Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1450844147582214149?s=20

https://twitter.com/KCCINews/status/1450791676168089600?s=20

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://scri.siena.edu/2021/10/19/in-a-fall-preview-of-junes-primary-democrats-give-hochul-early-double-digit-lead-in-3-potential-candidate-scenarios/

President Joe Biden has a 51-44 percent favorability rating, down from 57-37 percent last month and 63-34 percent in June. His job performance rating is 40-58 percent, down from last month’s 46-52 percent and June’s 52-46 percent.

(A)-rated Siena College Poll was conducted October 10-14, 2021 among 801 New York State registered voters.

NY (Gov Race)

Favs, RV:
51 (-6 since September)
44 (+7)

Approvals, RV:
40 (-6)
58 (+6)

In New York? I find that very hard to believe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1450844147582214149?s=20

https://twitter.com/KCCINews/status/1450791676168089600?s=20

You keep posting polls 400 days from an Election it's not funny snore, anyone can lose but Biden isn't gonna be this low Nov 2022/ you need to stop 🛑🛑 we are in a Pandemic, there won't be anything different Rs would do, we already had TRUMP.
Where were you when Biden was at 60% pollster we're posting, you were no where

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Furthermore, if Biden was so Low why are you guys trailing in VA, still and got Landslided in Cal, Elder didn't sent Newsom lead if it was a Red wave Newsom would have barely won, he won 60/4o the same amount as a 304 map but it won't be a 304 map it can be a 340 map or a 369 map excluding IA and TX which aren't needed

Rs aren't guarenteed the H neither the Sen McCarthy is gonna lose 4)8 seats in Cali for Pelosi at same time they're gonna steal seats in TX, this is without VR

Most of these silly polls that have a 40% are On line polling, I take them for money to get 50.00 rebates in mail, like you gov, I just took another

[wbrocks67]

https://scri.siena.edu/2021/10/19/in-a-fall-preview-of-junes-primary-democrats-give-hochul-early-double-digit-lead-in-3-potential-candidate-scenarios/

President Joe Biden has a 51-44 percent favorability rating, down from 57-37 percent last month and 63-34 percent in June. His job performance rating is 40-58 percent, down from last month’s 46-52 percent and June’s 52-46 percent.

(A)-rated Siena College Poll was conducted October 10-14, 2021 among 801 New York State registered voters.

NY (Gov Race)

Favs, RV:
51 (-6 since September)
44 (+7)

Approvals, RV:
40 (-6)
58 (+6)

In New York? I find that very hard to believe.

We talked about this a bit on the last page - for some reason, Siena doesn't do straight approval - they do "Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor" and count "Fair" in the "Disapprove" category, which is just a bad polling decision.

[wbrocks67]

Monmouth has Biden approval at 43/52 in Virginia, down from 46/49 on September 27th.

I guess we'll find out if we live in the Fox News/Morning Consult Virginia reality (about even approval), or this one.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_va_102021/

[wbrocks67]

Sorry for triple post, but with CA's updated exit poll, it appears the 538 tracker, despite some of its issues, is actually probably on point with reality.

CA exit poll (revised) had Biden +23 approval, a -6 pt downgrade from his 2020 margin.

On Election Day in CA in September, 538 aggregate had Biden's approval sitting at -2, which would also be a -6 downgrade from 2020 (Biden +4 nationally)

So if we assume the tracker is about right now, with Biden -6.5 nationally, that would place Biden at about dead even in Virginia, given the VA was 6% to the left in 2020.

Which lines up with Fox News and Morning Consult's recent polling.

[kwabbit]

What's with the poll barrage today lol. I am quite happy to see so many after basically nothing for weeks. Most of them pretty good for the GOP, Biden needs some good news but girlboss Sinema is standing in the way.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What's with the poll barrage today lol. I am quite happy to see so many after basically nothing for weeks. Most of them pretty good for the GOP, Biden needs some good news but girlboss Sinema is standing in the way.

ok
We are gonna get real Election results not fake polls next month and Terry is gonna win, if there was an imminent red wave we would have saw iit in the Cali recall, McCarthy is very unpopular in Cali due to his stance on Commission, Elder didn't lose the Recall McCatthy lost it

Users need to stop worrying about garbage You Gov online tracking polls that give people rebate

D's dodged a bullet with Govt shutdown since it's after the Midterm Debt Ceiling expired Dec 3rd that's why Trump was angry, he wanted as a political weapon in VA Gov race

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Biden hits for first time 50% disapproval rating on 538.

[BigSerg]

Biden hits for first time 50% disapproval rating on 538.

