Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Losing the H is the worst case scenario but we shouldn't expect like last time a Filibuster proof Senate and a 230 H, winning 3 elections in a row no party has done due to jinx of Midterms, where people continue to get squeezed with inflation and the D's won GA on 2K stimulus isn't right for people making 35 K and under without another or one more check

Eviction momentoriam and 300 Unemployment and 1400 checklist have expired

D's still have the majority and should fix it

[Progressive Pessimist]

St Pete Polls in Florida

"Do you approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?"

Yes - 48.8%
No - 45.7%
Unsure - 5.6%
Approve + 3.1%

3,952 Likely Voters living throughout the state of Florida were surveyed between August 01 and August 02, 2021.
The margin of error is ±1.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


This pollster has a B+ Rating from FiveThirtyEight:

In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 4.5%
In the 2018 U.S. Senate Election in FL, it underestimated the Republican margin by 3.8%
In the 2018 Florida Gubernatorial Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 4.5%

I suppose that's good news by Florida standards then. It means that Biden is only between one and two points underwater.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If D's win FL Rs aren't winning the House the D's are blasting the airwaves with anti DeSabtis ads

Let's not forget PR Statehood is up for grabs in a D Trifecta again, PR and Afro Americans outnumber Cubans

Let's celebrate that Crist is ahead of DeSantis remember how much DeSantis won in FL in 2018 not 60/40 but .5

That 60/40 poll was way off having DeSantis up by that much

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

St Pete Polls in Florida

"Do you approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?"

Yes - 48.8%
No - 45.7%
Unsure - 5.6%
Approve + 3.1%

3,952 Likely Voters living throughout the state of Florida were surveyed between August 01 and August 02, 2021.
The margin of error is ±1.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


This pollster has a B+ Rating from FiveThirtyEight:

In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 4.5%
In the 2018 U.S. Senate Election in FL, it underestimated the Republican margin by 3.8%
In the 2018 Florida Gubernatorial Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 4.5%

I suppose that's good news by Florida standards then. It means that Biden is only between one and two points underwater.

Jacksonville Joe.

[pbrower2a]

It doesn't change the map.

Unless DeSantis should be the R nominee, President Biden controls the agenda, Commie-baiting is much more effective by an incumbent like Trump than by a challenger. Many things can happen in Cuba, and the most likely ones (the current leader reforming Cuba into something innocuous or the Commie regime collapsing in revolution) will help Biden. Even Cuban-Americans who dream of having a share of their grandparents' fortune that came from lording it over other Cubans will find business dealings much more tempting.   

[Person Man]

St Pete Polls in Florida

"Do you approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?"

Yes - 48.8%
No - 45.7%
Unsure - 5.6%
Approve + 3.1%

3,952 Likely Voters living throughout the state of Florida were surveyed between August 01 and August 02, 2021.
The margin of error is ±1.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


This pollster has a B+ Rating from FiveThirtyEight:

In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 4.5%
In the 2018 U.S. Senate Election in FL, it underestimated the Republican margin by 3.8%
In the 2018 Florida Gubernatorial Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 4.5%

I suppose that's good news by Florida standards then. It means that Biden is only between one and two points underwater.

Jacksonville Joe.

He won here and there’s still probably room to grow. The key to the future is whether more voters move in to work or not to work.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Covid and the Economy is gonna get much stronger in 2022

[GeorgiaModerate]

Marquette Law (national poll, not just Wisconsin), July 16-26, 1010 adults

Approve 58
Disapprove 42

Strongly approve 26
Strongly disapprove 25

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 31-Aug. 3, 1500 adults including 1233 RV

Adults:

Approve 49 (+3)
Disapprove 43 (-1)

Strongly approve 23 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 32 (-2)


RV:


Approve 49 (nc)
Disapprove 44 (-1)

Strongly approve 25 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 35 (-1)

[Matty]

Qpac

Approve 46
Disapprove 43

[GeorgiaModerate]

Qpac

Approve 46
Disapprove 43

Link: https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3814

They had it 49-41 in May.

