Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Person Man]

SEP 20-26, 2021

A-rated Marist College

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_PLCV_202109271420.pdf

45 (+2)
46 (-5)

RV:
46 (+3)
46 (-5)


GB:
D+8  

That’s a Uhhh… a bummer, man.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I seriously doubt that it's D plus six a 50/48 Election is D plus 2(3 pts, but if his Approvals jump to 53(47 it's a whole new ballgame

We are level pegging like Nate Silver said with a 304 map but anything can happen in a yr

Kelly is only up by 2 pts

And we don't know how long it's gonna take for D's to raise the Debt Ceiling any delay in SSA checks Biden will be endangered and so will T Mac in VA.
But, I am optimistic, but D's knew 10 wks Rs wàsnt gonna raise Debt Ceiling and they Dared them and Rs didn't blink

Also, we have a Medicare Expansion that won't take effect til 2028 and the reason why we had 29T in debt is due to Unemployment benefits 300 extra and tax cuts

1400 checks were tip of iceberg but it was the Federal Unemployment benefits

[pbrower2a]

I seriously doubt that it's D plus six a 50/48 Election is D plus 2(3 pts, but if his Approvals jump to 53(47 it's a whole new ballgame

We are level pegging like Nate Silver said with a 304 map but anything can happen in a yr

Kelly is only up by 2 pts

And we don't know how long it's gonna take for D's to raise the Debt Ceiling any delay in SSA checks Biden will be endangered and so will T Mac in VA.
But, I am optimistic, but D's knew 10 wks Rs wàsnt gonna raise Debt Ceiling and they Dared them and Rs didn't blink

Also, we have a Medicare Expansion that won't take effect til 2028 and the reason why we had 29T in debt is due to Unemployment benefits 300 extra and tax cuts

1400 checks were tip of iceberg but it was the Federal Unemployment benefits

Do not predict any trend at this stage other than bounce-back, barring a justifiable change in perception. Such would be a personal scandal, a bungled war, or an economic meltdown.

If the already-inoculated are not getting sick and dying of COVID-19, they are getting sick and tired of people getting COVID-19, clogging hospital emergency rooms, exhausting public funds in medical treatment (ICU treatment devours personal assets and makes public charges out of the ill), and dying. I will probably have a booster shot (late November or early December)  before a big chunk of America has yet to get inoculated. Some things defy explanation.

Republicans keep telling us that catastrophic failure is nigh -- but Trump sealed the fate of Afghanistan, and the only catastrophic social reality is that people are still contracting and dying of COVID-19.

 

[VAR]

Virginia - Fox News

50% Approve
49% Disapprove

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-tight-race-for-virginia-governor

[wbrocks67]

Virginia - Fox News

50% Approve
49% Disapprove

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-tight-race-for-virginia-governor

This seems more in-line with CW (and national polling) than those -5 VA polls.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 29-30, 1005 adults

Approve 46 (+2)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

The people are opening their eyes, the people do not want a senile lunatic in the White House!

Which is why the American people fired dementia Trump in a 306 EV landslide loss. Sad!

[pbrower2a]

It looks like Biden is bottoming out

As the COVID summer surge fades Biden may do well again

He needs the economy to work

That is what I expect and see, although it is not definitive.

I can't say whether statewide polls lag or lead.

...Obviously the economy must not melt down, but this isn't the middle of the Double-Zero decade in which a corrupt speculative boom was peaking. At that time I saw an article in Business Week in which the article delineated a scandal of questionable ratings of residential loans. Ordinarily the packaging of a large number of solid loans is good for reducing risk to near zero. Packaging fecal loans might reduce risk slightly, but not enough to make those loans safe. Whether the raters were corrupt or applied an inappropriate model for the lack of anything better is unclear, but I read that article and predicted a 1929-style crash. Which we got!

