Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[BudgieForce]

Not quite sure why the NYT's is rounding up Perdue's lead but not Loeffler's.

[SCNCmod]

How reliable is the NY Times Needle when you get over 75% of the vote in?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

What's your point?

That it's too early to celebrate? What's yours?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is it fair to say that in retrospect, the Presidency, Senate and House were all Tilt D?

Yeah, imagine telling someone the day before e-day that Democrats would only win 222/223 House seats but win the Senate

[Alben Barkley]

What's your point?

That it's too early to celebrate? What's yours?

It's really not though thanks to math.

[Gracile]

Wasserman might be getting close to seeing enough on the regular race?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346653898854064129

[CookieDamage]

What's your point?

That it's too early to celebrate? What's yours?

most experts and analysts are very comfortable in predicting Dem wins for both seats. Don't act like you know more than them just because you're a regular on a forum packed with doomers, naysayers, and contrarians.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

What's your point?

That it's too early to celebrate? What's yours?

You gotta believe in the needle man

[ultraviolet]

Wasserman might be getting close to seeing enough on the regular race?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346653898854064129

That’s kinda old

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1346658877102829568?s=20

[Del Tachi]

What % reported is Floyd?  I can’t look at it on my phone

[Alben Barkley]

Is it fair to say that in retrospect, the Presidency, Senate and House were all Tilt D?

Yeah, imagine telling someone the day before e-day that Democrats would only win 222/223 House seats but win the Senate

Imagine telling someone it would be because we won two simultaneous run-offs in Georgia a couple months after the election. Historically you could easily write such a race off as Safe R with no more information needed.

[DrScholl]

This reminds me of how some Republicans lead in Virginia early on and then lose the lead once the NoVA comes in.

[emailking]

2014 was a terrible year for Dems in the Senate. I don't think it's that surprising they would gain several seats even while losing House seats.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

It's amazing that TheShadowyAbyss is the voice of reason in this thread. I'm just as optimistic for my party as the rest of you are for yours. I have no clue what will happen.

[musicblind]

If Democrats don't pack the courts and make DC a state now then they deserve to lose their majority in 2 years.

How would/could we get DC statehood through a 50/50 senate? I'd love that, but do you really think Manchine would?

[new_patomic]

You have to admit that Mark Kirk was a good guy. Easily the most liberal Republican Senator this decade.

This isn't relevant to the thread but Mark Kirk ran a racist campaign against Tammy Duckworth in the closing weeks. Not a "good guy" by any means even if he is better than most if not all of his Republican colleagues.

He had a stroke that completely messed up his brain. Mark was extremely sharp before that, winning reelection to his House seat by 6 points in the middle of a massive Democratic wave year as Obama carried it with 61%. That speaks volumes about how strong he was.

It speaks volumes that the Chicago Tribune actually endorsed Duckworth specifically because they did not believe Kirk had the wherewithal to remain an effective Senator.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Why is everyone celebrating? The GOP are still well ahead
Or am I missing something?

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

This reminds me of how some Republicans lead in Virginia early on and then lose the lead once the NoVA comes in.

Or like Florida before the Panhandle.

[UncleSam]

So basically at this point the only question is what the turnout was in Dekalb. If the vote dump comes in as strong as it is expected then these races are both over. Warnock should win no matter what even with anemic turnout in Dekalb, while a bad Dekalb dump would make the Ossoff-Perdue race a tossup. A good Dekalb dump obviously seals it for both Dems.

Is this more or less accurate?

[wbrocks67]

Alright, I'm tired of seeing that GOP keep ticking up. Chatham and Cobb need to halt that, and now DeKalb needs to come in already.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Why is everyone celebrating? The GOP are still well ahead
Or am I missing something?

The remaining counties are heavily D-favored. This is Georgia General all over again.

[WD]

Why is everyone celebrating? The GOP are still well ahead
Or am I missing something?

DeKalb is going to wipe that out

[Adam Griffin]

Looks like there's another 40k combined outstanding votes across Newton, Henry and Clayton. Should be at least 60-40 (depending on exactly how many remain in Clayton; could be a larger margin).

What % reported is Floyd?  I can’t look at it on my phone

Good catch. Only about 1k in Floyd (40k in November). For whatever reason, Floyd always takes forever to count its votes. It is probably - without looking too much county-by-county - the single-biggest GOP bastion left to count.

[Catalyst138]

Why is everyone celebrating? The GOP are still well ahead
Or am I missing something?

DeKalb still has a lot of votes to come in, and to a lesser extent the other Atlanta metro counties do too.