81.32% — Trump 12.41% = D+ 68.91
2020: Biden 84.60% — Trump 13.40% = D+ 71.20
SWING (12-16): D+ 21.54
SWING (16-20): D+ 02.29

MILLBRAE
2012: Obama 67.01% — Romney 30.68% = D+ 36.33
2016: Clinton 69.43% — Trump 24.88% = D+ 44.55
2020: Biden 70.57% — Trump 27.31% = D+ 43.26
SWING (12-16): D+ 08.22
SWING (16-20): R+ 01.29

PACIFICA
2012: Obama 75.40% — Romney 21.45% = D+ 53.95
2016: Clinton 74.16% — Trump 19.22% = D+ 54.94
2020: Biden 76.49% — Trump 21.36% = D+ 55.13
SWING (12-16): D+ 00.99
SWING (16-20): D+ 00.19

PORTOLA VALLEY
2012: Obama 64.17% — Romney 34.13% = D+ 30.04
2016: Clinton 76.07% — Trump 17.15% = D+ 58.92
2020: Biden 80.34% — Trump 17.16% = D+ 63.18
SWING (12-16): D+ 28.88
SWING (16-20): D+ 04.26

REDWOOD CITY
2012: Obama 72.46% — Romney 24.80% = D+ 47.66
2016: Clinton 76.48% — Trump 17.24% = D+ 59.24
2020: Biden 80.48% — Trump 17.41% = D+ 63.07
SWING (12-16): D+ 11.58
SWING (16-20): D+ 03.83

SAN BRUNO
2012: Obama 74.89% — Romney 22.42% = D+ 52.47
2016: Clinton 73.37% — Trump 20.83% = D+ 52.54
2020: Biden 74.58% — Trump 23.55% = D+ 51.03
SWING (12-16): D+ 00.07
SWING (16-20): R+ 01.51

SAN CARLOS
2012: Obama 68.67% — Romney 28.78% = D+ 39.89
2016: Clinton 75.25% — Trump 18.84% = D+ 56.41
2020: Biden 79.64% — Trump 18.45% = D+ 61.19
SWING (12-16): D+ 16.52
SWING (16-20): D+ 04.78

SAN MATEO
2012: Obama 72.16% — Romney 25.51% = D+ 46.65
2016: Clinton 75.47% — Trump 18.80% = D+ 56.67
2020: Biden 77.92% — Trump 20.18% = D+ 57.74
SWING (12-16): D+ 10.02
SWING (16-20): D+ 01.07

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO
2012: Obama 77.63% — Romney 20.61% = D+ 57.02
2016: Clinton 77.57% — Trump 17.63% = D+ 59.94
2020: Biden 77.05% — Trump 21.40% = D+ 55.65
SWING (12-16): D+ 02.92
SWING (16-20): R+ 04.29

WOODSIDE
2012: Obama 54.02% — Romney 43.44% = D+ 10.58
2016: Clinton 68.01% — Trump 24.67% = D+ 43.34
2020: Biden 73.01% — Trump 24.67% = D+ 48.34
SWING (12-16): D+ 32.76
SWING (16-20): D+ 05.00

[mileslunn]

It seems the rich white areas up on the hills saw massive swings.  In fact while swings in well to do white areas common, the size of these from 2012 is massive, I don't think I've seen ones that big elsewhere.  Going from Romney winning to barely a quarter of the vote shows just how toxic Trump was there.  Menlo Park is where facebook is and they are largest employer so no surprise there.

It seems areas Trump improved in were the heavy Hispanic ones like East Palo Alto or those with large Filipino community, Colma and Daly City and that aligns with results elsewhere.  Others with large Asian community didn't swing as much, but it seems within Asian community you saw a strong pro-Trump swing amongst Asians without a college degree, but amongst those with a college degree, swung towards Biden. 

[HAnnA MArin County]

Here are the Democratic presidential preference primary results from San Mateo County as well.

ATHERTON
2008: Obama 57.08% — Clinton 39.80% — Edwards 2.32% = O+ 17.28
2016: Clinton 76.25% — Sanders 23.41% = C+ 52.84
2020: Biden 34.33% — Bloomberg 31.19% — Warren 11.59% — Sanders 10.99% = B+ 03.14

BELMONT
2008: Clinton 49.33% — Obama 45.20% — Edwards 3.83% = C+ 04.13
2016: Clinton 59.38% — Sanders 40.23% = C+ 19.15
2020: Biden 29.87% — Sanders 23.70% — Warren 17.21% — Bloomberg 16.67% = B+ 06.17

BRISBANE
2008: Clinton 48.31% — Obama 45.68% — Edwards 4.22% = C+ 02.63
2016: Sanders 49.82% — Clinton 49.73% = S+ 00.09
2020: Sanders 32.77% — Biden 26.29% — Warren 17.41% — Bloomberg 12.16% = S+ 06.48

BURLINGAME
2008: Clinton 48.35% — Obama 46.42% — Edwards 4.23% = C+ 01.93
2016: Clinton 61.78% — Sanders 37.64% = C+ 24.14
2020: Biden 29.54% — Sanders 23.20% — Bloomberg 18.58% — Warren 15.67% = B+ 06.34

COLMA
2008: Clinton 62.93% — Obama 31.90% — Edwards 5.17% = C+ 31.03
2016: Clinton 59.24% — Sanders 40.34% = C+ 18.90
2020: Sanders 34.31% — Biden 24.45% — Bloomberg 21.53% — Warren 8.76% = S+ 09.86