We now have a housing shortage, which reflects itself in super-cautious lending. The only people for whom housing is being built are, frankly, rich people who can afford over-priced McMansions. Meanwhile, rentals skyrocket for everyone else, and economic inequality intensifies. The biggest expenditure that a large number of Americans have is property rent... and, no, it is not because insurance, property taxes, and maintenance are skyrocketing.  

COVID-19 will die, but only after it takes substantially more lives in its lethal slaughter. More than already? Of course not. That the victims are heavily on the Right side of the political spectrum suggests that America will lean increasingly Democratic in 2022 and 2024. Demographics are everything in a highly-polarized society in which people change their views slowly if at all.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It looks like Biden is bottoming out

As the COVID summer surge fades Biden may do well again

He needs the economy to work

It's a 304 map anyways Biden isn't gonna get a 3=5T dollar spending deal, Manchin already said he wants a 1=2T we are gonna keep the Senate, but Redistricting in H in TX and FL without immigration reform and Biden is letting illegals in without controlling border I'd gonna hurt D's in TX and FL

A 52/48 and 222/216DH can happen yes but it's not gonna be a D plus 5/8 Election more like a D plus 3.1 Election like 2020

That is what I expect and see, although it is not definitive.

I can't say whether statewide polls lag or lead.

...Obviously the economy must not melt down, but this isn't the middle of the Double-Zero decade in which a corrupt speculative boom was peaking. At that time I saw an article in Business Week in which the article delineated a scandal of questionable ratings of residential loans. Ordinarily the packaging of a large number of solid loans is good for reducing risk to near zero. Packaging fecal loans might reduce risk slightly, but not enough to make those loans safe. Whether the raters were corrupt or applied an inappropriate model for the lack of anything better is unclear, but I read that article and predicted a 1929-style crash. Which we got!

We now have a housing shortage, which reflects itself in super-cautious lending. The only people for whom housing is being built are, frankly, rich people who can afford over-priced McMansions. Meanwhile, rentals skyrocket for everyone else, and economic inequality intensifies. The biggest expenditure that a large number of Americans have is property rent... and, no, it is not because insurance, property taxes, and maintenance are skyrocketing.  

COVID-19 will die, but only after it takes substantially more lives in its lethal slaughter. More than already? Of course not. That the victims are heavily on the Right side of the political spectrum suggests that America will lean increasingly Democratic in 2022 and 2024. Demographics are everything in a highly-polarized society in which people change their views slowly if at all.

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP/NORC, Sep. 23-27, 1099 adults (change from mid-August)

Approve 50 (-4)
Disapprove 49 (+3)

Strongly approve 18 (-6)
Strongly disapprove 32 (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll
9/20-9/26

Adults (compared to 9/3 poll)
45% approve (+2)
46% disapprove (-5)

RV
46% approve
46% disapprove

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_PLCV_202109271420.pdf

I posted this one yesterday:

Some better news for Biden from a good pollster:

Marist, Sep. 20-26, 1220 adults including 1029 RV (1-month change)

Adults:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 46 (-5)

Strongly approve 17 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-4)

RV:

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 46 (-5)

Strongly approve 18 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-4)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

AP/NORC, Sep. 23-27, 1099 adults (change from mid-August)

Approve 50 (-4)
Disapprove 49 (+3)

Strongly approve 18 (-6)
Strongly disapprove 32 (+2)

Another all-time low for Biden. Yesterday, it was Morning Consult. Earlier this week Rasmussen.

https://twitter.com/MorningConsult/status/1443664444685357084


More from AP/NORC

[MR DARK BRANDON]

AP/NORC, Sep. 23-27, 1099 adults (change from mid-August)

Approve 50 (-4)
Disapprove 49 (+3)

Strongly approve 18 (-6)
Strongly disapprove 32 (+2)

Another all-time low for Biden. Yesterday, it was Morning Consult. Earlier this week Rasmussen.

https://twitter.com/MorningConsult/status/1443664444685357084


More from AP/NORC

Yea but that’s….. not bad

[pbrower2a]

Probably the low point. He can´t convince his hardened opposition, but who can? Trump couldn´t convince his, either, so this says more about America than about our politicians. At the least President Biden isn´t a thoroughly hideous person as was (and is) President Trump.

