Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 264400 times)
WD
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1725 on: December 31, 2020, 11:44:21 AM »

Now, he’s only going to win Cobb by 10. Not enough to offset Ossoff’s margins in the #Populist  Purple heart rurals.

RIP HP
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VAR
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« Reply #1726 on: December 31, 2020, 11:45:29 AM »


Americans of all political persuasions hate the woman on the left's homophobia... it's over.
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If my soul was made of stone
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« Reply #1727 on: December 31, 2020, 11:46:37 AM »

It's over for Perduecels
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1728 on: December 31, 2020, 11:46:39 AM »

Don’t get it ...

Are Koreans seen as some kind of threat in Georgia ?

Does it have to do with old veterans who served in the Korean War ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1729 on: December 31, 2020, 11:48:31 AM »


Americans of all political persuasions hate the woman on the left's homophobia... it's over.

Who is she ?
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1730 on: December 31, 2020, 11:49:15 AM »


Congresswoman-elect Young Kim of California.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1731 on: December 31, 2020, 11:52:53 AM »


Ok, but why would her homophobia be bad for him ?

Homophobia is still widespread in the GOP and South ...
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #1732 on: December 31, 2020, 11:53:11 AM »

Just got another Perdue ad lol.

Anyone else noticed how all his ads end through him angrily walking in a random field

I find his slogan “The Original Outsider” particularly amusing considering his extensive corporate background.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1733 on: December 31, 2020, 11:54:11 AM »


Ok, but why would her homophobia be bad for him ?

Homophobia is still widespread in the GOP and South ...

I don't think you understand the purpose of this thread.
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VAR
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« Reply #1734 on: December 31, 2020, 11:55:34 AM »


Ok, but why would her homophobia be bad for him ?

Homophobia is still widespread in the GOP and South ...

LOL no. Some blue avatar told me the GOP isn't homophobic anymore coz Trump is less homophobic than George W. Bush.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1735 on: December 31, 2020, 11:56:17 AM »


Ok, but why would her homophobia be bad for him ?

Homophobia is still widespread in the GOP and South ...

I don't think you understand the purpose of this thread.

Apparently not.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #1736 on: December 31, 2020, 12:07:12 PM »

It never even began.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #1737 on: December 31, 2020, 12:10:01 PM »

https://www.georgiavotes.com/
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1738 on: December 31, 2020, 12:18:47 PM »

So today is the last day of in person early vote, correct? So we're likely looking at early-in person ending with about +26.0 white, compared to +31.8 white in the general. Meanwhile, VBM accepted is already less white than in the general, and will assume that will continue heading into next Tuesday. So after tomorrow, the entire EV total may get less white as we go into Tuesday if we're getting mostly mail ballots after today's last day of in-person voting.

Likewise, total, right now we're at +24.4 white total, versus +28.8 white in the general. White vote total share is less overall than it was in the GE (55.5% vs. 56.5%) while black is decently above (31.1% vs 27.7%)

VBM + IN PERSON EARLY
Nov GE: 4.03M (56.5% white, 27.7% black) ---> +28.8 white
12/15: 483K (53.9% white, 33.4% black) ---> +20.5 white
12/16: 715K (54.5% white, 33.1% black) ---> +21.4 white
12/17: 914K (55.0% white, 32.5% black) —> +22.5 white
12/18: 1.12M (55.4% white, 32.0% black) —> +23.4 white
12/19: 1.34M (55.6% white, 31.6% black) —> +24.0 white
12/21: 1.47M (54.4% white, 32.4% black) —> +22.0 white
12/22: 1.68M (54.8% white, 31.9% black) —> +22.9 white
12/23: 1.88M (55.0% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.4 white
12/24: 2.06M (55.5% white, 31.5% black) —> +24.0 white
12/25: 2.07M (55.5% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.9 white
12/27: 2.10M (55.4% white, 31.5% black) —> +23.9 white
12/28: 2.13M (55.2% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.6 white
12/29: 2.34M (55.2% white, 31.5% black) —> +23.7 white
12/30: 2.60M (55.4% white, 31.3% black) —> +24.1 white
12/31: 2.81M (55.5% white, 31.1% black) —> +24.4 white

