Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[ProgressiveModerate]

Lol Loefeller is outperforming in these early results.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The needle opens at Ossoff+0.2 and Warnock up <0.1.

[Adam Griffin]

Burn Cherokee and Forsyth to the ground IMO

[MillennialModerate]

Extrapolating from CNN exit poll, I have both Dems at 50.3%.

LOL

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Needle says 51% Warnock and 52% Ossoff win chances. Might as well stop the counting now!

[Gracile]

Warnock is mildly outrunning Ossoff in Fayette County's vote so far.

[OSR stands with Israel]

CNN Exit polls have Perdue winning 62% of College-educated Whites in Georgia . Is that good or bad for Georgia

[Catalyst138]

Burke was that one Hillary-Trump flipped county right? I’m interested to see who wins it this election.

[Oryxslayer]

Two Ossoff-Loeffler Voters in Burke County (likely EV) - no dropoff at all.

Three Ossoff-Loeffler Voters in Early (likely EV), with two dropping off.

[WD]

Perdue at 71% in Fayette. NUT, the memes are real.

[VAR]

The first votes are being reported - Ossoff and Warnock +48 each from Burke County. This is likely a majority black precinct so the numbers itself aren't too meaningful but it seems to indicate not a lot of ticket splitting.

I’m shocked. Candidate quality TM doesn’t matter.

[Alcibiades]

CNN exit poll claiming that college-educated whites have swung 10 points to Perdue from November. Not sure how useful/reliable that is, but something nonetheless.

But Ossoff increased his share among African American voters. But I would take exit polls with a huge grain of salt.

Yep, was just pointing some info out. Personally I don’t think the exit polls tell us much at this stage.

[Ancestral Republican]

Needle says 51% Warnock and 52% Ossoff win chances. Might as well stop the counting now!

STOP THE COUNT!!!!!!

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1346610357071212547

[brucejoel99]

Extrapolated toplines (with decimals) from the AP VoteCast & Edison exit poll:

AP:
- Perdue 50.3%/Ossoff 49.7%
- Warnock 50.24%/Loeffler 49.76%

Edison (literally exactly the same for both):
- Ossoff 50.32%/Perdue 49.68%
- Warnock 50.32%/Loeffler 49.68%

[Adam Griffin]

Runoff (CNN):
18-29: Ossoff +34

November (CNN):
18-29: Ossoff +11

[wbrocks67]

CNN exits work out to about Ossoff and Warnock having a +1 lead

[Young Conservative]

CNN Exit polls have Perdue winning 62% of College-educated Whites in Georgia . Is that good or bad for Georgia

That would be a large improvement on 2020 according to CNN exit polls from the presidential.

White college graduates were about 56-41 Perdue.

[SCNCmod]

Is there anything that could be causing CNN exit polls to overestimate Perdue's support by a significant amount??

[It’s so Joever]

Please stop posting exit polls. It’s not like they matter.

[Non Swing Voter]

Webster County is 100% in

[ProgressiveModerate]

Now everyone is suddenly going to go from saying Perdue and Loefller are inevitable to Ossoff and Warnock are favored, only to flip back 15 minutes from now.

[Florida Man for Crime]

I am going to do a needle dance in the hopes that it influences the needle to bestow good results. Also I encourage everyone to make a sacrifice to the needle (though not one that harms any person or creature).

[wbrocks67]

Extrapolated toplines (with decimals) from the AP VoteCast & Edison exit poll:

AP:
- Perdue 50.3%/Ossoff 49.7%
- Warnock 50.24%/Loeffler 49.76%

Edison (literally exactly the same for both):
- Ossoff 50.32%/Perdue 49.68%
- Warnock 50.32%/Loeffler 49.68%

Hm, I got Warnock and Ossoff with about 50.6 by doing age (on CNN/Edison)

[forsythvoter]

Just took a look through the exit polls and they do look better for the Rs than the Ds. Once the votes start coming in, we'll see if the margins are matching the exits, but I would rather be the Rs if the numbers are true.

It looks like the subsequent waves of exits do look much better for the Ds. Might as well just wait for the actual votes at this point.