[It’s so Joever]

“I’m sure this will be the low point”

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ron DeSantis is is up 10 pts on Crist and Fried that race is OVER.
D's aren't winning 55 seats it's 52 or 53 depends on OH, GA or NC

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

F

E

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Socialized medicine, in the face of budget Debt Ceiling crisis and SSA checks might not be mailed on time

Border control issues and Biden not enforcing wall lead to Abbott and DeSantis easily getting reelected

[Arizona Iced Tea]

The issue for Biden's approval is that his Presidency has been washed up. In the beginning there was a wave of enthusiasm for him since there was a promised return to normal. The issue is people don't remember what normal was. The Obama era was a disaster for democrats and Biden's attempt to return to that era could potentially cause similar issues. Unlike Obama however, this time Democrats came in with the slimmest Congressional majorities in decades, thus killing any potential for significant legislation. DC statehood, HR1, whatever their priorities are were out the window in January when Sinema and Manchin were against removing the filibuster. That's basically half of whatever Biden's actual policy proposal was. (Not being Trump doesn't count as policy.)

Now they might not even get infrastructure through and even if the bipartisan bill passes, its not really something Democrats can campaign on in the midterms since Republicans also voted for it. If they somehow pull off a diluted reconciliation bill after this embarrassing failure, then that will be the final piece of Biden's agenda as he becomes a lame duck like Obama was for the next 2 or 6 years.

Covid isn't going away anytime soon, and the economy isn't roaring back either. The dust has pretty much settled on the virus, half the country is ready to move on, the other half doesn't want to go back to normal life anytime soon. Inflation is soaring, and there is no way this is simply transitory. If the White House is showing off that a 4th of July cookout is $0.16 cheaper than the previous year (when in reality it is more due to higher gas prices needed to buy the goods) then there is fundamentally something wrong.

Afghanistan was the biggest failure of the Biden Presidency. He ran on being a strong global leader but after August it was pretty obvious that Biden was incompetent on foreign policy. The American people recognized that and it put him underwater which he might not recover from, at least until 2022.

[Inmate Trump]

The issue for Biden's approval is that his Presidency has been washed up. In the beginning there was a wave of enthusiasm for him since there was a promised return to normal. The issue is people don't remember what normal was. The Obama era was a disaster for democrats and Biden's attempt to return to that era could potentially cause similar issues. Unlike Obama however, this time Democrats came in with the slimmest Congressional majorities in decades, thus killing any potential for significant legislation. DC statehood, HR1, whatever their priorities are were out the window in January when Sinema and Manchin were against removing the filibuster. That's basically half of whatever Biden's actual policy proposal was. (Not being Trump doesn't count as policy.)

Now they might not even get infrastructure through and even if the bipartisan bill passes, its not really something Democrats can campaign on in the midterms since Republicans also voted for it. If they somehow pull off a diluted reconciliation bill after this embarrassing failure, then that will be the final piece of Biden's agenda as he becomes a lame duck like Obama was for the next 2 or 6 years.

Covid isn't going away anytime soon, and the economy isn't roaring back either. The dust has pretty much settled on the virus, half the country is ready to move on, the other half doesn't want to go back to normal life anytime soon. Inflation is soaring, and there is no way this is simply transitory. If the White House is showing off that a 4th of July cookout is $0.16 cheaper than the previous year (when in reality it is more due to higher gas prices needed to buy the goods) then there is fundamentally something wrong.

Afghanistan was the biggest failure of the Biden Presidency. He ran on being a strong global leader but after August it was pretty obvious that Biden was incompetent on foreign policy. The American people recognized that and it put him underwater which he might not recover from, at least until 2022.

