Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Not Me, Us]

WOW, Morning Consult/POLITICO has him at 62/33 this week. Nearly +30.

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000177-a857-d644-a377-eedf501c0000

Despite what the pundit class is saying, people are liking what they're seeing so far.

Just...be quiet. You are literally a bloomer hack.

What the hell is a bloomer?

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

WOW, Morning Consult/POLITICO has him at 62/33 this week. Nearly +30.

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000177-a857-d644-a377-eedf501c0000

Despite what the pundit class is saying, people are liking what they're seeing so far.

Just...be quiet. You are literally a bloomer hack.

What the hell is a bloomer?

Opposite of a doomer, I assume. People who reflexively think everything will go well for Biden.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol, 62%, the best Biden is doing is 52%, he is doing a decent job to hold the House and Senate, in a 2.5 Election, it won't be a  D+9 Election, it's a Recession and only 49K jobs were created last month.

Unless there is 3.5% quarterly growth, 200K jobs a mnth, it's not plus 62

[Lief 🗽]

The quislings and war criminals over at Politico headquarters must be crying themselves to sleep tonight after being forced to publish that beautiful 62% poll!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just saying Trump has a 87% approval from Rs and they are Patriots in the South, they believe in strength I'm military and vets and Rs use the bully pulprit to project that strength

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Just saying Trump has a 87% approval from Rs and they are Patriots in the South, they believe in strength I'm military and vets and Rs use the bully pulprit to project that strength

Did you mean “in military”? Or are you military? I need to plumb your depths.

[pbrower2a]

Just saying Trump has a 87% approval from Rs and they are Patriots in the South, they believe in strength I'm military and vets and Rs use the bully pulprit to project that strength

87% of at most 45% of the electorate  is just over 39% of the vote. Trump will need at least 8% more from Independents and Democrats. In as polarized an environment as this, that is difficult. Should polarization weaken, then such is not likely to favor so polarizing a character as Donald Trump.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Feb. 13-16, 1500 adults including 1259 RV

Adults:

Approve 54 (+4)
Disapprove 37 (nc)

Strongly approve 34 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 29 (nc)

RV:

Approve 55 (+2)
Disapprove 40 (nc)

Strongly approve 37 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 32 (nc)

[pbrower2a]

55% is more like it than 62%. Still, that is far better than Trump's start. Trump had to gain to win re-election despite demographic trends working against him. 

[Tender Branson]

NY-Siena:

55% excellent/good
17% fair
21% poor

65% favourable
29% unfavourable

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/SNY0221-CrosstabsALL.pdf

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, Feb. 11-14, 1056 adults (2-week change)

Approve 50 (+1)
Disapprove 38 (+2)

Strongly approve 36 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 33 (+2)

[President Johnson]

Quinnipiac, Feb. 11-14, 1056 adults (2-week change)

Approve 50 (+1)
Disapprove 38 (+2)

Strongly approve 36 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 33 (+2)

They're still in business?

[pbrower2a]

As a rule I never accept Excellent-Good-Fair-Poor polls because  "fair" is ambiguous. "Fair" weather is good weather. "Fair" dealing is honorable. "Fair" playing by a 7-year-old violinist is remarkably prodigious. "Fair" playing by an adult is something that you do not want to pay to hear.   

[GeorgiaModerate]

As a rule I never accept Excellent-Good-Fair-Poor polls because  "fair" is ambiguous. "Fair" weather is good weather. "Fair" dealing is honorable. "Fair" playing by a 7-year-old violinist is remarkably prodigious. "Fair" playing by an adult is something that you do not want to pay to hear.   

That's fair.

[GeorgiaModerate]

NY-Siena:

55% excellent/good
17% fair
21% poor

65% favourable
29% unfavourable

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/SNY0221-CrosstabsALL.pdf

Job approval is very different, though, from favorability at 55-38.

Right, but as pbrower pointed out, "fair" is very subjective; it could mean either mild approval or mild disapproval to the respondent.  Harry Enten (I believe) said that based on surveys that tried to drill down further on such responses, you could ascribe about 1/3 of "fair" to approval and 2/3 to disapproval.  If we do that here, it would work out to about 61/33 approval/disapproval.

[pbrower2a]

NY-Siena:

55% excellent/good
17% fair
21% poor

65% favourable
29% unfavourable

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/SNY0221-CrosstabsALL.pdf

Job approval is very different, though, from favorability at 55-38.

Right, but as pbrower pointed out, "fair" is very subjective; it could mean either mild approval or mild disapproval to the respondent.  Harry Enten (I believe) said that based on surveys that tried to drill down further on such responses, you could ascribe about 1/3 of "fair" to approval and 2/3 to disapproval.  If we do that here, it would work out to about 61/33 approval/disapproval.

Even favorability is more reliable than EGFP.... and the ratings of approval and favorability usually converge toward the end of a term in office.  I still keep the New York "favorability" poll but not the E-G-F-P poll.

OK, I have seen letter-grade polls. I interpret A as strong approval, B as slight approval, C as basically undecided, D as slight disapproval, and E or F (the failing grade in Michigan is still "E") as strong disapproval.  

I have never seen any "1 through 10" polls, probably because they could be confusing.  

[South Dakota Democrat]

As a rule I never accept Excellent-Good-Fair-Poor polls because  "fair" is ambiguous. "Fair" weather is good weather. "Fair" dealing is honorable. "Fair" playing by a 7-year-old violinist is remarkably prodigious. "Fair" playing by an adult is something that you do not want to pay to hear.   

That's fair.

I see what you did there.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Feb. 17-18, 1005 adults

Approve 56 (-1)
Disapprove 36 (+1)

[wbrocks67]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Feb. 17-18, 1005 adults

Approve 56 (-1)
Disapprove 36 (+1)

but people in the ICE thread are saying Biden is the worst president of all time b/c of one thing though. which is right??

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Feb. 17-18, 1005 adults

Approve 56 (-1)
Disapprove 36 (+1)

but people in the ICE thread are saying Biden is the worst president of all time b/c of one thing though. which is right??

Who’s saying that?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's nice that Biden is keeping his approvals up especially in NC, if Jeff Jackson wins, Mark Kelly will win and we clinch the Senate

Interesting that Rs rate NC as Safe R just due to fact Trump narrowly carried it before the Insurrectionists that's incorrectly

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Feb. 17-20, 1100 adults including 990 RV

Adults:

Approve 58
Disapprove 34

RV:

Approve 59
Disapprove 34

This is the first of these surveys with Biden approval; last month's occurred during the final days of Trump's term (his approval was 30/56 among adults).

[Tender Branson]

Utah:



https://www.deseret.com/utah/2021/2/21/22290323/poll-what-utahns-think-joe-biden-first-month-job-performance-coronavirus-handling-trump

[Lief 🗽]

Biden unifying the country, beautiful!

https://twitter.com/Robillard/status/1363971109230641159

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden unifying the country, beautiful!

https://twitter.com/Robillard/status/1363971109230641159

Well, he's unifying those who can comprehend our objective reality. They're really the only people who can be won over anymore.