"America loves Uncle Joe"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304 map definitely PBOWER2A I don't care what polls are saying I'm FL it's 304

There is no way D's are gonna get thru R Gerrymandering I'm TX and FL and amnesty for immigrants without VR the Rs voted it down and it's all Simema and Manchin fault🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔

[Woody]

Biden hits for first time 50% disapproval rating on 538.

[Devils30]

Sorry for triple post, but with CA's updated exit poll, it appears the 538 tracker, despite some of its issues, is actually probably on point with reality.

CA exit poll (revised) had Biden +23 approval, a -6 pt downgrade from his 2020 margin.

On Election Day in CA in September, 538 aggregate had Biden's approval sitting at -2, which would also be a -6 downgrade from 2020 (Biden +4 nationally)

So if we assume the tracker is about right now, with Biden -6.5 nationally, that would place Biden at about dead even in Virginia, given the VA was 6% to the left in 2020.

Which lines up with Fox News and Morning Consult's recent polling.

Dems will win in VA but the even worse than 2016-20 WWC numbers are a horrible sign for 2022 in the midwest. I do not get why Biden is being so friendly to the progressives, they are toxic for the median voter.

[wbrocks67]

Sorry for triple post, but with CA's updated exit poll, it appears the 538 tracker, despite some of its issues, is actually probably on point with reality.

CA exit poll (revised) had Biden +23 approval, a -6 pt downgrade from his 2020 margin.

On Election Day in CA in September, 538 aggregate had Biden's approval sitting at -2, which would also be a -6 downgrade from 2020 (Biden +4 nationally)

So if we assume the tracker is about right now, with Biden -6.5 nationally, that would place Biden at about dead even in Virginia, given the VA was 6% to the left in 2020.

Which lines up with Fox News and Morning Consult's recent polling.

Dems will win in VA but the even worse than 2016-20 WWC numbers are a horrible sign for 2022 in the midwest. I do not get why Biden is being so friendly to the progressives, they are toxic for the median voter.

Eh, I usually side with the moderates but IMO the progressives have been very reasonable this go around. The "moderates" are the ones who have hamstrung most of this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All he has is his 3=5 Spending package and it's not even a Stimulus bill and D's are soh giddy over it and Medicare Expansion doesn't even take effect until 2028, why hasn't pbower2A responded, he knows Biden Approvals are bad, that's why he isnt in the FL Biden lead poll like he normally would be

[Devils30]

Sorry for triple post, but with CA's updated exit poll, it appears the 538 tracker, despite some of its issues, is actually probably on point with reality.

CA exit poll (revised) had Biden +23 approval, a -6 pt downgrade from his 2020 margin.

On Election Day in CA in September, 538 aggregate had Biden's approval sitting at -2, which would also be a -6 downgrade from 2020 (Biden +4 nationally)

So if we assume the tracker is about right now, with Biden -6.5 nationally, that would place Biden at about dead even in Virginia, given the VA was 6% to the left in 2020.

Which lines up with Fox News and Morning Consult's recent polling.

Dems will win in VA but the even worse than 2016-20 WWC numbers are a horrible sign for 2022 in the midwest. I do not get why Biden is being so friendly to the progressives, they are toxic for the median voter.

Eh, I usually side with the moderates but IMO the progressives have been very reasonable this go around. The "moderates" are the ones who have hamstrung most of this.

Sinema is the real problem, Manchin is what you expect from a Trump +39 state. That said, the progressives have a worldview that is extremely unrealistic, you cannot expect to spend 6-10 trillion in an economy that is not in any depression and has an unemployment rate well below 2009 levels. You also get the extra stuff like "birthing people" and Israel as an "apartheid state" that is fresh meat for the GOP.

[BG-NY]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1450844147582214149?s=20

https://twitter.com/KCCINews/status/1450791676168089600?s=20

One of the replies:

https://mobile.twitter.com/larrybwildin/status/1450802798476529664

Imagine caring more about approval among foreigners than Americans…

[BG-NY]

-4 since last month in Fox News, which has been left-leaning. Yikes!

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1450942093304676359

[BG-NY]

lol

[wbrocks67]

-4 since last month in Fox News, which has been left-leaning. Yikes!

Actually, this Fox poll was a bit more R-leaning than the last in Identification.

[Matty]

We can now firmly put to bed any narrative that he is bouncing back

[It’s so Joever]

We can now firmly put to bed any narrative that he is bouncing back

Yeah, it seems Biden is unable to save America. It was inevitable since Reagan, though.

[GeorgiaModerate]

We can now firmly put to bed any narrative that he is bouncing back

I see you are conveniently ignoring the YouGov/Economist weekly tracker.