VBM requests
Nov GE: 1.78M (51.2% white, 31.4% black) ---> +19.8 white
12/10: 1.17M (53.6% white, 31.2% black) ---> +22.4 white
12/13: 1.25M (53.0% white, 31.6% black) ---> +21.4 white
12/17: 1.28M (52.2% white, 32.0% black) —> +20.2 white
12/18: 1.30M (52.0% white, 32.2% black) —> +19.8 white
12/19: 1.31M (51.8% white, 32.4% black) —> +19.4 white
12/21: 1.32M (51.7% white, 32.4% black) —> +19.3 white
12/22: 1.33M (51.6% white, 32.5% black) —> +19.1 white
12/23: 1.34M (51.5% white, 32.5% black) —> +19.0 white
12/24: 1.35M (51.6% white, 32.7% black) —> +18.9 white
12/25: 1.35M (51.6% white, 32.7% black) —> +18.9 white
12/27: 1.35M (51.6% white, 32.7% black) —> +18.9 white
12/28: 1.35M (51.6% white, 32.7% black) —> +18.9 white
12/29: 1.36M (51.5% white, 32.8% black) —> +18.7 white
12/30: 1.37M (51.4% white, 32.8% black) —> +18.6 white
12/31: 1.37M (51.4% white, 32.9% black) —> +18.5 white

VBM accepted
Nov GE: 1.32M (53.0% white, 30.3% black) ---> +22.7 white
12/16: 379K (56.9% white, 30.7% black) ---> +26.2 white
12/17: 427K (56.5% white, 31.0% black) —> +25.5 white
12/18: 481K (56.3% white, 30.9% black) —> +25.4 white
12/19: 525K (56.1% white, 30.9% black) —> +25.2 white
12/21: 570K (55.5% white, 31.3% black) —> +24.2 white
12/22: 621K (55.4% white, 31.2% black) —> +24.2 white
12/23: 679K (54.9% white, 31.4% black) —> +23.5 white
12/24: 722K (54.9% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.3 white
12/25: 725K (54.9% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.3 white
12/27: 735K (54.8% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.2 white
12/28: 748K (54.7% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.1 white
12/29: 802K (54.5% white, 31.6% black) —> +22.9 white
12/30: 856K (54.2% white, 31.8% black) —> +22.4 white
12/31: 896K (54.0% white, 31.9% black) —> +22.1 white

IN PERSON EARLY votes
Nov GE: 2.69M (58.2% white, 26.4% black) ---> +31.8 white
12/16: 336K (51.9% white, 35.8% black) ---> +16.1 white
12/17: 487K (53.7% white, 33.9% black) —> +19.8 white
12/18: 642K (54.7% white, 32.8% black) —> +21.9 white
12/19: 812K (55.3% white, 32.0% black) —> +23.3 white
12/21: 902K (53.8% white, 33.1% black) —> +20.7 white
12/22: 1.06M (54.4% white, 32.4% black) —> +22.0 white
12/23: 1.21M (55.0% white, 31.7% black) —-> +23.3 white
12/24: 1.34M (55.9% white, 31.5% black) —> +24.4 white
12/25: 1.35M (55.8% white, 31.5% black) —> +24.3 white
12/27: 1.36M (55.7% white, 31.5% black) —> +24.2 white
12/28: 1.38M (55.5% white, 31.6% black) —> +23.9 white
12/29: 1.54M (55.6% white, 31.4% black) —> +24.2 white
12/30: 1.71M (56.0% white, 31.0% black) —> +25.0 white
12/31: 1.92M (56.3% white, 30.7% black) —> +25.6 white
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1739 on: December 31, 2020, 12:22:38 PM »

My wife and I just dropped off our ballots. We put a lot of thought into our votes - even more so than in the general election - and regardless of how this turns out, I'm pleased that there's been so much civic engagement this year. Thank you to everyone on this forum for sharing their perspectives and happy New Year's Eve!

I was considering not sharing who we voted for because folks will read too much into it but since I know everyone will ask, we did end up voting Ossoff / Warnock for the Senate races. We ultimately didn't feel Perdue / Loeffler demonstrated enough independence from Trump in light of the stimulus bill / election fraud theatrics and this was the tipping point, given we wanted senators that could work constructively and independently with the Biden administration. That said, we remain concerned about our country's fiscal situation and will be evaluating in 2022 where things stand.