DALY CITY
2008: Clinton 66.35% — Obama 29.72% — Edwards 3.03% = C+ 36.63
2016: Clinton 57.94% — Sanders 41.42% = C+ 16.52
2020: Sanders 41.73% — Biden 23.18% — Bloomberg 15.68% — Warren 9.58% = S+ 18.55

EAST PALO ALTO
2008: Obama 63.86% — Clinton 34.45% — Edwards 1.07% = O+ 29.41
2016: Clinton 50.91% — Sanders 48.78% = C+ 02.13
2020: Sanders 49.94% — Biden 23.13% — Warren 10.74% — Bloomberg 9.74% = S+ 26.81

FOSTER CITY
2008: Clinton 53.70% — Obama 41.73% — Edwards 3.78% = C+ 11.97
2016: Clinton 63.30% — Sanders 36.14% = C+ 27.16
2020: Biden 28.22% — Sanders 25.90% — Bloomberg 18.85% — Warren 13.52% = B+ 02.32

HALF MOON BAY
2008: Obama 47.56% — Clinton 45.38% — Edwards 5.42% = O+ 02.18
2016: Clinton 57.05% — Sanders 42.48% = C+ 14.57
2020: Biden 27.62% — Sanders 24.79% — Bloomberg 17.42% — Warren 16.59% = B+ 02.83

HILLSBOROUGH
2008: Obama 51.52% — Clinton 44.59% — Edwards 2.46% = O+ 06.93
2016: Clinton 73.93% — Sanders 25.53% = C+ 48.40
2020: Biden 34.52% — Bloomberg 32.00% — Sanders 12.53% — Warren 9.25% = B+ 02.52

MENLO PARK
2008: Obama 58.22% — Clinton 38.27% — Edwards 2.63% = O+ 19.95
2016: Clinton 67.26% — Sanders 32.60% = C+ 34.66
2020: Biden 30.21% — Sanders 20.96% — Warren 20.66% — Bloomberg 17.35% = B+ 09.25

MILLBRAE
2008: Clinton 57.09% — Obama 35.82% — Edwards 5.42% = C+ 21.27
2016: Clinton 57.99% — Sanders 41.13% = C+ 16.86
2020: Sanders 27.71% — Biden 26.02% — Bloomberg 19.06% — Warren 13.80% = S+ 01.69

PACIFICA
2008: Clinton 51.51% — Obama 42.59% — Edwards 4.51% = C+ 08.92
2016: Clinton 49.80% — Sanders 49.67% = C+ 00.13
2020: Sanders 32.00% — Biden 25.19% — Warren 17.27% — Bloomberg 13.55% = S+ 06.81

PORTOLA VALLEY
2008: Obama 62.89% — Clinton 33.79% — Edwards 1.96% = O+ 29.10
2016: Clinton 74.65% — Sanders 25.27% = C+ 49.38
2020: Biden 32.77% — Bloomberg 28.73% — Warren 15.35% — Sanders 10.16% = B+ 04.04

REDWOOD CITY
2008: Clinton 51.09% — Obama 43.92% — Edwards 3.81% = C+ 07.17
2016: Clinton 55.63% — Sanders 43.86% = C+ 11.77
2020: Sanders 29.65% — Biden 26.05% — Warren 18.22% — Bloomberg 14.31% = S+ 03.60

SAN BRUNO
2008: Clinton 58.55% — Obama 35.14% — Edwards 5.13% = C+ 23.41
2016: Clinton 55.11% — Sanders 44.25% = C+ 10.86
2020: Sanders 34.72% — Biden 25.78% — Bloomberg 15.48% — Warren 11.95% = S+ 08.94

SAN CARLOS
2008: Clinton 47.82% — Obama 47.30% — Edwards 3.88% = C+ 00.52
2016: Clinton 63.94% — Sanders 35.66% = C+ 28.28
2020: Biden 29.87% — Sanders 19.53% — Warren 18.64% — Bloomberg 17.39% = B+ 10.34

SAN MATEO
2008: Clinton 51.65% — Obama 43.44% — Edwards 3.70% = C+ 08.21
2016: Clinton 59.32% — Sanders 40.13% = C+ 19.19
2020: Sanders 27.88% — Biden 27.31% — Warren 16.79% — Bloomberg 15.89% = S+ 00.57

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO
2008: Clinton 64.65% — Obama 30.57% — Edwards 3.48% = C+ 34.08
2016: Clinton 56.69% — Sanders 42.52% = C+ 14.17
2020: Sanders 37.77% — Biden 25.38% — Bloomberg 15.79% — Warren 9.75% = S+ 12.39

WOODSIDE
2008: Obama 59.10% — Clinton 36.87% — Edwards 2.20% = O+ 22.23
2016: Clinton 69.84% — Sanders 29.68% = C+ 40.16
2020: Biden 35.52% — Bloomberg 24.39% — Sanders 14.83% — Warren 13.73% = B+ 11.13

[Wormless Gourd]

Other than you guys just thinking that a Trump voter is so inherently defective so as to warrant some explanation for his or her behavior, what exactly is the connection between being a Scientologist and being more likely to vote Republican...?

