Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Person Man]

co/efficient (R) once again has a tie

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1721558988209185074

An R internal showing a tied race probably means Republicans might do well, but not get a complete majority.

[wbrocks67]

For all the talk about young voters and black voters, this has young voters 71-29 and black voters 86-14 for Ds lol

[jvmh2009]

My first thought at the crosstabs as well.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721573198561505376

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721573202311209196

SD-16 Lean D and SD-31 Likely D,  wtf?

I guess the turnout in Loudon county really is that good for D's.

[wbrocks67]

Dems should have the upper hand, you'd think, also thanks to this:

https://twitter.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/1721600627472544156

[oldtimer]

A lot of you people live in Virginia, why not share your local anecdotes since the election is just tomorrow ?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Youngkin put everything he had on the field. If Republicans lose that's too bad, but they genuinely tried their best this year, so hats off to the VA GOP from going to almost dead 4 years ago to being a competitive force today. The state might be too blue to overcome, but its important that they gave it their all.

[Roll Roons]

Youngkin put everything he had on the field. If Republicans lose that's too bad, but they genuinely tried their best this year, so hats off to the VA GOP from going to almost dead 4 years ago to being a competitive force today. The state might be too blue to overcome, but its important that they gave it their all.

They've done an admirable job in the past two years. I really do think this is one state where Trump is uniquely toxic.

[Person Man]

Youngkin put everything he had on the field. If Republicans lose that's too bad, but they genuinely tried their best this year, so hats off to the VA GOP from going to almost dead 4 years ago to being a competitive force today. The state might be too blue to overcome, but its important that they gave it their all.

They serve as a model for people looking for comebacks in places like Ohio, Iowa, Missouri, Florida, and Colorado.

[heatcharger]

Watch out for disastrously low turnout in Charlottesville, Blacksburg and Williamsburg. This’ll only cost Democrats about 1 state house seat and 1 state senate seat though.

[Duke of York]

Watch out for disastrously low turnout in Charlottesville, Blacksburg and Williamsburg. This’ll only cost Democrats about 1 state house seat and 1 state senate seat though.

On what basis do you make this pronouncement?

[heatcharger]

Watch out for disastrously low turnout in Charlottesville, Blacksburg and Williamsburg. This’ll only cost Democrats about 1 state house seat and 1 state senate seat though.

On what basis do you make this pronouncement?

Vibes.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I don't have much else to say about the Virginia elections tomorrow, I'm just posting here to take a moment and note how amazing the name Chaz Nuttycombe is.

That's the name of a cereal mascot.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1721675111621603686?s=46

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1721675111621603686?s=46

Sure, but maybe people can't vote on Election Day because their kid is sick, or their car breaks down, or there's an unexpected snowstorm. A vote that's already been cast early is always better than one you intend to cast on Election Day. In any case, Tribbett is a Democratic operative so I don't expect him to say anything good about the GOP's chances. I would feel differently if Chaz Nuttycombe was saying this, because he's much more objective when analyzing races.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I don't have much else to say about the Virginia elections tomorrow, I'm just posting here to take a moment and note how amazing the name Chaz Nuttycombe is.

That's the name of a cereal mascot.

The first time I saw his name, I thought it was a made-up Twitter handle.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1721675111621603686?s=46

Sure, but maybe people can't vote on Election Day because their kid is sick, or their car breaks down, or there's an unexpected snowstorm. A vote that's already been cast early is always better than one you intend to cast on Election Day. In any case, Tribbett is a Democratic operative so I don't expect him to say anything good about the GOP's chances. I would feel differently if Chaz Nuttycombe was saying this, because he's much more objective when analyzing races.

D'oh!

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721686623853682811

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1721675111621603686?s=46

Sure, but maybe people can't vote on Election Day because their kid is sick, or their car breaks down, or there's an unexpected snowstorm. A vote that's already been cast early is always better than one you intend to cast on Election Day. In any case, Tribbett is a Democratic operative so I don't expect him to say anything good about the GOP's chances. I would feel differently if Chaz Nuttycombe was saying this, because he's much more objective when analyzing races.

D'oh!

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721686623853682811

Lmao literally like 20 minutes after he posted it too

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1721675111621603686?s=46

Sure, but maybe people can't vote on Election Day because their kid is sick, or their car breaks down, or there's an unexpected snowstorm. A vote that's already been cast early is always better than one you intend to cast on Election Day. In any case, Tribbett is a Democratic operative so I don't expect him to say anything good about the GOP's chances. I would feel differently if Chaz Nuttycombe was saying this, because he's much more objective when analyzing races.

D'oh!

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721686623853682811

Lmao literally like 20 minutes after he posted it too

Fine. First part still applies. A banked vote is always better than an intended one.

[Skill and Chance]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721573202311209196

SD-16 Lean D and SD-31 Likely D,  wtf?

I guess the turnout in Loudon county really is that good for D's.

I think he felt like he had to tweak something somewhere to not have the chamber as Likely D  going into the final forecast.

[wbrocks67]

Tribbett may be a Dem operative but he's been messy in the past. He was infamously messy during the Northam race when he said Dems were doing well in the morning, then they were crashing in the midday, only to come back and then say that everything was fine in the afternoon. I won't say he's wrong or right, but his track record is meh.

Chaz reaffirming it though gives it much more weight.

[Aurelius2]

Did Virginia ever pass that bill to fix how mail vote results are allocated to precincts?

[Agafin]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1721675111621603686?s=46

Can someone explain to me why this is a bad thing? Wouldn't regular voters (like old people) be the ones most likely to vote early in any case?

[wbrocks67]

I'm curious to see the results because Youngkin's messaging has been disingenuous at best. My inclination is that someone trying to pull the whole "I'm just trying to bring everyone together on common ground - but that common ground is still banning abortion at a much more lower weeks # than currently stands in VA" doesn't sound convincing at all, and I'm not sure why anyone would trust the GOP legislature to even only stop at that, given what GOP trifectas are doing in other states. We'll see if the average voter sees through it.