I voted R for the PSC (the utilities oversight board in GA) race, for reasons I won't discuss in detail in a Senate-focused thread, but I am in general in favor of nuclear power and this was something the incumbent seemed to support.

I really wish more voters were like you. I appreciate that you really take things into very serious thought and don't just vote blindly for either.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1740 on: December 31, 2020, 12:28:04 PM »

Based on these new numbers, 3.35 million early/postal votes look likely until Tuesday evening.

+650.000 Election Day votes, for 4 million (-1 million).
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Xing
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« Reply #1741 on: December 31, 2020, 12:39:23 PM »

Democrats need to put this photo in every 2022 ad. 300+ seat House majority and veto-proof Senate majority here we come!
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1742 on: December 31, 2020, 12:42:07 PM »

I love Atlas
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1743 on: December 31, 2020, 12:44:39 PM »


Also, Ryan Anderson (who runs that site) often has useful analysis on his Twitter feed - https://twitter.com/gtryan.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #1744 on: December 31, 2020, 12:50:06 PM »

I'm officially back in my election week state of being unable to do or think about anything except the runoffs. It's officially time to go outside lol. Come on GA, you can save the 2020s.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1745 on: December 31, 2020, 01:10:07 PM »

My wife and I just dropped off our ballots. We put a lot of thought into our votes - even more so than in the general election - and regardless of how this turns out, I'm pleased that there's been so much civic engagement this year. Thank you to everyone on this forum for sharing their perspectives and happy New Year's Eve!

I was considering not sharing who we voted for because folks will read too much into it but since I know everyone will ask, we did end up voting Ossoff / Warnock for the Senate races. We ultimately didn't feel Perdue / Loeffler demonstrated enough independence from Trump in light of the stimulus bill / election fraud theatrics and this was the tipping point, given we wanted senators that could work constructively and independently with the Biden administration. That said, we remain concerned about our country's fiscal situation and will be evaluating in 2022 where things stand.

I voted R for the PSC (the utilities oversight board in GA) race, for reasons I won't discuss in detail in a Senate-focused thread, but I am in general in favor of nuclear power and this was something the incumbent seemed to support.

Thank gosh more people are coming around to it.
Anti-nuclear activists are so naive, half of them would support nuclear energy at least as a temporary solution if they understood it fully.
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prag_prog
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« Reply #1746 on: December 31, 2020, 01:14:21 PM »

I think Ossoff has ran the best possible campaign he could in the last 3 months...idk whether that's enough for him to win but I don't really have much complaints regarding him or his campaign(*cough* Gideon & Cal *cough*). He has also gotten better at this with more experience in campaigning.

On the GOP side, these two must be some of the weakest GOP candidates. Loeffler is so fake and robotic. I expected Perdue to be much stronger but he just seems so generic or maybe even worse. I still think these races are pretty much tossups but I'm bit more optimistic on Dems now when compared to a month ago
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #1747 on: December 31, 2020, 01:15:40 PM »


Ok, but why would her homophobia be bad for him ?

Homophobia is still widespread in the GOP and South ...

I don't think you understand the purpose of this thread.

Apparently not.
It's a meme thread from a few years ago when a Red avatar said dems should run on attacking Young Kim's homophobia, despite her not being homophobic
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1748 on: December 31, 2020, 01:18:17 PM »

I think Ossoff has ran the best possible campaign he could in the last 3 months...idk whether that's enough for him to win but I don't really have much complaints regarding him or his campaign(*cough* Gideon & Cal *cough*). He has also gotten better at this with more experience in campaigning.

On the GOP side, these two must be some of the weakest GOP candidates. Loeffler is so fake and robotic. I expected Perdue to be much stronger but he just seems so generic or maybe even worse. I still think these races are pretty much tossups but I'm bit more optimistic on Dems now when compared to a month ago

Yeah, I feel like objectively Dems have run the way better campaign, and if they lose, not sure there was much more they could've done. Given what has happened in the campaign so far, it has all the makings of a Dem win, giving Trumps antics, The Dem energy, Loeffler/Perdue having more "gaffes"..
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Matty
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« Reply #1749 on: December 31, 2020, 01:21:32 PM »

I'm officially back in my election week state of being unable to do or think about anything except the runoffs. It's officially time to go outside lol. Come on GA, you can save the 2020s.

The idea that a 50-50 senate will “save” the 2020s opposed to a 52-48 R is rather silly.

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