Scientologists vote for Republicans for weird, miscellaneous reasons;
- Preserving/expanding their tax-exempt status is a big group concern
- Wanting repeal of the Johnson amendment, preventing non-profits from endorsing political candidates which limits their political clout
- Dems and liberals have an association, especially in California, of being pro-medical establishment(in terms of practices) and Scientologists are anti-therapy, anti-psychiatry, among other practices
- a LOT of scientologist staff(not members) are foreign-born, especially from europe and south america, and their concentration near/on scientologist properties could make for a hidden bloc vote at the direction of church leaders(or genuine improvement for trump like in other immigrant areas)

and in that east hollywood precinct, something like 1,100 of the residents live at scientologist-registered properties and interestingly, had a voting history of bush '00 -> kerry -> obama -> obama -> trump -> trump '20 according to an article i read

[lfromnj]

Just so they are all in one location here is Orange County by city

Biden on left, Trump on right.  Highlighted in red Biden wins, blue for Trump

Aliso Viejo   55.67%   40.71%
Anaheim   57.89%   38.74%
Brea   49.59%   46.67%
Buena Park   55.85%   41.01%
Costa Mesa   55.07%   40.75%
Cypress   52.40%   44.01%
Dana Point   46.53%   49.82%
Fountain Valley   46.40%   50.21%
Fullerton   56.41%   39.55%
Garden Grove   49.13%   48.05%
Huntington Beach   46.48%   49.66%
Irvine   63.15%   32.96%
La Habra   55.50%   40.86%
La Palma   55.09%   41.77%
Laguna Beach   62.26%   34.02%
Laguna Hills   51.18%   45.42%
Laguna Niguel   50.54%   45.91%
Laguna Woods   54.08%   43.78%
Lake Forest   51.50%   44.64%
Los Alamitos   50.91%   45.10%
Mission Viejo   49.14%   47.20%
Newport Beach   43.19%   52.80%
Orange   51.50%   44.37%
Placentia   50.99%   45.44%
Rancho Santa Margarita   47.13%   49.06%
San Clemente   43.20%   52.90%
San Juan Capistrano   46.51%   50.01%
Santa Ana   67.64%   29.18%
Seal Beach   49.66%   47.44%
Stanton   55.68%   41.45%
Tustin   59.79%   36.29%
Villa Park   36.98%   58.65%
Westminster   44.17%   53.22%
Yorba Linda   39.61%   56.79%

Do you have the raw vote numbers?

[HAnnA MArin County]

Do you have the raw vote numbers?

Santa Ana: Biden 64,645 (68.42%) — Trump 27,887 (29.52%) — Others 1,951 (2.06%) = D+ 38.90
Irvine: Biden 82,067 (64.33%) — Trump 42,832 (33.57%) — Others 2,682 (2.10%) = D+ 30.76
Laguna Beach: Biden 10,377 (63.47%) — Trump 5,670 (34.68%) — Others 303 (1.85%) = D+ 28.79
Tustin: Biden 21,096 (60.81%) — Trump 12,804 (36.91%) — Others 793 (2.29%) = D+ 23.90
Anaheim: Biden 77,895 (58.65%) — Trump 52,124 (39.25%) — Others 2,794 (2.10%) = D+ 19.40
Fullerton: Biden 36,693 (57.35%) — Trump 25,725 (40.20%) — Others 1,568 (2.45%) = D+ 17.15
Aliso Viejo: Biden 15,754 (56.48%) — Trump 11,519 (41.30%) — Others 619 (2.22%) = D+ 15.18
Buena Park: Biden 19,527 (56.52%) — Trump 14,337 (41.49%) — Others 688 (1.99%) = D+ 15.03
La Habra: Biden 15,409 (56.33%) — Trump 11,343 (41.47%) — Others 602 (2.20%) = D+ 14.86
Costa Mesa: Biden 29,804 (56.00%) — Trump 22,056 (41.44%) — Others 1,358 (2.55%) = D+ 14.56
Stanton: Biden 7,557 (56.24%) — Trump 5,625 (41.86%) — Others 255 (1.90%) = D+ 14.38
La Palma: Biden 4,645 (55.94%) — Trump 3,522 (42.41%) — Others 137 (1.65%) = D+ 13.53
Laguna Woods: Biden 7,496 (54.75%) — Trump 6,069 (44.33%) — Others 126 (0.92%) = D+ 10.42
Cypress: Biden 13,827 (53.22%) — Trump 11,612 (44.70%) — Others 541 (2.08%) = D+ 08.52
Orange: Biden 34,851 (52.45%) — Trump 30,025 (45.19%) — Others 1,566 (2.36%) = D+ 07.26
Lake Forest: Biden 23,810 (52.38%) — Trump 20,638 (45.40%) — Others 1,006 (2.21%) = D+ 06.98
Los Alamitos: Biden 3,192 (51.63%) — Trump 2,828 (45.74%) — Others 163 (2.64%) = D+ 05.89
Laguna Hills: Biden 9,129 (51.98%) — Trump 8,102 (46.13%) — Others 333 (1.90%) = D+ 05.85
Placentia: Biden 13,616 (51.81%) — Trump 12,135 (46.17%) — Others 531 (2.02%) = D+ 05.64
Laguna Niguel: Biden 20,469 (51.41%) — Trump 18,596 (46.71%) — Others 749 (1.88%) = D+ 04.70
Brea: Biden 12,801 (50.52%) — Trump 12,046 (47.54%) — Others 493 (1.95%) = D+ 02.98
Seal Beach: Biden 8,793 (50.37%) — Trump 8,400 (48.12%) — Others 264 (1.51%) = D+ 02.25
Mission Viejo: Biden 28,983 (49.96%) — Trump 27,837 (47.98%) — Others 1,196 (2.06%) = D+ 01.98
Garden Grove: Biden 34,753 (49.67%) — Trump 33,989 (48.57%) — Others 1,233 (1.76%) = D+ 01.10
Rancho Santa Margarita: Trump 13,857 (49.88%) — Biden 13,310 (47.91%) — Others 616 (2.22%) = R+ 01.97
Huntington Beach: Trump 59,279 (50.47%) — Biden 55,481 (47.24%) — Others 2,685 (1.05%) = R+ 03.23
Dana Point: Trump 10,816 (50.70%) — Biden 10,102 (47.35%) — Others 415 (1.95%) = R+ 03.35
San Juan Capistrano: Trump 9,720 (50.91%) — Biden 9,041 (47.35%) — Others 332 (1.74%) = R+ 03.56
Fountain Valley: Trump 16,349 (50.98%) — Biden 15,109 (47.11%) — Others 613 (1.91%) = R+ 03.87
Westminster: Trump 22,577 (53.81%) — Biden 18,738 (44.66%) — Others 644 (1.53%) = R+ 09.15
Newport Beach: Trump 29,477 (53.97%) — Biden 24,111 (44.14%) — Others 1,030 (1.89%) = R+ 09.83
San Clemente: Trump 21,239 (53.93%) — Biden 17,346 (44.04%) — Others 800 (2.03%) = R+ 09.89
Yorba Linda: Trump 24,646 (57.82%) — Biden 17,191 (40.33%) — Others 786 (1.84%) = R+ 17.49
Villa Park: Trump 2,495 (60.12%) — Biden 1,573 (37.90%) — Others 82 (1.98%) = R+ 22.22

