Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The 303 map has always been there if you go to You tube and replay 2012 The place for politics Obama gets reelected with 303 map, and Rachel Maddow said when the state of OH is called meaning Ryan beats Vance 49.5/49.25

Because it's a 50/45 percent and 65/60M Eday and 2020 we won 80/75 M 1)3 Rd of D vote is minority and 1)4th is white meaning 50 and 40/45 of R vote is white Evangelical and 5/45 is Muslim not Latino or Black means as long as the country is producing more minority then it's gonna stay the same way, so that means Ryan will win in 2022 because Obama got reelected with OH was calked

It's the same map as it was in 2o12 Trump is no different than Mitt Romney is

That's why the Doomers need to stop Dooming on Ryan he is GOING TO WIN, that's why I changed it after July I had it Lean R OH until July when Impact polled OH showing Vance very weak but Nan W isn't gonna lose by 20 she is down by 6

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Despite a small increase in disapproval the LV/RV reaches it's highest since October 17, 2021, with 44.5% approving.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said JA are meaningless because Trump gained H seats with the same Approvals as Biden if JA we're something wouldn't Rs be leading on GCB like they were in 2010 48/42 and cracking the blue wall they haven't been that far ahead on GCB since May when Fox polls showed Rs plus 7 on GCB because of high Gas prices

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Even if we lose the H the Rs during the Boehner and Gingrich yrs had a Supermajority in the H, and it's very unlikely Rs will get that supermajority ever again it's gonna be a meer majority of they get it of 220/225 and that isn't gonna hold up in 24 in a Prez cycle where we won 80 votes

Even if we get 52/48 Senate we can still hold the S in 24 the only one vulnerable is Manchin, Brown and Tester can win, there is no Daines or Gianforte running in MT and Brown usually wins

But, I feel good about NC, OH, UT because at polls closing those states won't be called, but it's very likely the H will be called they are gonna say the overall control will be controlled by Rs but it's not gonna be a Supermajority of 230/245 seats like during Boehner yrs, that is key to Ds

Rs believe in cutting spending but the inflation rate is still gonna be 8 percent and that's gonna be troublesome for any H majority

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NEB GOV IS CLOSE ITS SOMETHING GOING ON THATS NOT SHOWING UP IN JA, Carol Blood is only down by 7, Stitt is down by 3 and Noem is only up by 3 and we saw 2 polls in ND and SD Bengs and Mund close and then 11 pts behind, if Ds win NEB we are gonna appoint Bob Kerrey to Sasse seat, he lost to Deb Fisher, but I won't get excited until FL, NC and OH comes in for Ryan, DEMINGS and Beasley DeSantis isn't winning by 11 and DeWine isn't winning 20

I can't wait to end Sinema Filibuster on Voting Rights

[It’s so Joever]

How is the collapsing upwards going?

[wbrocks67]

CNN/SSRS

Adults - 44/56 (was 38/62 in June/July)
RV - 44/55
LV - 46/54

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23130241/poll-biden-economy.pdf

[MR DARK BRANDON]

CNN/SSRS

Adults - 44/56 (was 38/62 in June/July)
RV - 44/55
LV - 46/54

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23130241/poll-biden-economy.pdf

Brandon’s disapproval rating collapses by 6 points

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

CNN/SSRS

Adults - 44/56 (was 38/62 in June/July)
RV - 44/55
LV - 46/54

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23130241/poll-biden-economy.pdf

Brandon’s disapproval rating collapses by 6 points

Lol Biden already said he isn't worried about JA, he just said that on Natl TV yesterday ave you seen the state by state polls let me give you DATA OBAMA 44 PERCENT APPROVALS RS 48/42 ON GCB in 2010/14 Biden at 44 percent Approvals Greenberg 50/47 on GCB what's the difference OBAMACARE REPEAL IN 2010/14/16 WE'RE IN A PANDEMIC AND CCM JUST TOOK THE LEAD IN NV SO YOUR R NUT MAP IS WRONG

Why do you think he isn't campaigning for Ds as much as MAGA TRUMP PEOPLE LIKE BEASLEY AND RYAN DONT WANT HIM TO ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH LIKE OH and NC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Center street Pac poll Kelly

 54/32


https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1580210629180559361?s=20&t=DmbtGsbAhV6D_XTXvNHcRA

Users love to come back to this thread and talk about Approvals we outnumbered Rs 65/60 M we represent 9 M people in SF/LA, CHI/ROCKFORD, BLT-DC, NY-NJ/Philly METROS I REST MY CASE

[wbrocks67]

YouGov/Economist

Adults: 45/46
RV: 48/49
LV: 48/51

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/szo0yco18u/econTabReport.pdf

[wbrocks67]

How is the collapsing upwards going?