[Matty]

Qpac has been one of his worst pollsters so far

Which is funny because they were very pro Biden samples in the general election polling season

[GeorgiaModerate]

Qpac has been one of his worst pollsters so far

Which is funny because they were very pro Biden samples in the general election polling season

Possibly they're overcorrecting for it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are they giving us Approval numbers instead of state by state numbers of QU,  they need to start polling states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs love to come to pbower2A Approvals to point out Biden low Approvals but they are above 50% or 60% they never come, The fact is Biden is miles ahead of Trump and the Election isn't 2021 it's 2022 check back in August 2022 when Ds are beating the Rs, when the full economic rebound

If Trump had the same Approvals in 2018/ which he was being impeached, the Rs would be talking Red sweep in 2018, Trump never had 50 Approvals that's why he lost Reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

One thing to note about D's they did benefit in handing out in 2020 more UBI checks, reality has now set in, there aren't anymore coming you now have to live by you own means, the income that you are bringing home not anymore extra Govt assistance except for public aid Medicaid and foot stamps to help you with rent and utilities not eating out or buying clothes

[pbrower2a]

Qpac has been one of his worst pollsters so far

Which is funny because they were very pro Biden samples in the general election polling season

They may have changed their model.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Covid and the Economy is gonna get much stronger in 2022

Is that a good thing, or a bad thing?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Qpac has been one of his worst pollsters so far

Which is funny because they were very pro Biden samples in the general election polling season

They may have changed their model.

Of course they changed the models they won't go us state by state numbers at this time they just give us approvals they are holding of as long as they can do they won't he wrong

They won't poll OH, IA, NC Senate races, they polled AK and interesting that Gross is not on the ballot anymore Murkowski is easily winning

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before it's a 52/48 Senate and an R H and D Govs in AZ FL, KS, MD and MA and NH

Right in line with Biden Approvals in 2020 5146% or 50(/45% in 2020 Redistricting depends on Cali, KS, IA, NC, TX, FL, NY and IL

But FL, AZ Govs are anyone's guess, they were wrong in 2018 too

[pbrower2a]

Qpac has been one of his worst pollsters so far

Which is funny because they were very pro Biden samples in the general election polling season

They may have changed their model.

Of course they changed the models they won't go us state by state numbers at this time they just give us approvals they are holding of as long as they can do they won't he wrong

They won't poll OH, IA, NC Senate races, they polled AK and interesting that Gross is not on the ballot anymore Murkowski is easily winning

Or maybe they have yet to develop polls to fit the states.

Iowa was wild in polling. I saw polls in Iowa (by Marist, and not Quinnipiac), in  which Trump had disapproval numbers around 60% -- after he imposed large tariffs on Chinese imports. China took revenge by not buying agricultural exports from the USA, and you can see how that would tank approval ratings for Trump.

So how did Trump win Iowa? He apparently opened the spigots on farm subsidies, all but buying votes with the aid of the Treasury. Trump did incredibly well in farm areas. Figure that the parts of Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin not losing population are the farm areas, and you can see one way in which Trump could get close nationally.

Or was it that minority electorates got hit hard by COVID-19?

Who knows?

      

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know that with Speaker McCarthy and Majority Leader Schumer it's gonna be Gridlock just like between Boehner and Majority Leader Schumer for 2 yrs, Boehner needed 60 votes to win anything in Senate

Boehner compromised on the balanced budget before the 2012 cycle, what will happen with Leader Schumer and McCarthy and he will have the small Majority D's have now

But one person can solve this Breyer retirement would energize under 30 yrs, Seniors vote more than younger voters in Midterms, Kennedy retired in 2018/ helped Rs retain the Senate, they would have lost TX, FL and TN if he wouldn't have

Boehner is looking at an 8 seat gain in the H enough to win the Majority, D's are looking at WI, PA, GA and AZ for 52/48Sen

[GeorgiaModerate]

Marist, July 21-29, 1132 adults including 943 RV (1-month change)

Adults:

Approve 49 (-1)
Disapprove 44 (+1)

Strongly approve 19 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 30 (-2)


RV:

Approve 50 (-1)
Disapprove 45 (+1)

Strongly approve 20 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 31 (-2)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Recall looks bleak for NEWSOM and VA Gov looks shaky if D's lose, 2022 is gonna be an R yr in the House, D's need Newsom to survive to carve out D Districts in R counties to offset Redistricting in R States of TX and FL, if Newsom looses that is gone

Newsom is Gray Davis

Orange Suburbs are gonna go for Rs heavily

I wonder how rosey the pbower2A Approvals Would be if Newsom and TMac both loose

[roxas11]

Well, it looks Biden just got great news at a time when he really needed it the most



make no mistake this incredible jobs repot just gave biden and his agenda huge boost.