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

Santa Ana: Biden 64,645 (68.42%) — Trump 27,887 (29.52%) — Others 1,951 (2.06%) = D+ 38.90
Irvine: Biden 82,067 (64.33%) — Trump 42,832 (33.57%) — Others 2,682 (2.10%) = D+ 30.76


Garden Grove: Biden 34,753 (49.67%) — Trump 33,989 (48.57%) — Others 1,233 (1.76%) = D+ 01.10
Fountain Valley: Trump 16,349 (50.98%) — Biden 15,109 (47.11%) — Others 613 (1.91%) = R+ 03.87
Westminster: Trump 22,577 (53.81%) — Biden 18,738 (44.66%) — Others 644 (1.53%) = R+ 09.15

According to Wikipedia...

Santa Ana: Biden gained 11k votes from HRC, Trump gained almost 13k votes. (swung R by ~2k votes and a 13.5% margin)

Irvine: Biden gained 16k votes from HRC, Trump gained 13k votes. (swung D by ~3k votes and a 1.5% margin)

Garden Grove: Biden gained 4k votes from HRC, Trump gained over 15k votes. (swung R by ~11k votes and a 21.5% margin)
Fountain Valley: Biden gained 3k votes from HRC, Trump gained 5k votes. (swung R by ~2k votes and a 4% margin)
Westminster: Biden gained 2k votes from HRC, Trump gained over 10k votes. (swung R by ~8k votes and a 24.5% margin)

[Liberalrocks]

Anyone have any update info on when the state plans to release the 'supplement to the statement of the vote" ?

[HAnnA MArin County]

Anyone have any update info on when the state plans to release the 'supplement to the statement of the vote" ?

I'd like to know that as well. I'm on pins and needles waiting for it to be released, as there are some counties that still have not published their results broken down by cities yet! *Grr* (Del Norte County has got to be the worst.)

[HAnnA MArin County]

IT'S FINALLY HERE, GUYS!!!!

[HAnnA MArin County]

So now that the supplement has been posted, here are the official city flips:

Trump 2016/Biden 2020 (19)
• CRESCENT CITY (Del Norte County)
2016: Trump 44.02% — Clinton 42.56% = R+ 01.46
2020: Biden 49.40% — Trump 47.20% = D+ 02.20
SWING: D+ 03.66
• PLACERVILLE (El Dorado County)
2016: Trump 45.88% — Clinton 45.81% = R+ 00.07
2020: Biden 51.23% — Trump 46.04% = D+ 05.19
SWING: D+ 05.26
• BRADBURY (Los Angeles County)
2016: Trump 47.91% — Clinton 47.12% = R+ 00.79
2020: Biden 51.70% — Trump 46.90% = D+ 04.80
SWING: D+ 05.59
• LA VERNE (Los Angeles County)
2016: Trump 47.32% — Clinton 46.62% = R+ 00.70
2020: Biden 50.53% — Trump 47.52% = D+ 03.01
SWING: D+ 03.71
• BREA (Orange County)
2016: Trump 48.17% — Clinton 44.55% = R+ 03.62
2020: Biden 50.52% — Trump 47.54% = D+ 02.98
SWING: D+ 06.60
• LAGUNA HILLS (Orange County)
2016: Trump 47.31% — Clinton 45.95% = R+ 01.36
2020: Biden 51.98% — Trump 46.13% = D+ 05.85
SWING: D+ 07.21
• LAGUNA NIGUEL (Orange County)
2016: Trump 47.83% — Clinton 46.11% = R+ 01.72
2020: Biden 51.41% — Trump 46.71% = D+ 04.70
SWING: D+ 06.42
• LAKE FOREST (Orange County)
2016: Trump 46.76% — Clinton 46.00% = R+ 00.76
2020: Biden 52.38% — Trump 45.40% = D+ 06.98
SWING: D+ 07.74
• MISSION VIEJO (Orange County)
2016: Trump 49.68% — Clinton 43.71% = R+ 05.97
2020: Biden 49.96% — Trump 47.98% = D+ 01.98
SWING: D+ 07.95
• BANNING (Riverside County)
2016: Trump 49.21% — Clinton 46.26% = R+ 02.95
2020: Biden 50.20% — Trump 47.77% = D+ 02.43
SWING: D+ 05.38
• HEMET (Riverside County)
2016: Trump 52.02% — Clinton 43.16% = R+ 08.86
2020: Biden 49.25% — Trump 48.80% = D+ 00.45
SWING: D+ 09.31
• LA QUINTA (Riverside County)
2016: Trump 51.31% — Clinton 44.66% = R+ 06.65
2020: Biden 50.18% — Trump 48.23% = D+ 01.95
SWING: D+ 08.60
• LAKE ELSINORE (Riverside County)
2016: Trump 48.41% — Clinton 46.22% = R+ 02.19
2020: Biden 49.70% — Trump 48.38% = D+ 01.32
SWING: D+ 03.51
• PALM DESERT (Riverside County)
2016: Trump 49.00% — Clinton 47.00% = R+ 02.00
2020: Biden 53.04% — Trump 45.44% = D+ 07.60
SWING: D+ 09.60
• CORONADO (San Diego County)
2016: Trump 47.71% — Clinton 45.57% = R+ 02.14
2020: Biden 52.57% — Trump 45.31% = D+ 07.26
SWING: D+ 09.40
• POWAY (San Diego County)
2016: Trump 48.27% — Clinton 43.72% = R+ 04.55
2020: Biden 50.99% — Trump 46.41% = D+ 04.58
SWING: D+ 09.13
• ATASCADERO (San Luis Obispo County)
2016: Trump 46.66% — Clinton 42.49% = R+ 04.17
2020: Biden 49.37% — Trump 47.87% = D+ 01.50
SWING: D+ 05.67
• SOLVANG (Santa Barbara County)
2016: Trump 46.55% — Clinton 45.37% = R+ 01.18
2020: Biden 53.05% — Trump 44.19% = D+ 08.86
SWING: D+ 10.04
• SIMI VALLEY (Ventura County)
2016: Trump 47.88% — Clinton 43.86% = R+ 04.02
2020: Biden 49.34% — Trump 48.45% = D+ 00.89
SWING: D+ 04.91

Clinton 2016/Trump 2020 (3)
• FOUNTAIN VALLEY (Orange County)
2016: Clinton 46.85% — Trump 46.54% = D+ 00.31
2020: Trump 50.98% — Biden 47.11% = R+ 03.87
SWING: R+ 04.18
• WESTMINSTER (Orange County)
2016: Clinton 54.80% — Trump 39.43% = D+ 15.37
2020: Trump 53.81% — Biden 44.66% = R+ 09.15
SWING: R+ 24.52
• PORTERVILLE (Tulare County)
2016: Clinton 48.12% — Trump 46.53% = D+ 01.59
2020: Trump 49.01% — Biden 48.68% = R+ 00.33
SWING: R+ 01.92

[perpetual_cynic]

Despite all of these swings towards Trump, you can't understate how well Democrats did here considering the Democratic swing in 2016. Santa Clara county swung nearly 5 pps to Trump, but nearly the entire swing was Trump increasing his vote, not the Democrats losing percentage.

[Roll Roons]

Despite all of these swings towards Trump, you can't understate how well Democrats did here considering the Democratic swing in 2016. Santa Clara county swung nearly 5 pps to Trump, but nearly the entire swing was Trump increasing his vote, not the Democrats losing percentage.

Who cares? What the hell is the point of bragging about doing well in a state where Democrats already dominate top to bottom? Running up the score in California is a big part of the reason the tipping point state was 4 points to the right of the national popular vote.

[perpetual_cynic]

This took not too long but I got delayed since I wanted to break down San Jose by district to microanalyze all the swings given that it's basically an amalgamation of suburbs that range from Silicon Valley in the West to hills in the South and East.

Anyways, the swings in Santa Clara County were quite interesting. To paint a demographic picture, the county is 30% non-Hispanic White, 40% Asian, and 25% Latino with a population of around 2 million residents. It is also one of the wealthiest counties in the country with a median home values of $1 million and a median income of $125,000. I'll do a rundown based on city groupings and then breakdown San Jose in the end.

Group 1: Wealthy Silicon Valley Suburbs
In this group, we have Los Altos Hills, Monte Sereno, Los Altos, Saratoga, Palo Alto, and Los Gatos. These towns are where you'll find half of Silicon Valley's billionaire class, or at least the half that lives in Santa Clara County. Monte Sereno and Los Altos Hills are small, with both less than 10,000 strong, whereas Los Altos, Saratoga, and Los Gatos are all at around 30,000 people, and Palo Alto is close to 65,000. All these cities are mostly white, but every town except Los Gatos and Monte Sereno is at least 30% Asian, while Saratoga is majority Asian, and every town is less than 10% Hispanic.