All polls:
42.6% approve / 52.1% disapprove (-9.5)

RV/LV:
44.6% approve / 51.9% disapprove (-7.3)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden already said on Natl TV APPROVALS LIE HOW DID WE WIN AK A RED STATE, I don't people listen to Biden and Harris very closely

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 8-11, 1500 adults including 1330 RV and 1030 LV

Adults:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 46 (-3)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 36 (nc)


RV:

Approve 48 (+1)
Disapprove 49 (nc)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)

GCB: D 46 (+1), R 44 (nc)


LV:

Approve 48 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (nc)

GCB: D 48 (+1), R 46 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds win the GCB 50)45 but we don't know what type of map because all our Ds are outpolling Rs and Biden in all the swing states and we can get 65/60 M votes not 80/75 that's why we can win wave insurance even if it's a 50/45 PVI because of the percentage Ds are outperforming Biden we're gonna win 55 seats OH, NC and UT I believe as well as Wi and PA

Biden won every swing state by 50 K votes and Ds are outpolling him by average of 4 percent that's called wave insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 51/44 Senate map Win, PA, GA, AZ, NV, while OH, NC, UT  and WI are Tossups we can range from a 52/48 DSenate and 225 RH to 55 Senate Seats and DH

[President Johnson]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 8-11, 1500 adults including 1330 RV and 1030 LV

Adults:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 46 (-3)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 36 (nc)


RV:

Approve 48 (+1)
Disapprove 49 (nc)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)

GCB: D 46 (+1), R 44 (nc)


LV:

Approve 48 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (nc)

GCB: D 48 (+1), R 46 (nc)

That must be one of the best polls since August 2021, when his approval ratings went in the tank after he took away the media's war.

[Ferguson97]

We're so close to a net positive approval, I can feel it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 8-11, 1500 adults including 1330 RV and 1030 LV

Adults:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 46 (-3)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 36 (nc)


RV:

Approve 48 (+1)
Disapprove 49 (nc)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)

GCB: D 46 (+1), R 44 (nc)


LV:

Approve 48 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (nc)

GCB: D 48 (+1), R 46 (nc)

That must be one of the best polls since August 2021, when his approval ratings went in the tank after he took away the media's war.

You take the Johnson number Seriously and you know it's a 303 map if Ryan, McMillin  and Beasley are outpolling Barnes and Barnes is tied in RV then Barnes is ahead because Molinaro was Plus 8  and Pat Ryan won by 3 in blue states WI not red state WI Ds can come back from 5 pts down it's called MOE that's why Suffolk has CCM leading after multiple polls have CCM down if Rs win the H it's a 52/48 Map if we win the H it's 55/45 we net OH, NC and UT, WI and PA but the Rs won 241 seats in 2012 and we won  OH, MO and FL SEN, it's called 303 map with wave insurance

That's why Dark Brandon or Llam R nut map isn't gonna happen with NV and WI going R

Rachel Maddow already said it's a 51/44 Sen map WI PA net pickups GA, OH, NC and UT as Tossups eliminating FL due to IAN but is a chance that we can win FL and LA yes buts it's not that great

I have FL going D only because I don't want to wrong because it's the first swing state up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just note Trump only won in 2016 he was uncorrupted he is corrupted and so was Palin running with McCain and Romney with Bain Capital and Bush W after Katrina they're all fall to Ds 65/60M lose 303 map, this map is no different than 2012

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Barring an absolute miracle, I think it's fair to say Biden will be underwater come election day at this point. He has a very similar approval to where Trump and Obama 2014 were at this point.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barring an absolute miracle, I think it's fair to say Biden will be underwater come election day at this point. He has a very similar approval to where Trump and Obama 2014 were at this point.

Lol the Rs aren't even where they were in 2010/14 on the GCB they were plus 6 on GCB and they are 50/46 down on the GCB have you seen the state by state polls every D is outpolling Biden by 4 in every swing state , the Rs haven't won the PVI since 2014 and they were not down on the GCB, we still gotta vote Biden won every swing state by 50 K including GA where are Ds in PA, AZ they are plus 4 on the GCB if you are looking for a red wave it's not happening

We are gonna hold the Senate AZ, PA, NV, UT and GA are gonna give us 50 Seats

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McMULLIN leading gives us the majority without GA, NV, WI, all we have to do is keep PA and AZ that's 50 seats he said on MSNBC he won't disclose whom he will caucus with but he's not Maga, he is now leading Lee by 4/6 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What gets me about Ds, not Rs that make R nut maps they ignore the fact the Rs haven't cracked the blue wall since 2016 and that was a special case Hillary was corrupted she wasn't Corrupted like Palin but she was still corrupted, Harris is uncorrupted and can win the Prez if she so chooses it in 2028, if it's between herself and Newsom, but of course I am supporting Tim Ryan contingent he wins his seat and he said he will win because he is using his seat only as a stepping stone for Prez

Approval ratings lie QU had Biden at 33/61 Favs this same QU poll has Warnock ahead 52/45

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Brandon’s approval rating surges 4 points in 2 days according to rasmussen