And your guy attempted a deadly coup after he lost re-election.

[Calthrina950]

The issue for Biden's approval is that his Presidency has been washed up. In the beginning there was a wave of enthusiasm for him since there was a promised return to normal. The issue is people don't remember what normal was. The Obama era was a disaster for democrats and Biden's attempt to return to that era could potentially cause similar issues. Unlike Obama however, this time Democrats came in with the slimmest Congressional majorities in decades, thus killing any potential for significant legislation. DC statehood, HR1, whatever their priorities are were out the window in January when Sinema and Manchin were against removing the filibuster. That's basically half of whatever Biden's actual policy proposal was. (Not being Trump doesn't count as policy.)

Now they might not even get infrastructure through and even if the bipartisan bill passes, its not really something Democrats can campaign on in the midterms since Republicans also voted for it. If they somehow pull off a diluted reconciliation bill after this embarrassing failure, then that will be the final piece of Biden's agenda as he becomes a lame duck like Obama was for the next 2 or 6 years.

Covid isn't going away anytime soon, and the economy isn't roaring back either. The dust has pretty much settled on the virus, half the country is ready to move on, the other half doesn't want to go back to normal life anytime soon. Inflation is soaring, and there is no way this is simply transitory. If the White House is showing off that a 4th of July cookout is $0.16 cheaper than the previous year (when in reality it is more due to higher gas prices needed to buy the goods) then there is fundamentally something wrong.

Afghanistan was the biggest failure of the Biden Presidency. He ran on being a strong global leader but after August it was pretty obvious that Biden was incompetent on foreign policy. The American people recognized that and it put him underwater which he might not recover from, at least until 2022.

And your guy attempted a deadly coup after he lost re-election.

This doesn't negate what he said. Biden shouldn't be given a completely free pass just because of what happened on January 6.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jan 6th is old news, Trump isn't gonna be Prez anyways, HE WAS A 46.9% PREZ not a 60% Approval Prez like he Acts like he was. but spending 3T dollars in the face of budget DEFICITS is gonna be hard

The Debt Ceiling increase is due Oct 18th and Biden needs R support to increase it, he promised Bipartisanship and he hasn't invited one R to WH since infrastructure bill in Summer time

Minting a trillion dollar coin is THE LAST RESORT, Schumer is gonna dare Rs to block the Debt Ceiling increase again and the Rs will block it again, the D's have 2 wks to pass the Dent Ceiling increase and they won't start the Reconciliation Bill

But, FL and TX are lost due to illegals immigration and Parliamentary denied immigration reform, at least in short term

Demings is only down by 4

[pbrower2a]

Jan 6th is old news, Trump isn't gonna be Prez anyways, HE WAS A 46.9% PREZ not a 60% Approval Prez like he Acts like he was. but spending 3T dollars in the face of budget DEFICITS is gonna be hard

The Debt Ceiling increase is due Oct 18th and Biden needs R support to increase it, he promised Bipartisanship and he hasn't invited one R to WH since infrastructure bill in Summer time

Minting a trillion dollar coin is THE LAST RESORT, Schumer is gonna dare Rs to block the Debt Ceiling increase again and the Rs will block it again, the D's have 2 wks to pass the Dent Ceiling increase and they won't start the Reconciliation Bill

But, FL and TX are lost due to illegals immigration and Parliamentary denied immigration reform, at least in short term

Demings is only down by 4

January 6 is a day of shame for many Republicans who fail to recognize that just because they win a primary election does not mean that they are shoo-ins for re-election. December 7, September 11, January 6... there will be living people who remember all three dates in 2022 and 2024 having been past toddler age when those dates became immediately and indelibly infamous. .

Many Republicans botched the response to COVID-19. They got away with it at first because the first people to die in large numbers were older members of minority groups, especially in such areas as Atlanta, Detroit, Las Vegas, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and Philadelphia (get it!) who were going to vote Democratic if at all... but COVID-19 is now decimating populations on the Right side of the political spectrum.  It's people on the Right side of the spectrum who don''t wear masks and don't get inoculated who contract COVID-19 and die... now. 