Los Altos Hills
2016: 68.65 - 24.43 Clinton
2020: 73.27 - 24.15 Biden (D +4.90)

Monte Sereno
2016: 65.27 - 28.52 Clinton
2020: 67.44 - 30.76 Biden (R +0.06)

Los Altos
2016: 75.40 - 19.10 Clinton
2020: 79.74 - 18.25 Biden (D +5.19)

Saratoga
2016: 68.58 - 25.60 Clinton
2020: 71.99 - 25.87 Biden (D +3.14)

Palo Alto
2016: 82.47 - 12.20 Clinton
2020: 83.98 - 14.00 Biden (R +0.30)

Los Gatos
2016: 69.04 - 24.93 Clinton
2020: 72.03 - 25.58 Biden (D +2.34)

While conventional wisdom would suggest that Los Gatos or Monte Sereno should have the largest swing left or the smallest Trump swing due to their heavily White population, it turns out that Monte Sereno swung right and three far more diverse towns swung more than Los Gatos did to Biden. Palo Alto seems to also have had a Trump swing, which is a little more confusing since Stanford isn't included in the town's voting numbers, so the explanation is still out. Every town did have an increase in Democratic vote share, so Trump may just have rebounded with some Republicans.

Group 2: Affluent Urban-Suburban Tech Headquarters
In this group, we have Mountain View and Cupertino, home to Google and Apple respectively and both very desirable and slightly cheaper than the towns in the first group. Cupertino and Mountain View are larger towns, with populations of 60,000 and 80,000, and have more of an urban feel with a number of tech offices in both cities. Cupertino is around 70% Asian and 25% White while Mountain View is definitely more diverse at 45% White and 30% Asian, and it's the first town out of those mentioned with a larger Hispanic population at around 20%.

Cupertino
2016: 74.66 - 20.14 Clinton
2020: 75.00 - 22.90 Biden (R +2.43)

Mountain View
2016: 80.41 - 13.31 Clinton
2020: 82.47 - 15.26 Biden (D +0.11)

Cupertino shows the first clear swing to Trump out of any town, but it is still relatively small given its demographics, while Mountain View still swung Democratic despite having a larger Hispanic population. I'm beginning to think these towns have people with lives generally fine in a fiscal sense so things like Prop 16 can sour voter perspective on Democrats, and I honestly think it's partially to blame for some of the swing in Cupertino. Regardless, Biden increased the Democratic vote share in both towns.

Group 3: Middle Class Asian Meccas
In this group, we have Sunnyvale, Santa Clara, and Milpitas. The cities in this group are even larger than the ones in the last group, with Sunnyvale at around 120,000 residents and Santa Clara at 115,000, while Milpitas has 85,000. These towns are all locally known as being Asian hubs, often where immigrants first flock to when they land in the valley. Unlike Cupertino, they are more diverse, with Santa Clara and Sunnyvale around 45% Asian and 30% White with 20% of the population Hispanic, while Milpitas is 70% Asian, and actually more Hispanic than White, with 15% of the population being Hispanic, while 10% are White.

Sunnyvale
2016: 75.22 - 18.50 Clinton
2020: 76.66 - 20.93 Biden (R +0.99)

Santa Clara
2016: 73.22 - 20.44 Clinton
2020: 74.38 - 23.55 Biden (R +1.94)

Milpitas
2016: 73.48 - 21.31 Clinton
2020: 67.93 - 30.45 Biden (R +14.69) (!!!)

Sunnyvale and Santa Clara look normal and their small swings are actually surprising given their demographics, but Milpitas is the first town where there is a clear and heavy Trump swing. Almost all of this can be attributed to the demographic makeup. The Asian population in Milpitas has a heavy Filipino and Vietnamese contingent that is not really present in any of the cities in the first two groups, which are far more Chinese and Indian. Milpitas is also far less educated than any other city mentioned, also pointing to a Trump swing. Nevertheless, such a drastic swing is pretty stunning to see, but as you'll see later on there are larger ones yet to come.

Group 4: Farming Towns and Campbell
In this group, we have Campbell, Morgan Hill, and Gilroy. While the latter two are farming communities practically unconnected to the rest of the county and barely even part of the Bay Area, they are still relatively well off towns with incomes over $100k. Campbell on the other hand is not Asian enough, not techy enough, and not wealthy enough to fit in any of the first three groups, but is more like a part of San Jose than a town with its own identity. These towns are all similar in size, with Campbell and Morgan Hill at around 40,000 residents with Gilroy at 60,000. Gilroy is 60% Hispanic and 30% White, while Morgan Hill is around 50% White and 30% Hispanic, with Campbell at 50% White, 20% Asian, and 20% Hispanic.

Campbell
2016: 70.84 - 22.49 Clinton
2020: 73.65 - 23.89 Biden (D +1.41)

Morgan Hill
2016: 60.49 - 32.54 Clinton
2020: 64.40 - 32.95 Biden (D +3.51)

Gilroy
2016: 65.48 - 28.41 Clinton
2020: 67.62 - 30.17 Biden (D +0.38)

The swings here are actually extremely surprising given the racial makeup of these towns. Gilroy seems to be one of the few Hispanic majority places nationwide that swung to Biden, with Morgan Hill and Campbell having larger swings despite a heavy nonwhite population. I'm not sure what exactly caused this sort of swing against Trump in these areas, but I have a feeling that Trump may not have improved in California farming communities given the general Democratic swing or flat trend in the Central Valley as well.

San Jose
This is the last group in the list and is only made up of San Jose, since the city makes up more than half of the entire county. San Jose is probably the least known city with over a million people nationally and has a very barren downtown with few skyscrapers thanks to the close-by airport, being more of a giant suburb than anything else. Nevertheless, it is the most diverse place in Santa Clara County, having a population that is 25% White, 30% Hispanic, and 35% Asian.

I've chosen to break down the city into its 10 city council districts so we get a better sense of where swings here happened.

