Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[VAR]

Looks like Gade is running for office again. Perhaps for Governor, or another statewide office in 2021?

https://twitter.com/gadeforvirginia/status/1332418810524135425?s=21

Lol why

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Why would Virginia ever elect a devotee of Bigfoot erotica?

[S019]

It will be funny if this is a long mega thread and Terry mcauliffe ends up winning by 10 to 13 points..

That is exactly what will happen if Amanda Chase is the nominee which probably has around a 40% chance of happening, and I'd say around 60% that someone like Bolling or Comstock is nominated, but T-Mac entering makes this Safe D, not in terms of margin, but in terms, of outcome.

[VAR]

Riggleman is "open to Biden admin job"

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1332748482109698049

[KaiserDave]

Big respect to Bigfoot man

[slothdem]

It will be funny if this is a long mega thread and Terry mcauliffe ends up winning by 10 to 13 points..

A 10-point win by Terry is probably the most likely outcome. In a bad environment vs a solid candidate like Cox the win could be kind of close, but there's also a good chance the environment is solid for dems and he just obliterates Chase.

[Duke of York]

Are the chances high T-Mac runs?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

It will be funny if this is a long mega thread and Terry mcauliffe ends up winning by 10 to 13 points..

A 10-point win by Terry is probably the most likely outcome. In a bad environment vs a solid candidate like Cox the win could be kind of close, but there's also a good chance the environment is solid for dems and he just obliterates Chase.

Biden only won VA by 10%. Expect the Governor's race to be at least a little narrower unless Republicans give up at the starting line.

[Frenchrepublican]

Can probably cross him off the list
https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1332748482109698049?s=20

[VAR]

^lmao

[Yellowhammer]

Not sad about him losing any more.

[JMT]

So I guess Gade isn't running for Governor:

https://twitter.com/WAVY_News/status/1333486703747739649?s=20

[Never Made it to Graceland]

So I guess Gade isn't running for Governor:

https://twitter.com/WAVY_News/status/1333486703747739649?s=20

VoteVets already exists. And I don't see the point, vets aren't especially different from the population at large, there are good vets and atrociously bad ones too. Doing a job for a couple of years doesn't magically make you a more capable legislator or public executive.

[Frenchrepublican]

You can cross her name off the list
https://twitter.com/BarbaraComstock/status/1333872209710952448?s=20

[President Johnson]

Lmao, the Giuliani account she linked is a joke and not the real guy.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Riggleman is "open to Biden admin job"

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1332748482109698049

Wiki says he was on financial service-related committees. I don't see Biden giving a Republican much influence over economic or monetary policy, but the executive branch is big enough...

[Never Made it to Graceland]

This idiot is a shameless Lincoln Project grifter. No thanks, but given the quality of the people Biden has appointed so far I wouldn't be surprised.

[LtNOWIS]

So I guess Gade isn't running for Governor:

https://twitter.com/WAVY_News/status/1333486703747739649?s=20

VoteVets already exists. And I don't see the point, vets aren't especially different from the population at large, there are good vets and atrociously bad ones too. Doing a job for a couple of years doesn't magically make you a more capable legislator or public executive.

VoteVets is a specifically Democratic organization. AFAIK there's no GOP equivalent of any prominence, so that's a niche that could exist.

Anyways it's true that veterans are not significantly different than the general populace, in either their electoral skills or their governing/legislating skills. But the perception that they are still makes donors inclined to support them, especially in swing races. So Gade is wise to tap into that money stream.

And not just for cynical self-serving reasons. If I'm a dedicated Republican and dedicated American who has the ability to do this, it makes sense for me to take this on instead of some other idiot who will do a worse job of it. Plus as a career Army guy he probably does want more veterans in government, either because he buys into the idea that they are better on some key military/veterans issues, the vague moral idea that our leaders should have demonstrated their virtue by sleeping in a tent in a bad climate with mediocre food, or for more openly "identity politics" reasons.

It might sound like I'm dumping on those impulses, but that's been a consistent aspect of my own political identity for my entire adult life.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

How popular is Phil Murphy?

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

How popular is Phil Murphy?

Moderate. He has many of the same problems as Cuomo, in that he maintained an extremely strict approach to Covid well beyond when the state was in a crisis situation, horribly botched the nursing home situation, and has been caught in a few hypocrisies along the way. He'd be vulnerable if the Republicans had a candidate who could unite the opposition, peel off some centrist Dems, and avoid coming off like a wingnut...but they don't.

I'd say he has roughly a 70% chance of re-election, while McAuliffe would have a roughly 95% chance at winning his second term.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

How popular is Phil Murphy?

Moderate. He has many of the same problems as Cuomo, in that he maintained an extremely strict approach to Covid well beyond when the state was in a crisis situation, horribly botched the nursing home situation, and has been caught in a few hypocrisies along the way. He'd be vulnerable if the Republicans had a candidate who could unite the opposition, peel off some centrist Dems, and avoid coming off like a wingnut...but they don't.

I'd say he has roughly a 70% chance of re-election, while McAuliffe would have a roughly 95% chance at winning his second term.

Sounds right

Interesting in terms of the comparison to Cuomo. I'm pretty sure I'd prefer Murphy to Cuomo though.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1335287105619103744

I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

How popular is Phil Murphy?

Moderate. He has many of the same problems as Cuomo, in that he maintained an extremely strict approach to Covid well beyond when the state was in a crisis situation, horribly botched the nursing home situation, and has been caught in a few hypocrisies along the way. He'd be vulnerable if the Republicans had a candidate who could unite the opposition, peel off some centrist Dems, and avoid coming off like a wingnut...but they don't.

I'd say he has roughly a 70% chance of re-election, while McAuliffe would have a roughly 95% chance at winning his second term.

Sounds right

Interesting in terms of the comparison to Cuomo. I'm pretty sure I'd prefer Murphy to Cuomo though.

Murphy is definitely the less belligerent, more compassionate of the two, although he also doesn't have to deal with De Blasio mucking things up.