President Biden is gambling that Republicans either see goodies for their conservative states worth voting for or risk being defeated by Democrats in the next election. There might be some desirable highway and water projects. It's not a wild gamble. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course the right militia groups are terrible the KKK which transformed into Proud Boys killed four Civil Rights leaders in sixties I am not downplaying but to southerners which we don't need to win the S it's like Impeachment, it's a 304 map right now, with the exception of GA

That's why, but Tim Ryan, Beasley and Demings are very close but the Border is out of control

That's why Trump will never be Prez ever again, he misreads the EC map, he has zero chance to win MI, PA and WI again and he only won them due to Gary Johnson 50K votes, he already has the red wall solidified due to Proud Boys, in the S that's, the males that join it said they have no friends it's a comrade to them

[pbrower2a]

The issue for Biden's approval is that his Presidency has been washed up. In the beginning there was a wave of enthusiasm for him since there was a promised return to normal. The issue is people don't remember what normal was. The Obama era was a disaster for democrats and Biden's attempt to return to that era could potentially cause similar issues. Unlike Obama however, this time Democrats came in with the slimmest Congressional majorities in decades, thus killing any potential for significant legislation. DC statehood, HR1, whatever their priorities are were out the window in January when Sinema and Manchin were against removing the filibuster. That's basically half of whatever Biden's actual policy proposal was. (Not being Trump doesn't count as policy.)

No more washed-up than Ronald Reagan´s Presidency was in October 1981. If you wish to call the Obama Presidency a disaster... then what can you say of the Trump Presidency? (OK, Obama was an unmitigated disaster if you were Osama bin Laden, but that is something that no patriotic America could not cheer). Obama is an excellent model of behavior for a President. Much of the enthusiasm about President Biden is that he is not Donald Trump.

Now they might not even get infrastructure through and even if the bipartisan bill passes, its not really something Democrats can campaign on in the midterms since Republicans also votepp d for it. If they somehow pull off a diluted reconciliation bill after this embarrassing failure, then that will be the final piece of Biden's agenda as he becomes a lame duck like Obama was for the next 2 or 6 years.

Since when is hurting the people who voted against one a good policy? That´s what Trump tried to do, and when one has the shakiest win of the Electoral College ever, one would wisely seek to find fresh supporters faster than one creates dissidents. Trump lost an election that a mediocre President should have won handily.

Covid isn't going away anytime soon, and the economy isn't roaring back either. The dust has pretty much settled on the virus, half the country is ready to move on, the other half doesn't want to go back to normal life anytime soon. Inflation is soaring, and there is no way this is simply transitory. If the White House is showing off that a 4th of July cookout is $0.16 cheaper than the previous year (when in reality it is more due to higher gas prices needed to buy the goods) then there is fundamentally something wrong.

Had President Trump handled COVID-19 right, then we would be through with it early in the his second term. Maybe not before, but the progress would be obvious because as a convincing leader people would have worn masks all winter while the vaccines rolled out. People would have never gotten quack medical advice because even his opponents would be getting inoculated.

We have never had a President who has shown such contempt for American lives as Donald Trump, at least since before the Civil War. (Slavery was contempt for life, in case you wonder about that exception). We have never had a President who so readily turned to catcalls when anyone called him out for a controversial policy. 

Afghanistan was the biggest failure of the Biden Presidency. He ran on being a strong global leader but after August it was pretty obvious that Biden was incompetent on foreign policy. The American people recognized that and it put him underwater which he might not recover from, at least until 2022.

Trump cut the deal and told the Taliban to go ahead after the US election was settled. At that the Taliban met the terms of the deal. Don´t you think that a free election would have been a more fitting end to the Afghan civil war? Then again, our 45th President showed contempt for electoral results that did not go his way.