District 1: West San Jose - 35% non-Hispanic White, 35% Asian, 20% Hispanic
2016: 71.70 - 21.91 Clinton
2020: 72.83 - 24.88 Biden (R +1.84)

District 2: Southeast San Jose - 30% non-Hispanic White, 25% Asian, 35% Hispanic
2016: 71.17 - 22.56 Clinton
2020: 69.72 - 28.05 Biden (R +6.94)

District 3: Downtown San Jose - 20% non-Hispanic White, 20% Asian, 50% Hispanic
2016: 81.68 - 11.78 Clinton
2020: 78.02 - 19.46 Biden (R +11.34) (!)

District 4: North San Jose - 15% non-Hispanic White, 60% Asian, 15% Hispanic
2016: 74.46 - 20.38 Clinton
2020: 68.55 - 29.70 Biden (R +15.23) (!!!)

District 5: East San Jose - 10% non-Hispanic White, 25% Asian, 60% Hispanic
2016: 81.61 - 14.08 Clinton
2020: 71.82 - 26.48 Biden (R +22.19) (!!!!!)

District 6: West-Central San Jose - 50% non-Hispanic White, 15% Asian, 30% Hispanic
2016: 74.38 - 19.19 Clinton
2020: 76.87 - 20.69 Biden (D +0.99)

District 7: Central San Jose - 10% non-Hispanic White, 40% Asian, 50% Hispanic
2016: 78.30 - 17.34 Clinton
2020: 63.64 - 34.81 Biden (R +32.12) (!!!!!!!)

District 8: East San Jose - 15% non-Hispanic White, 55% Asian, 25% Hispanic
2016: 75.62 - 20.43 Clinton
2020: 68.58 - 29.99 Biden (R +16.60) (!!!)

District 9: Southwest San Jose - 60% non-Hispanic White, 15% Asian, 20% Hispanic
2016: 68.54 - 24.70 Clinton
2020: 71.45 - 26.10 Biden (D +1.51)

District 10: South San Jose - 50% non-Hispanic White, 25% Asian, 20% Hispanic
2016: 67.28 - 26.84 Clinton
2020: 69.54 - 28.36 Biden (D +0.73)

San Jose
2016: 73.82 - 20.51 Clinton
2020: 71.10 - 26.85 Biden (R +9.06)

Districts 6, 9, and 10, also the only districts that were majority non-Hispanic White, swung to Biden, but all less than 3 points. District 1, the next most non-Hispanic White district swung to Trump by around 2 points, similar to the swing in nearby Cupertino. These districts are all affluent and educated, considered the nice areas of San Jose. District 2 swung to Trump by around 7 points, which was big but tempered since due to the relatively large non-Hispanic White presence. All other districts, 3, 4, 5, 7, and 8, swung by at least 10 points to Trump, with District 7 having a shocking 30+ point swing. These districts were all either majority Asian or majority Hispanic and are for the most part less affluent than 1, 6, 9, and 10. Districts 2 and 8 do have some nicer areas by their hillsides, and District 4 has multiple tech business parks, but 3, 5, and 7 contain a large majority of the city's poverty. Every District has a large Asian population, but the specific nationality makes a difference. District 4 has a large Indian and Filipino population, while District 1 is more Indian and Chinese, while District 7, as seen by its swing, has a large portion of San Jose's famous Vietnamese population.

Overall, the swings here can be clearly seen if mapped out geographically, with 1, 6, 9, and 10 forming a continuous mass from the West to the South, while the other districts are all in the North and East.

Santa Clara County
2016: 73.39 - 20.77 Clinton
2020: 72.64 - 25.23 Biden (R +5.20)

The county shifted over 5 points to the right, countering most of the smaller swings in the Bay Area. Milpitas and Districts 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, and 8 actually were responsible for the entire swing in the area, with the county swinging 0.01 points leftward without them, speaking to how big the urban Latino and Vietnamese swings ended up being. The swing here interestingly makes Santa Clara County the only one out of the 20 wealthiest counties nationwide to move rightward, and indicates a need for Democrats to keep in touch with their urban constituents as much as they try to focus on new ground.

It is extremely important to remember how Hillary Clinton laid the groundwork for Biden. In Cupertino, Biden slightly increased Clinton's share and Trump increased by almost 3%, but Biden still did 10.4% better than Obama in 2012, 9.0% better than Obama in 2008.

[perpetual_cynic]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Agoura Hills   63.17%   35.03%   3.75%
Alhambra   70.75%   27.42%   -7.02%
Arcadia   59.84%   38.75%   1.74%
Artesia   61.69%   36.26%   -13.66%
Avalon   59.40%   37.89%   9.88%
Azusa   66.72%   30.97%   -5.59%
Baldwin Park   73.61%   24.33%   -15.71%
Bell   78.94%   18.44%   -15.97%
Bell Gardens   80.10%   18.13%   -17.35%
Bellflower   67.15%   30.43%   -7.64%
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%
Bradbury   51.70%   46.90%   5.58%
Burbank   67.63%   30.35%   -1.81%
Calabasas   63.75%   34.52%   -1.06%
Carson   75.09%   23.08%   -10.79%
Cerritos   62.49%   35.82%   -4.46%
Claremont   68.07%   29.83%   1.94%
Commerce   78.35%   19.37%   -12.35%
Compton   86.58%   11.00%   -11.87%
Covina   60.91%   36.95%   -1.00%
Cudahy   80.01%   16.95%   -16.53%
Culver City   83.25%   14.83%   1.51%
Diamond Bar   58.92%   39.54%   -2.14%
Downey   66.52%   31.39%   -9.06%
Duarte   67.07%   31.00%   -3.22%
El Monte   70.28%   27.91%   -17.96%
El Segundo   63.59%    ]33.96%   6.47%
Gardena   75.38%   22.46%   -10.16%
Glendale   58.93%   39.21%   -11.04%
Glendora   48.57%   49.10%   5.82%
Hawaiian Gardens   72.12%   25.30%   -15.91%
Hawthorne   78.28%   19.39%   -9.35%
Hermosa Beach   69.35%   27.89%   4.91%
Hidden Hills   58.33%   40.18%   -3.10%
Huntington Park   80.91%   17.46%   -15.92%
Industry   45.45%   46.59%   -22.30%
Inglewood   88.62%   9.56%   -6.85%
Irwindale   69.78%   29.35%   -10.51%
La Canada Flintridge   62.18%   36.18%   6.11%
La Habra Heights   43.88%   54.49%   6.22%
La Mirada   53.47%   44.57%   -1.36%
La Puente   73.23%   24.28%   -13.96%
La Verne   50.53%   47.52%   3.71%
Lakewood   60.37%   37.45%   1.02%
Lancaster   57.71%   39.54%   5.88%
Lawndale   72.35%   25.30%   -11.09%
Lomita   58.46%   38.86%   1.41%
Long Beach   72.49%   25.01%   -0.67%
Los Angeles   76.56%   21.43%   -6.96%
Lynwood   82.00%   15.10%   -16.71%
Malibu   66.20%   31.85%   0.04%
Manhattan Beach   66.43%   31.14%   3.53%
Maywood   80.02%   17.20%   -17.33%
Monrovia   65.86%   31.71%   3.00%
Montebello   73.96%   23.92%   -9.61%
Monterey Park   68.09%   30.27%   -7.66%
Norwalk   69.27%   28.42%   -11.79%
Palmdale   63.14%   34.56%   -1.53%
Palos Verdes Estates   54.84%   42.94%   6.42%
Paramount   78.32%   19.14%   -14.43%
Pasadena   77.00%   20.84%   0.06%
Pico Rivera   74.81%   23.24%   -12.13%
Pomona   70.82%   26.64%   -9.32%
Rancho Palos Verdes   57.65%   40.15%   6.40%
Redondo Beach   67.56%   30.25%   5.62%
Rolling Hills   43.02%   54.86%   11.77%
Rolling Hills Estates   55.61%   42.58%   8.24%
Rosemead   66.91%   31.62%   -19.95%
San Dimas   50.27%   47.67%   1.66%
San Fernando   76.59%   21.05%   -11.57%
San Gabriel   66.01%   32.08%   -7.53%
San Marino   59.26%   38.71%   5.00%
Santa Clarita   53.07%   44.93%   4.94%
Santa Fe Springs   67.71%   29.82%   -11.32%
Santa Monica   81.45%   16.76%   -1.07%
Sierra Madre   65.89%   31.55%   5.86%
Signal Hill   73.46%   24.26%   1.45%
South El Monte   73.52%   23.81%   -18.53%
South Gate   78.58%   19.08%   -15.62%
South Pasadena   78.98%   18.80%   3.83%
Temple City   59.98%   38.24%   -1.88%
Torrance   60.23%   37.53%   3.27%
Vernon   68.04%   31.96%   -20.17%
Walnut   61.51%   37.04%   -4.44%
West Covina   65.01%   33.23%   -6.67%
West Hollywood   82.20%   16.42%   -6.75%
Westlake Village   57.51%   40.45%   4.79%
Whittier   62.74%   35.01%   -0.50%

I apologize if I made any errors with the colors anywhere. This is a big one.

There are no real surprises here when you look at overall trends everywhere else. Los Angeles County has a great deal of restaurant and retail jobs in the suburban areas that swung towards Trump, so Trump campaigning on re-opening everything probably helped him a great deal. Most of Biden's gains were in areas with higher white populations.

Everyone is talking about how Biden under performed in Los Angeles County. While this is true compared to Hillary Clinton, compare it to Obama's '08 and '12 performances which he outperformed. I think it is more that 2016 was a fluke, than it is that Biden underperformed.

[Thunder98]

So now that the supplement has been posted, here are the official city flips:

Trump 2016/Biden 2020 (19)

• SOLVANG (Santa Barbara County)
2016: Trump 46.55% — Clinton 45.37% = R+ 01.18
2020: Biden 53.05% — Trump 44.19% = D+ 08.86
SWING: D+ 10.04

What's even more impressive about the rapid Dem swing in Solvang, that it voted for Romney by a 13% margin in 2012!

https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2012-general/ssov/ssov-complete.pdf

[HAnnA MArin County]

So now that the supplement has been posted, here are the official city flips:

Trump 2016/Biden 2020 (19)

• SOLVANG (Santa Barbara County)
2016: Trump 46.55% — Clinton 45.37% = R+ 01.18
2020: Biden 53.05% — Trump 44.19% = D+ 08.86
SWING: D+ 10.04

What's even more impressive about the rapid Dem swing in Solvang, that it voted for Romney by a 13% margin in 2012!

https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2012-general/ssov/ssov-complete.pdf

It was the first time that Danish heritage city voted for a Democrat for President since its incorporation as a city. I believe the same for Simi Valley. The ole Gipper must be turning over in his grave now.

Uncle Joe did manage to flip a lot of GOP strongholds for the first time. My next project is going to be researching how many of the 19 Trump/Biden cities went (non-Atlas) blue for the first time. Solvang and Simi Valley have been confirmed.